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Posted by on Dec 27, 2007 in At TMV | 1 comment

Biden To Play Spoiler?

(AP Photo by Evan Vucci)

Joe Biden is sort of like the anti-Obama. He’s deeply entrenched in Washington, is a firm believer in the process and has a boatload of national legislative experience.

So will that help him make an impact in Iowa?

Well, if you ask Joe Biden

DES MOINES – – Joe Biden is talking. “Barack does a room, Hillary does a room, I do the same room and I win,” he says. “I have absolute confidence in that. The question is: Do I get in enough rooms?” […]

He poses a possible outcome for caucus night. He says he is just making the numbers up, but it seems clear he has thought about them.

“Let’s say I end up with 15 percent, Barack is at 20 percent, Edwards is at 22 percent, and Hillary is at 26 percent,” Biden says. “That would be a big victory for me.”

I can see the logic in that scenario, but not with this analysis…

He savors that for a moment. “Barack spends as much as Hillary and has all that organization and all that hype! And he gets beaten by Hillary by six points!” Biden says as if his fictional numbers were not fictional.

Six points wouldn’t be that big of a deal for Barack. Double digits would be. Let’s all remember, few knew who this guy was a little over a year ago. Now he’s beating every single Republican candidate in national matchup polls. So I think he has some staying power past Iowa.

In any event, will Biden by the spoiler? Well, he’s been one of the highlights of the debates recently since he’s drawn a clear distinction between himself and the front runners on foreign policy. But now the race seems to be shifting to the economy so that may hurt him.

Also, what’s next for Biden after he places 4th in Iowa? Does he really think that will catapult him? It appears the only person he’s really upsetting is Bill Richardson. And Edwards has 3rd place locked down tight. If anything, the surprise of the night seems like it will be coming from Edwards’ camp, not Biden’s.

We shall see…

(Cross-posted from Donklephant)

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