Good Sign for Obama: Approval Rating 52%

Gallup has good news for President Barack Obama: his approval rating going into the election is 52%. It’s generally believed that an incumbent with an approval rating below 50% is in big trouble:

Fifty-two percent of American adults approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing in Gallup’s tracking survey on Monday, the final such poll to be released before Election Day.The poll shows 45 percent disapprove of Obama’s job performance.

Obama notched a 51 percent approval rating in Gallup’s previous tracking poll last Monday, before the national firm’s operations were suspended due to Superstorm Sandy. He has boasted an approval rating of at least 50 percent in five of the last eight Gallup polls dating back to the tracking period of Oct. 20-22.

  

5 Comments

  1. Add to this the fact that…

    Will Ferrell Will Do ‘Anything’ for Your Vote

    and it’s pretty much Game… Set… and Match.

  2. All this is way within margins of error. I don’t believe Obama is really ahead in Ohio. If so, still way within the margins.

    Nobody knows what’s going to happen tomorrow. All these predictions are just guesses IMO.

    Romney will probably get Virginia.

  3. Heading into Election Day, likely voters divide 50 percent for President Obama and 47 percent for his challenger, Republican Mitt Romney, according to the latest, final weekend release of the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll.

    Still a margin of error contest

    Read more here

    BTW, cute video Steve.

    Romney will also do anything to get your vote, including not telling the truth

  4. The misuse of the term margin of error is rampant in the press. MOE doesn’t mean that the poll results could swing 3%. The poll results with 3% MOE have a 85% probability of being correct, it doesn’t have anything to do with a statistical tie.
    http://www.pollingreport.com/sampling.htm
    http://jonathanturley.org/2012.....tical-tie/
    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/d.....-error.php

    After our poll of 1067 likely voters, Smith leads Jones 49-46% with an MOE of 3%. Some would call this a “statistical tie” since the lead is within the MOE. However, the following table tells us that Smith’s lead is 84% probable.

    Smiley face

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