According to the latest whip count on The Hill, opponents of the current health care reform bill are just one vote short of victory.
The maximum number of Democratic defections that would still allow the bill to pass is 37, and the current No camp has 37 votes in it.
Firedoglake, a liberal leaning blog, also has some analysis that does not seem promising, though again the game is hardly over.
Of course not all the no’s are firm, and things are still fluid, but time is also starting to work against the process. If you assume the 3 day rule applies (IE 3 days notice of the final bill) then right now we are looking at no vote before Saturday, assuming the bill is released Wednesday morning.