NY-9 sure looks bad for Democrats. Retired cable TV executive Bob Turner (R) (he launched the failed Rush Limbaugh TV show after huge success with Jerry Springer) defeated state Assemblyman David Weprin (D) in the special election for the House seat held by former New York Rep. Anthony Weiner (D). The last time a Republican won there was in the 1920’s. But… consider this:

Since 2008, New York has had four five special elections, in NY-20, NY-23 NY-29, NY-26 and NY-9. In every all but one case, the seat flipped. NY-20, NY-23, which hadn’t been held by a Democrat since the Civil War, is still in Democratic hands even after the brutal 2010 election.

For all the talk about liberal NY (six Democrats also won in special NY assembly races yesterday), the district is more blue collar conservative than the rest of the city. As such, the district may be phased out of existence next year as part of census-mandated congressional redistricting.

JOE WINDISH, Technology Editor
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Copyright 2011 The Moderate Voice
  • smmsmm57

    Difficult district for “modern day (generally secular) Democrats” and still – they must win them. But not with present Obama’s leadership. Congress is even less popular though, and that partially explains Democratic successes in ancestrally Republican districs. it seems to me that voters are, generally, in serious “contrarian” mood now…

  • And don’t forget the number of Orthodox Jews who opposed the Mosque and Obama’s Israel policy.

  • zippee

    …and I remember how bad the 2009 special elections looked for Republicans after a Dem won and Dems after a GOPer won…

    …blah, blah, blah…

  • Add one more to the Obama-Bush similarities: poison to his own party.

  • PATRICK EDABURN, Assistant Editor

    I don’t consider this election to be that big of a deal any more than I considered the others to be.

    But it is interesting that some who crowed about how the GOP losses were big deals are now saying NY-9 is nothing (and vice versa)