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Posted by on Jul 23, 2007 in At TMV | 16 comments

I Got Dem Counterinsurgency Blues Again: Or How Iraq Became Vietnam




Counterinsurgency = Political Action + Civic Action + Counter-guerrilla Operations — BERNARD FALL

The great war correspondent Bernard Fall understood Vietnam better than the French, whom he predicted would fail in their war against Ho Chi Minh’s national liberation movement, as well as the Americans, whom he also predicted would fail although they went about doing so a great deal more creatively.

Fall, who reported from Vietnam from 1953 until he stepped on a landmine in 1967, took no pleasure in being right. He supported both the French and American causes, but he was harshly critical of the U.S.’s failure to learn from France’s mistakes, especially its inability to understand the value of counterinsurgency warfare instead of relying on the 1960s version of Shock and Awe.

As Fall’s terse equation above this article indicates, counterinsurgency warfare is in essence a multi-pronged effort against insurgent forces — guerrillas, if you will — the goal of which is to beat them at their own game. Robert the Bruce, Mao Zedong, Josef Broz Tito and Ho, among other legendary figures in the history of warfare, conquered Scotland, China, Yugoslavia and Vietnam, respectively, because they were able to run circles around their foes although they were substantially larger and better equipped.

So it has been with the Sunni insurgency in Iraq.

Although the Bush administration would like you to believe otherwise, those guerrillas have taken far more American lives than highly publicized Al Qaeda bombings, and attacks are at their highest level in four years despite claims that the surge is succeeding.

Bernard Fall would have been saddened but not surprised that the politicians and generals planning the war made a conscious decision to avoid confronting the Ghost of Vietnam Past.

The rank dereliction of Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz and Franks — that is, their fundamental inability to understand the battlefield and what had to happen after the U.S. secured an inevitable victory by conventional means — becomes more astonishing with every passing year. That dereliction is directly responsible for the catastrophic mess that is Iraq today.

The ghost haunted the first three years-plus of the war until two savvy generals — General David Petraeus and Lieutenant General Raymond Odierno — arrived on the scene in the umpteenth change of command ordered by a White House that was finally beginning to understand that bluster was no substitute for results.

Petraeus, who runs the whole show in Iraq, has been a tireless advocate of ditching conventional warfare (or “babysitting a civil war,” to use Barack Obama’s stinging putdown) in favor of counterinsurgency. Not coincidentally, Petraeus is the man behind the Army’s updated manual on same, while it has been up to Odierno, who is in charge of day-to-day operations, to make sure that “all oars are pulling in the same direction,” to use a counterinsurgency cliché.

So now that the U.S. command has appeared to have learned from a fundamental mistake, can this new strategy — the key component of the surge — succeed?

The answer is complex but ultimately disheartening because Iraq has morphed into another Vietnam insofar as the conduct of the war itself is concerned, and that is not going to be wished away.

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