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CBS Poll: Cain Rising, Perry Going South

The latest CBS News poll almost reads like a traveling story: former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain, who has wowed conservatives with his performance in recent Republican Presidential debates is going national — with his poll numbers going up. And Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who seemed not just not ready for Prime Time but not ready for Republican debates on not prime time, has going south.

And the news no one expected to see: in this poll of GOPers, Cane is now tied with former Massachesetts Gov. Mitt Romney, a candidate who has usually been atop of the Republican polls but who seems to be the candidate a ton of Republicans are frantically scrambling to head off at the nomination pass:

Herman Cain has moved into a tie with Mitt Romney atop the field of Republican presidential candidates, according to a new CBS News poll, while Rick Perry has fallen 11 percentage points in just two weeks.

The poll shows Cain, who stood at just five percent support two weeks ago, now holding 17 percent support among Republican primary voters. That puts the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO into a tie with Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, whose support has essentially held steady over the past two weeks.
Perry, meanwhile, has dropped from 23 percent support to just 12 percent support over the past two weeks, a sign that the Texas governor’s shaky debate performances – in which he has alienated portions of both the Republican base and the party establishment – have taken their toll.

Eight in ten Republican primary voters said the candidates’ debate performances are at least somewhat important to them, and 58 percent said they have watched the debates that have already taken place. Just ten percent of Republican primary voters said they agreed with Perry that the children of illegal immigrants should be allowed to get in-state tuition, a contentious topic in recent debates.

The silver lining for Perry is the race remains fluid: Three in four Republican primary voters who chose a candidate also said it was too early to make up their minds completely. Just 19 percent said they had definitively decided who they would support.

Rounding out the field are Newt Gingrich with eight percent support, Ron Paul with seven percent, Michele Bachmann with four percent, Rick Santorum with three percent and Jon Huntsman with two percent. Eighteen percent said they were undecided or unsure.

The next few weeks should be fascinating ones. Now that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has said thanks but not thanks to Republicans virtually pleading with him to enter the race, unless former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin jumps in the key contest will be between Romney and The Non-Romney. Will it be Perry, who is expected to raise a ton of money in coming weeks? Or will Cane’s appeal as an honest talking conservative hold up and many conservatives vote in primaries with the hearts versus the political realism minds?



8 Responses to “CBS Poll: Cain Rising, Perry Going South”

  1. Jim Satterfield says:

    If any of the ultra-conservatives win the nomination the Democratic campaign will be able to use their own words against them. If Romney wins the nomination then the question becomes one of whether or not the Tea Party branch of the party hates Obama enough to turn out to the polls in large numbers.

  2. ShannonLee says:

    How is Cain polling in the South?

    Will southern white conservatives show up to vote for a black guy? Missouri white liberals didn’t, which is why McCain won Missouri.

  3. casualobserver says:

    Staunch conservatives share commonality with staunch liberals…..they readily open their mouths, but not their wallets.

    Cain has benefitted to date by being able to play sideline quipster. He has shown little campaigning dedication, little money and is simply now the anti-candidate of the week.

    If he goes into the Dartmouth debate in the lead, it will be a much tougher forum for him….which will be much more of a indication whether he can convert himself from quipster to leader.

  4. PATRICK EDABURN, Assistant Editor says:

    Just a little perspective on these polls.

    In October 2007 the polls showed the following

    Guliani the heavy favorite for the GOP nomination with McCain a distant 3rd (Guliani 2-1 over McCain).

    Clinton the heavy favorite for the Dems with a 2-1 lead over Obama.

    A tossup general election.

    So a lot can change in a year.

  5. Stray Mongrel says:

    Herman Cain has been at the top of my favorites since day one, and every time I see him in a speech, interview or debate, I like the guy even more.

    I believe he’s already demonstrated that he’s got the capacity to sit in the big chair, having sat in several big chairs already and accomplished amazing things while doing so.

  6. PATRICK EDABURN, Assistant Editor says:

    Do I have to ignore the obvious Chris Christie jokes and big chairs ?

  7. dduck says:

    Yes, if it is a Cain chair.

  8. dduck says:

    This is Cain’s lead to lose. His people need to refine and disclose authorship of his flawed 999 plan (the sales tax being the big problem unless explained/modified). And they need to put out some presidential sounding opinions on fiscal, foreign policy, military, whatever. He could screw it up royally, but he has some momentum now that may allow a minor slip.

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