Clilnton FBI Investigation

One astonishing characteristic about this presidential race is that Democrats who were justifiably outraged about every violation of the rules and acts to obstruct government transparency under George W. Bush are willing to defend actions which were often worse when committed by Hillary Clinton. Even if they are willing to excuse her actions on partisan/tribal grounds, it is a risky proposition to nominate a candidate whose activities are under FBI investigation. It would be like the Republicans nominating Nixon after the facts about Watergate were known. The Hill considers Clinton’s problems in discussing The Chaos Scenario for Democrats:

It’s the scenario that Republicans dream of and Democrats believe is all but impossible: Hillary Clinton being forced to drop out of the presidential race due to criminal charges over her email server.

Any bombshell findings in the FBI’s investigation of Clinton could plunge the Democratic race into chaos…

In the event that Clinton stepped aside after winning the nomination at the convention, the Democratic National Committee could decide on the replacement on its own.

If an indictment came before the convention, the path would be more difficult.

Unlike the Republican Party, which binds most of its delegates to candidates regardless of delegates’ personal preferences, Democratic candidates have input on who represents them on the convention floor.

“There are no Clinton-bound delegates who would prefer voting for Sanders, for example,” delegate expert and University of Georgia professor Josh Putnam, told The Hill.

“Those folks are essentially hand-picked to be loyal. They are unlikely to stray.”

They discussed options including Sanders winning the nomination based upon his delegate strength, versus party leaders turning to a more establishment candidate:

“The superdelegates would flee first because they are politicians,” said one Democratic strategist who has worked on presidential campaigns.

“They are most likely to feel the pressure not to cast their ballots in favor of a nominee under indictment.”

If enough pledged Clinton delegates and superdelegates went to Sanders and delivered him 2,383 delegates, he would win the nomination.

But delegates could also coalesce around a new candidate not in the race. One likely fallback would be Vice President Biden, who came very close to running for president last year.

But denying Sanders the nomination could come with a heavy price, potentially alienating the millions of Democrats who cast ballots for him in the primary process…

Should the party be forced to leave Clinton, one thing that could work against Sanders is his late arrival to the Democratic Party. He’s spent his entire 30-year career in Congress as an Independent, and recently said he ran for president as a Democrat for media coverage.

“Most of these other politicians and political leaders in the community, they don’t really know Bernie Sanders because he’s never been a national Democrat,” the Democratic strategist said.

“They know Joe [Biden], they know John Kerry. It’s completely conceivable that they would turn from somebody they know and respect — Hillary — to somebody else they know and respect and bypass Sanders.”

This assumes a clear cut result should Clinton be indicted when there is time to chose another candidate. I suspect the outcome of the current investigations might not be so clear cut. The FBI could recommend indictment, but this does not mean that the Obama Justice Department would agree to prosecute. News of such an FBI recommendation would be huge if it were to come out. Is is quite possible that they might see Clinton as too big to prosecute, but she has three top aides in her campaign who also were involved in the handling of classified information under her at the State Department. Clinton might go on as the nominee if one or more of them were indicted, but it could greatly cripple her campaign.

It also must be kept in mind that, while the mishandling of classified information is the most dramatic complaint against her, with others prosecuted for doing less, this is only part of the entire scandal. Her actions included serious breaches of rules to promote government transparency, including new rules instituted under Obama in 2009 in response to the abuses under George W. Bush. Her claims, such as that what she did was allowed, have been repeatedly debunked by the fact checkers. She acted highly unethically in making decisions regarding parties who were either donating to the Foundation or paying unprecedented speaking fees to Bill. She also failed to abide by an agreement to divulge all donors while she was Secretary of State.

Reportedly the FBI has extended its investigation to such conduct at the State Department. Congress is also investigating, and I bet the Republicans will time matters to use this to embarrass Clinton during the general election campaign. It will not be as easy for her to respond to these legitimate concerns as it was to blow off the Benghazi nonsense from Republicans. All of this will provide a tremendous amount of ammunition for the Republican candidate this fall. If Donald Trump could destroy Jeb Bush by calling him low energy, imagine what he might do with actual evidence of unethical behavior by Clinton.

Democrats might wind up wishing that one of the scenarios play out early to allow them to pick a different nominee. Voters in the remaining primaries should also keep in mind that Bernie Sanders does better than Clinton against potential Republican candidates in the polls, and he is not under FBI investigation.

Originally posted at Liberal Values

Ron Chusid
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KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago
I used to get worked up about Hillary the same way Trump works me up now. Months ago I drew a line through their names. I am feeling a bit more desensitized with time. What to do?(!) In the end, I know I can make the biggest impact locally // through my actions. It is a losing proposition to wait for Clinton or Trump to change my quality of life or the quality of life in my community. I have always voted for what I thought was best for all of America. This cycle I am acutely interested in what… Read more »
Mike Miller
Member
6 months 5 days ago

Sanders can, simply by raising the minimum wage to $15. That change will ripple UP the wage ladder in a short amount of time, will NOT cause inflation (as historically proven), and will CUT your health insurance costs AND DEDUCTIBLES.
He is the continuation of American Policiy from FDR to LBJ, INCLUDING EISENHOWER.

KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago
Thanks for taking the time. I appreciate the feedback. “simply by raising the minimum wage to $15. That change will ripple UP the wage ladder in a short amount of time, will NOT cause inflation (as historically proven), and will CUT your health insurance costs AND DEDUCTIBLES. Obama told me my family would save $2500 a year, but two years ago my insurance went up 45%. Last year it went up another 45%. Are you suggesting that paying entry level employees $15 an hour will solve all of this?(!) Mike, I am 60 years old and have run my own… Read more »
Lorie Emerson
Member
6 months 5 days ago
The honest answer is that no president can. That would take legislation- state and federal. Even if min wage was raised- which it needs to be- the time line for it to get to $15 would still be about 5 years. National politics really has little in the way of immediate gratification except for going to war. If you want to discuss small business- then it’s universal healthcare. That, I believe, would be the biggest overall help- especially if it would rid us of work men’s comp and other ancillary insurances whose costs are largely based on medical expenses. Simplify… Read more »
KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago

“National politics really has little in the way of immediate gratification except for going to war.”

I completely agree.

KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago

“If you want to discuss small business- then it’s universal healthcare.” “Simplify the tax code- for us, compliance and unpredicted tax expenses are the true cost/ concern.”

Lorie, I can tell you know small business!

I am not sure we could be rid of worker’s comp but we could lower medical costs of workers comp, and perhaps better control fraud. There would still be the high cost of temporary totally or permanent partial disability. As well, permanent totally disability and vocational rehabilitation or training.

Lorie Emerson
Member
6 months 4 days ago

Personally, I would say go the Australian route and roll those costs over to unemployment. We don’t need a bunch of different programs. We already have a set up for retraining and temporary loss of work and we already have a set up for permanent disability with SSDI. (Of course, if the employer is negligent that’s different).

Ladislavv Din
Member
6 months 5 days ago
Drawing lines through names is a good symbolic act. Some time ago, I stopped watching both MSNBC and FOX News because of their intense bias and constant misinformation at opposite ends of the political spectrum. I also left the Democratic party, and became independent. All of this reduced my stress about politics, but offers no solutions. Gallup actually reports that a strong plurality of American votes — 43 percent — are now independents, the highest level in history, compared to 30 percent Democrats and 26 percent Republicans. I will did re-register as a Democrat, so I can vote AGAINST Hillary… Read more »
KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago

Your comment almost mirrors my own experience. I have not affiliated with a party for years and years. California is a semi-closed primary so to keep all options open to me I would have to register as a Republican. Typically, California’s primary is so late it doesn’t have meaning. This year could be different. I still have a couple months to decide.

Rachel Corey Katz
Member
6 months 4 days ago
KP- I turn 56 this year, I hear you. I am praying for all my life that Sanders wins. Here’s my answer to your question. You think it’s tough now, if Hillary or any of the GOP except Trump are elected the Fed will keep printing money and Wall St- who have already raped and pillaged our country and the world will will be completely unstoppable. this is our very last chance. The dollars you have may go the way of the Weimar Republic. Did you read Piketty and Galbraith and the other 170 economists report on how life would… Read more »
Rachel Corey Katz
Member
6 months 4 days ago

Oh and Henry ford said that cars had to be priced low enough for theemployees to buy them. If our nation gets back to work they will have enough to buy things, and whatever your business is, it will do better because people could actually buy something.

KP
Member
6 months 4 days ago
Thanks, Rachel Corey Katzam … I am aware that our military supports Trump or Bernie. If I only listened to the small but loud older Vets around here I would be mal-informed. Having a brother who is an Annapolis grad, who was a RIO in F-14s, was a Captain on the air craft carrier Abraham Lincoln, CAG (CVG, CVBG, CSG), a veteran of Middle East wars and ended his 35 years as Rear Admiral (ret) I stay aware. As well, living in San Diego and running with NAVY and Marines for the last thirty-five years I have a good handle… Read more »
dduck
Member
dduck
6 months 4 days ago

Do you work for the Trump campaign?

KP
Member
6 months 4 days ago

@ddudck.

Do you know what “Pacifico” is?(!)

They serve it in Puerto Nuevo, Baja, with lobster.

My tip to you, not that you needed it. Better late than never :-)

dduck
Member
dduck
6 months 4 days ago

Thanks. :-)

Mike Miller
Member
6 months 5 days ago

You are surmising that the Democratic Party intends to deny a Sanders nomination under any circumstances. That would be cutting their throats! He is actually the ONLY TRUE DEMOCRAT in the race, based on his platform.

Ladislavv Din
Member
6 months 5 days ago
This is a very even-handed, informed, and troubling article. It is beyond belief that the Democratic Party Establishment would dare to give We the People Hillary Clinton as a nominee for President of the United States of America. The only remote parallel in history is Watergate. When it became known that Nixon had conceals, altered, destroyed evidence relevant to Congressional and criminal investigations, Attorney General Elliot Richardson and top deputy resigned when pressured to participate in the coverup. Republican leaders in Congress went to Nixon and said “this cannot continue.” Do Democratic appointees and Congressional leaders have that level of… Read more »
KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago

@Ladislavv Din …. All of what you said x2.

chas
Member
chas
6 months 5 days ago

The entire situation is a direct outcome of both parties control of the election process. The public is increasing aware the candidates with the parties “seal of approval” are not necessarily working on our middle class behalf. We are increasingly aware neither Democrats or Republicans will actually resolve the growing financial problems for us. So a Bernie Sanders or a Donald Trump become viable when once they were unthinkable. The Electorate may finally have “slipped ” their collective leashes. Change is in the wind.

KP
Member
6 months 5 days ago

THIS!

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