The Crystal Ball is proud to announce that, with only a handful of official election outcomes still pending, we recorded a nearly perfect record of accuracy in predicting the results of the 2008 Election, including the correct October prediction of the final Electoral College total of 364 Obama, 174 McCain.
The 2008 predictions of the Crystal Ball also matched, exactly, the results of all gubernatorial contests and correctly predicted the outcomes of every senatorial race among all Senate contests which have been officially called by two or more major networks at the time of publication.
In the 435 races for the House of Representatives, the Crystal Ball has achieved an accuracy rate of at least 98 percent, pending recounts. The Crystal Ball predicted a maximum pickup for the Democratic Party of 26 seats. Results as of time of publication appear headed toward an actual pickup for the Democrats of between 20 and 23 seats in the House.
ELECTORAL COLLEGE
CB Projection: 364 Obama, 174 McCain.
Actual Result: 364 Obama, 174 McCain.
SENATE RESULTS
CB Projection: +7 to +8 Democrat.
Actual Result: +5 to +7 Democrat, pending recounts and runoff.
GOVERNOR RESULTS
CB Projection: +1 Democrat and -1 Republican.
Actual Result: +1 Democrat and -1 Republican.
HOUSE RESULTS
CB Projection: +26 Democrat.
Actual Result: +20 to +23 Democrat (pending recounts).