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Posted by on Mar 11, 2009 in Politics | 2 comments

NY20: Murphy Closing in on Tedisco?

A new (or perhaps not so new) poll in the Empire State is showing Democrat Scott Murphy closing the gap on Republican Assembly Minority Leader Jim Tedisco.

Tedisco, the state Assembly minority leader, holds a 7-percentage-point lead over Murphy, a 39-year-old venture capitalist, according to the late February survey by the Benenson Strategy Group. The margin was 44 to 37 percent, with Libertarian Eric Sundwall at 4 percent, and 15 percent of voters undecided.The poll was paid for by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

This poll was actually conducted between Feb. 24 – 25, so I’m not sure why we’re only getting the results released now. In any event, this shows a tightening from the 12 point lead Tedisco held in early February, with the Libertarian candidate holding steady at 4 points. Sundwall’s numbers appear to be coming mostly from Tedisco’s column, complicating the race.

The economy is rated as the top issue for voters by a wide margin, and Tedisco has been drawing criticism from his opponent for evading the question as to whether or not he would have voted in favor of the recent stimulous bill. (He later said that he would have voted for the bill, but only “with amendments.”) There are still at least two more debates to come, and twenty days left until the election, so it’s far too soon to call this one.

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  • joegandelman

    I’ve been on the road the past few weeks (and this will continue the rest of this week) so my posting has been very limited, and I usually don’t have time for comments (if I want to do posts) due to my schedule. But on this one, if you’ve been following some of the political stories, if the Democrat wins Michael Steel’s many enemies in the GOP’s conservative wing will try to use it to force him out. One report said that no matter what some were pressing for a no confidence vote after this election, but if the Demmie prevails, you can expect a full court press to use it to get him out. There are other issues besides Rush, but to some anyone who goes after Rush is the enemy so a defeat here would bring it all together. Now, who would they replace him with? And how would it be perceived not just to political writers…but to those Republicans who aren’t fans of Limbaugh (since no matter what the other issues to many it will be seen as using the election as an excuse to get back at him for the Rush flap)? Stay tuned…but the betting is that if the Demmie wins, Steel will have a fight on his hands.

  • GeorgeSorwell

    There was a comprehensive discussion of Steele and NY 20 at 538.com.

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