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Posted by on Nov 15, 2016 in 2014 Elections, 2016 Elections, 2016 Presidential Election, Government, Mental Health | 8 comments

The Gory Details

On November 4th, at 6 AM, my old friend cellulitis made a surprise visit, as I suddenly began to get chills that seemed more like I was on an arctic expedition with only a sheet, than my warm bedroom with a nice blanket. I immediately ran to the medicine cabinet and took the antibiotics that I have on hand for just such an emergency. Got under the blankets and rode out the teeth-chattering chills. A few later, the fever broke and I had to swap out my entirely soaked t-shirt for a dry one. Kept up my regimen all day Friday and Saturday. It didn’t get worse; but it didn’t get better, either.

By Sunday morning, I was all but out of meds, and only UrgentCare was open for business. I went there. I was sent to the Sacred Heart Emergency Room.  They started hitting me with three IV antibiotic shots. Six hours later, they found a hospital bed, and I was checked into Sacred Heart Riverbend hospital, and while they were checking me into my room, I told them I couldn’t breathe. This had only started during our trip to San Diego. I feared that there was something horribly wrong with my lungs.

One chest x-ray later, I found out that I had an undiagnosed heart issue. They transferred me to the cardio floor.

Had it not been for Obamacare, at that moment, my family would have been bankrupted. Just remember that.

And so, I, longtime political blogger was found isolated in a hospital room without internet access (or much more than basic cable) on the Sunday, Monday and Tuesday of the election. I could only watch.

Finally, when the election returns started coming in, it was kind of weirdly hinckey: predicted states came in AS predicted. Battleground states teeter-tottered back and forth later and later into the night.  More predicted states came in just a predicted, but then an odd thing:

The long-shot three “Blue” states of the upper Midwest, Michigan, Wisconsin AND Minnesota all became “tossup states.”

What I had feared was coming to pass: I had often wondered why no one ever questioned the 2014 election, where everything came in “too good to be true” for Republican candidates. At the house and senate levels, they weren’t just winning MOST of the close races, they were winning ALL of the close races.

Having witnessed the shady double-dealings of the GOPs in 2000 and 2004, I’d thought at the time: This may well be the trial run for a machine to steal the 2016 election.

What I saw on that Tuesday confirmed my worst fears in spades. Every “predicted” (by the outliers of the Trump campaign ONLY) state was a “tossup.”

When you stop to consider that losing just ONE “battleground” state was “GAME OVER” for the Trumpsters, the “miracle” fell more and more into the category I like to call “too good to be true,” as in “if it seems too goo to be true, it probably isn’t. True, that is.”

I have too long a track record of pattern recognition and spotting things long before anyone else to give you further “evidence.” I saw what I saw.

To the point that at an early hour, I turned it off in disgust. It was like watching a boxer take a dive, or a completely questionable “foul” that draws the flag that changes the outcome of the game: that famous moment in the 90s when the officials moved Florida the length of the football field in the closing seconds of the national championship game so that they could defeat Nebraska, who had just, seemingly, won the game with a late score.

The invisible hand always leaves a footprint.

Later, as I slept fitfully, my inner “alarm” went off and I woke up, sat straight up and turned on CNN: the chyron at the bottom announced the “election” of Donald Trump.

Yeah. The fix WAS in. I turned off the TV and didn’t  bother watching for several days. To have turned it on would have been to collaborate in the crime, as all the talking heads in America went into a (continuing) orgy of rationalizations that the election was on the up and up.

Sure: either every political professional in America (including pundits, pollsters and analysts using separate metrics) was completely wrong, or else something else happened.

Thence, I had a week to analyze what I saw and what to do about it without ANY external input.*

[* Sad to say that when I came back, the various responses to this were as nonsensical as they were predictable. Mostly, with Democrats and Progressives, rather than blaming the monstrousness of the vile Republicans, they have engaged in savage navel-gazing, blaming themselves for the the theft of THEIR votes. Democrats are usually too scared to fight Republicans. They might get called bad names and cry.]

But if you’ve followed the festival of mendacity since 2000, you’ve watched as polls and then specifically EXIT polls have been discredited as election results have varied wildly from predictive models.

Of  course you could buy the endless post-facto rationalizations that this or that was missed, etcetera, etcetera. Why you’d think that political prognosticators in America were worthless stumble-bums who are all lucky to be able to figure out which end of the milk carton to open on a good day.

But even the senate races were going “too good to be true” save for the lagniappe of Tammy Duckworth in Illinois. But that was, just like Minnesota, the race tossed in just so it wouldn’t look TOO perfect.

And so I began to comprehend the enormity of the crime — Hillary just went up by over a million votes today, BTW:

Clinton’s lead in the popular vote passes 1 million
Madeline Conway / Politico

—  Hillary Clinton’s lead in the popular vote over President-elect Donald Trump has surpassed 1 million, according to Dave Wasserman of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.  —  As the final vote counts continue to trickle in a week after Election Day …

Oopsies.

You see, this wasn’t SUPPOSED to be stolen for Trump. It was supposed to be Marco Rubio or Jeb Bush or some “respectable” Republican, but it ended up Trump — because there was too much at stake to let Hillary win.

And then I thought about how “dangerous” my truth was: IF, in fact, the election was clearly stolen (even though the Democratic candidate had now won the popular vote in seven of the last eight elections), despite massive attempts at voter manipulation, intimidation, suppression and a collaborating US Supreme Court more than happy to gut the voting rights act, questionable voting machines, etc. etc. etc. it has become taboo to suggest that the party openly trying to keep “those people” from voting might be cheating. Massively.

Nosirree. Instead, we take Occam’s Razor and attempt to slit the throats of our pollsters and analysts, suggesting (as did several morons on Election eve) that this was a big a debacle for them as the Dewey-Truman contest of 1948. Right: and the glitches with ENIAC (first “modern” computer, announced in 1946)  are JUST THE SAME AS the glitches in a Windows 10 computer of 2016 using a seventh generation chip.

Right.

 

occam's razor HW

Occam’s razor suggests that the most elegant solution is the correct one: and given the expertise of our political predictors and EXIT polling SINCE 1948, the conclusion that no one wants to hear is that a very sophisticated mechanism has been put in place to throw elections and hold the minority party in perpetual power.

But the stampede of rationalization has continued apace since November 8, and I do not expect it to stop. The theft must be normalized, else the consequences are too grave to bear: a nation divided, with a fundamental breach in the social contract, the Constitution hijacked, the nation’s future stolen by the same greedy, grasping hands that have allowed our nation to rot and our people to spoil just so that more and more of the common wealth can flow into the few pockets.

No, this is a fundamental crisis, else we go the way of Roman democracy: the Republic ended just as Augustus announced its “restoration.” They kept the FORMS, but within a couple of generations, no one batted an eye at Caligula or Nero, because the notion of democracy was then understood to be quaint. Caligula even got in on the fun by making his favorite horse a senator.

The problem with all analysis I’ve seen since is this: GIGO. In assuming that the election was on the up and up, the fault lies with Hillary, with the DNC, with pollsters and pundits. With not being Bernie enough. With not “appealing” to those mythic lunch-bucket Democrats that mysteriously appeared in lemming-like numbers to throw each and every election the right way.

And the pundits of America do their very best imitation of a teenage girl sitting in a dark closet ritually cutting herself.

Both are equally neurotic, but the teenage girl can get professional help. (Not so with our innumerable pandita.)

Having identified MY truth, I move to the second phase: so what do you do?

Lincoln and I would agree on this, probably. He saw that the Constitution was the enabling document (the SECOND) for our Prime Directive, contained not in the Constitution but in the Declaration:

… Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.

Having stolen the just consent of the governed (along with the Constitution itself), it seems incumbent that we resist.

it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.

The choice is yours. You can die on your feet or live on your knees.

As for me, I choose feet.

This does not mean running into the streets with a gun, but, FIRST, that I dishonor their “election” and reject their “candidate” based on the GOP example since 1992, never letting Bill Clinton actually take office, never allowing Barack Obama to actually govern. Now we are suffused with the old BS that we have to give the Usurpers a “fair shot.” Bull. This is the rationalization of the quisling, the creed of the collaborator. We are a house divided. We might as well recognize it and move on. They attempt to steal our country. I believe that they have, instead, purchased their own grave.

This is the reason for the protests: a fundamental, inarticulate understanding of the horrific magnitude of a crime that no one dares name.

I am at home, recovering from a literal broken heart. But don’t waste your compassion on me. Weep for your country.

Oh: And what did I do NOT watching TV for a week?

I re-read The Personal Memoirs of Ulysses S. Grant. It was the right book to read.

Now I’m reading Sherman’s.

Courage.

cross-posted from his vorpal sword.

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Copyright 2016 The Moderate Voice
  • yoopermoose

    I believe the election was stolen. I told my spouse on election night there was shenanigans going on. The exit polls favored Hillary. The paper ballots are the property of the corporation that provided the optic scanning machines. They cannot be obtained and checked against the optic scanner count. Trump kept saying the election was rigged. He was right. It was rigged against the democrats.

    • HART WILLIAMS

      Exactly. But none dare call the emperor naked.

      Greg Palast has the definitive take:

      http://www.gregpalast.com/election-stolen-heres/
      The Election was Stolen – Here’s How… – Greg Palast
      GREGPALAST.COM|BY GREG PALAST

      • Lorie Emerson

        Add in the open theft of the Supreme Court, and the use of the People’s House and our FBI to smear a candidate. Others argued with me when I brought up the voting machines- like those removed from CA and installed in Kansas- but the only reason Obama won was overwhelming turnout. Karl Roves reaction in 2014 proved that to me. Now, we have in power a group of authoritarians who do not believe in democracy. You can’t openly applaud suppressing votes and believe in Democracy. You can’t steal the Supreme Court and believe in Democracy.
        Organize now, before they have full control. It might already be too late…

  • JSpencer

    “And the pundits of America do their very best imitation of a teenage girl sitting in a dark closet ritually cutting herself.”

    An apt metaphor, but a generous one. I too removed myself from the MSM to a large extent, and for the same reason you did. The last thing I need right now is to watch our dissembling joke of a media try to normalize this hideous event. Fortunately for me, the weather have been unusually nice in Michigan, so I’ve been able to spend a great deal of time outside. When I’m ready to rejoin the confused hoards, I’ll be recharged and ready. I’m not surprised at all there are so many dangerous idiots who have figured out how to vote, I’m just surprised there were so many of them. When I’m out and about these days, I look around at my fellow Americans in an entirely different light than before, a light that is much, much dimmer.

    • HART WILLIAMS

      I went into the hospital in one America and emerged into a much different one: crueler, meaner, on a road to perdition. Thanks JS.

  • dduck

    San Diego= rigors, ER, Sepsis for Dduck. Medicare good.
    Obama= “You want to give me a good send-off, go vote.”
    DNC= “When you’re full of s—, you need a place to dump the excess if you’re to keep going.” https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2016/10/19/talk-about-an-october-surprise-a-dnc-bus-dumped-stinky-poo-into-a-ga-storm-drain/

  • bookworm914

    I haven’t quite understood whether Hart is describing ‘rigging’ by stuffing ballot boxes (or digital equivalent), or with publicly acknowledged manipulation of the law. The latter are undeniable – suppression schemes like opaque voter ID requirements, last minute ‘poorly designed’ purges of voter rolls, felon disenfranchisement, inequitable distribution of polling resources; partisan political interference like Comey’s letter, admission that Benghazi committees were about damaging Clinton’s public image; structural problems like gerrymandering, voting on a Tuesday instead of a holiday, 1-choice plurality-wins balloting…
    It’s foolish, and therefore entirely counter-productive, to claim hacked voting machines (or whatever), on the basis of sample opinion polling. A few technical reasons follow, for how opinion polls are not evidence on this point. Assuming that the problem is legal rigging rather than illegal rigging, talking about illegal rigging a) distracts from the actual problems, b) weakens our credibility when we can’t prove it, c) makes people more afraid of fraud, more accepting of ‘ballot security’ nonsense, ie directly makes the actual problem worse.
    Results different from the polls aren’t evidence of fraud:
    – a lot of poll aggregators had Clinton and Trump within margin of their sampling error nationally, or at least in the swing states that mattered – that means they admit they were making an educated guess about who was ahead, rather than a solid prediction;
    – High rural turnout, and reduced urban / minority turnout (possibly because of voting restrictions like ID?), made the electorate more Trump-favorable than most polling models predicted. Again, that’s because pollsters were guessing based on recent elections, and this election acted differently from other recent elections.
    – Faux News-induced paranoia about mainstream institutions can systemically bias polling, making calculations and margins of error way off base. This specifically accounts for the 2014 elections that Hart says made him suspicious in the first place. Here’s what I mean – statistical sampling assumes that people on all sides of the question are equally likely to answer the question. Probably somewhere between phone call #200 and #215, the poll has called 100 people who support Trump and 100 who support Clinton, and it assumes that, out of those first 100 on each side, the same number of Trump and Clinton supporters actually participated in the survey (about 90% refuse, over all). But what if the people on one side distrust institutions, including or especially pollsters, significantly worse – would more of them refuse to participate? Maybe 12% of Clinton supporters are answering, and only 8% of Trump supporters are answering. Not only would that skew polls a lot, the pollster won’t know it’s happening, so none of it is baked into the sampling margin of error that gets reported.
    – The recent track record of popular vote polling is actually abysmal. Set aside weaknesses in the US in 2014; in the last 5 months: Brexit was supposed to fail comfortably, and the peace accord in Columbia was supposed to pass comfortably. “Once is an accident, twice coincidence, three times enemy action.” But the reactionaries here aren’t manipulating voting in England and South America: take off your tin foil hat. At best, major errors in 3 separate countries/cultures show that the polling itself is flawed. Even if I’m wrong about the reason, this is clearly some enemy of pollsters making polls inaccurate.

  • KP

    My brother, so glad to hear you had appropriate medical care when you needed it. I have had _bad_ cellulitis before. It is very painful and deadly serious.

    Most often Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). Most docs try keflex first but it has never worked for me. Intravenous Roecehpin has been the slam dunk treatment for me since 1999.

    My dealio ===>

    Keep skin clean after exercising

    Never open pimples on legs for those of us who shave

    Do not wait to seek treatment if it hurts like hell and your elbow looks like a football.

    On Politics, I do my best and try to relax. It a pendulum.

    ZBB “I got my toes in the water, ass in the sand …. ”

    I have no money but I live that philosophy.

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