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Posted by on Jul 8, 2018 in Environment | 0 comments

EPA’s Acting Administrator Gets Something Right

EPA Building

The Environmental Protection Agency’s new acting administrator has gotten something right.

From The Hill:

Incoming Environmental Protection Agency chief Andrew Wheeler said in a new interview that he believes humans have played a role in climate change.

Wheeler made the comment to The Washington Post in an interview. The comment suggests a break with many top Trump administration officials, including his embattled predecessor, who have cast doubt on how influential humans are on climate change.

“I do believe climate change is real,” Wheeler said. “I do believe that people have an impact on the climate.”

Notice that Andrew Wheeler didn’t err by making the false claim that climate change is 100% man-made.

That false claim is made by those who are ignorant about climate history or who simply discard scientific data that doesn’t fit their narrative.

For example, the southwestern region of the USA was as hot – if not hotter – 1,000 years ago as it is today.

Here are excerpts from Late Holocene forest dynamics, volcanism, and climate change at Whitewing
Mountain and San Joaquin Ridge, Mono County, Sierra Nevada, CA, USA
(Quaternary Research 66 (2006) 273–287):

Abstract: “Using contemporary distributions of the species, we modeled paleoclimate during the time of sympatry to be significantly warmer (+3.2°C annual minimum temperature) and slightly drier (24 mm annual precipitation) than present, resembling values projected for California in the next 70–100 yr.”

“The paleoclimate modeled for Whitewing during the Medieval period was significantly warmer and slightly drier than present. Medieval mean annual minimum temperature was warmer than current by 3.2°C, with large differences in winter (+3.5°C, January) and summer (+4.0°C, July). Mean annual maximum temperature was also greater in the Medieval period (+2.3°C), with greater differences in winter (+3.2°C, January) than summer (+2.6°C, July). Annual precipitation was less by 24 mm. The modeled Medieval climate for Whitewing Mtn compared closely with current conditions estimated from PRISM for the Carson Range extant sugar pine location, 200 km distant from Whitewing Mtn and 1350 m lower, and for the Grizzly Peak mixed conifer stand, 580 km distant and 992 m lower.” – Pg. 281

“The modeled Whitewing Medieval climate closely compares to climate projections for California in AD 2070–2099 (Hayhoe et al., 2004). In that study, average temperature increases of 2.3–5.8°C were projected and slight increases ordecreases in precipitation (+ 38 mm to ?157 mm).” – Pg. 284

Here are excerpts from The application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change (2017) by Dr. Jennifer Marohasy of the Climate Modelling Laboratory (Queensland, Australia) and Dr. John Abbot of Central Queensland University (GeoResJ · August 2017):

“The record for the entire Northern Hemisphere suggests warming to 1000 CE, then cooling through a period known as The Little Ice Age, before the recent warming.” – Pg. 40

“The relatively small attribution to natural phenomena leads to temperature profiles typified by the ‘hockey stick’. However, the majority of proxy temperature profiles found in the literature over the past several millennia, whether local or regional, do not resemble this hockey stick profile, but rather exhibit significant amplitude in oscillations over the past several millennia. For example, many regional temperature proxies for the northern hemisphere show pronounced cyclical behaviour corresponding to the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and the Little Ice Age (LIA) . . .” – Pg. 41

“The occurrence of a period as warm as the present, back approximately 1000 years, is also supported by oral histories and detailed archaeological research. For example, excavation of Inuit and Norse settlements in Northwest Greenland indicate this region was only inhabitable for a period from 985 CE until approximately 1200 CE.” – Pg. 43

Climate studies in South Korea show that the Medieval Warm Period took place in southeast Asia.

Then there is An ikaite record of late Holocene climate at the Antarctic Peninsula (Earth and Planetary Science Letters 325–326 (2012) 108–115). From the Abstract: “This ikaite record qualitatively supports that both the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age extended to the Antarctic Peninsula.”

Here is some climate history courtesy of Dr. Don J. Easterbrook:

The Medieval Warm Period (MWP) was a time of warm climate from about 900 A.D. to 1300 A.D. when global temperatures were apparently somewhat warmer than at present. Its effects were evident in Europe where grain crops flourished, alpine tree lines rose, many new cities arose, and the population more than doubled. The Vikings took advantage of the climatic amelioration to colonize Greenland, and wine grapes were grown as far north as England where growing grapes is now not feasible and about 500 km north of present vineyards in France and Germany. Grapes are presently grown in Germany up to elevations of about 560 m, but from about 1100 A.D. to 1300 A.D., vineyards extended up to 780 m, implying temperatures warmer by about 1.0–1.4 °C (Oliver, 1973). Wheat and oats were grown around Trondheim, Norway, suggesting climates about 1 °C warmer than present (Fagan, 2000).

Elsewhere in the world, prolonged droughts affected the southwestern United States and Alaska warmed. Sediments in central Japan record warmer temperatures. Sea surface temperatures in the Sargasso Sea were approximately 1 °C warmer than today, and the climate in equatorial east Africa was drier from 1000 A.D. to 1270 A.D. An ice core from the eastern Antarctic Peninsula shows warmer temperatures during this period.

Oxygen isotope studies in Greenland, Ireland, Germany, Switzerland, Tibet, China, New Zealand, and elsewhere, plus tree-ring data from many sites around the world all confirm the presence of a global Medieval Warm Period. Soon and Baliunas (2003) found that 92% of 112 studies showed physical evidence of the MWP, only two showed no evidence, and 21 of 22 studies in the Southern Hemisphere showed evidence of Medieval warming. Evidence of the MWP at specific sites is summarized in Fagan (2007) and Singer and Avery (2007). Evidence that the Medieval Warm Period was a global event is so widespread that one wonders why Mann et al. (1998) ignored it.

In short, climate-history claims made by Michael Mann and his disciples have been thoroughly debunked. Yet, plenty of Democrats – particularly congressional Democrats – continue to treat those claims as Gospel.


Featured Image: By Fletcher6 [CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)], from Wikimedia Commons

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