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Posted by on Nov 9, 2016 in 2016 Presidential Election, African-Americans, Government, Politics, Women | 11 comments

Hillary Clinton’s Epic Failure


EDITOR’S NOTE: This was posted Monday and is being reposted today due to its renewed timeliness.

In the pre-2016 political world, the election was supposed to be a congenial race between the Bush’s and the Clinton’s. With Barack Obama’s juggernaut and a lackluster Republican nominee, the campaign would have some light but little heat while she glides her way into the Oval Office. One little thing got in the way of Hillary Clinton’s presumptive path to the presidency, Donald J. Trump.

When Clinton loses tomorrow night, there will be a lot of finger pointing of how she lost to a first time candidate with a ton of the types of baggage that sunk the presidential hopes of Gary Hart and Ted Kennedy. However, as a foreshadowing of what’s to come in the Wednesday morning quarterbacking, there are three reasons why Trump will win and it comes down to one word which also begins with the letters TRU and that is TRUST.

There are historically three major voting blocks of the Democratic Party base – women, African Americans and young people – all three of these groups have a strong level of distrust of Hillary Clinton.

1) Women do not TRUST Hillary for saying she is for women’s rights while attacking the women her husband preyed upon. I believe using that tactic against Trump actually had an unintended consequence of showing the number of glass windows of her own house. It was a political gamble which did not move the needle positively in her favor and may have reminded women of lingering doubts as to her motives.

2) African-Americans still remember the 2008 primary election against Barack Obama. In a lot of people’s minds, they mention they thought Hillary Clinton started the birther issue during that bruising primary. In several churches I visited, a major issue was the instigation of zero tolerance which occurred under the Clinton Administration. In Baltimore, usually a city when this time of year you will find hundreds signs supporting the Democratic nominee, this year the silence is deafening.

3) Millennials came out strongly for Bernie Sanders and are less than enthusiastic about Hillary Clinton. In my discussions with university students, the words that describe Clinton are the following: corrupt, career politician and a person who is in it for herself.

These three above groups are the margin of victory Barack Obama needed to win his two terms; they are simply not excited by Clinton’s candidacy. Sometimes in politics – it’s not about your opponent; it’s about you. Without that excitement, Hillary Clinton is in danger of turning what most experts expected to be a coronation earlier in 2016 into a stunning November defeat.

photo credit: Gage Skidmore Hillary Clinton via photopin (license)

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  • The Ohioan

    LOL The TRUST voters have in Clinton doesn’t compare to the TRUST they have in Trump, that much is true. No comparison. Have you been in contact with Karl Rove recently? This sounds like the 2012 predictions he made.

    Your link to the NBC news titled “Gingrich, Giuliani, Priebus Eyed for Top Jobs in Trump White House: Sources” was informative, however. Especially Lt. Gen. Flynn

    P.S. Those long, long lines of Latino voters should probably be taken into account as well.

  • Slamfu

    Hillary Clinton has been under a microscope for ages, and particularly the last 4 years. Courtesy of baseless Republican allegations she has been subjected to more high level scrutiny from Congress, the FBI, and media than I think anyone ever in American politics. And they have all come up empty. A thinking person might begin to wonder if the GOP was simply making it all up as they went. A thinking person might actually take the results of these inquiries and investigations all failing to find any wrongdoing as a sign that Hillary Clinton is actually pretty damn trustworthy.

    An unthinking person would probably let the accusation alone do the work of truth, even in the face of consistent findings to the contrary. An unthinking person might not realize that you can’t find evidence of something that doesn’t exist, and that when you don’t find it, it doesn’t necessarily mean something deeper and more nefarious is going on. An unthinking person might be suspicious of someone constantly telling them where there is smoke there is fire, especially when the only ones who smell the smoke are the same ones trying to sell you a fire extinguisher.

  • bluespapa

    Will Campbell do some soul searching when she wins?

    Didn’t think so.

    • Slamfu

      A new metaphor just hit me. It’s like a type of political hypochondria. People that keep going to the doctor, insisting they are sick, when test after test shows that not to be the case, yet still they persist in their belief they have a medical problem. That’s what this ongoing effort to investigate and find some criminal problem with Clinton is like.

  • dduck

    Trust me, TC, HC is more trust-able because she is more predictable.

  • rudi

    Women, African Americans and millennials are all part of the democratic base. Add Latino’s voting in RECORD numbers and Hillry is going to win. The Latinos will spend Trump to the swamps in Mexico.

    But while we’re in something of a wait-and-see mode, one demographic split caught my eye. That was from a Public Religion Research Institute poll conducted on behalf of The Atlantic. It showed a massive gender split, with Clinton trailing Trump by 11 percentage points among men but leading him by 33 points among women. To put those numbers in perspective, that’s saying Trump would defeat Clinton among men by a margin similar to Dwight D. Eisenhower’s landslide victory over Adlai Stevenson in 1952, while Clinton would defeat Trump among women by a margin similar to … actually, there’s no good comparison, since no candidate has won a presidential election by more than 26 percentage points since the popular vote became a widespread means of voting in 1824. To get to 33 points, you’d have to take the Eisenhower-Stevenson margin and add Lyndon B. Johnson’s 23-point win over Barry Goldwater in 1964 on top of it.

  • alatebloomer

    She hasn’t failed, as you advocate. Women, including women of color, aren’t against Clinton. We weren’t allowed to vote until 1920, which is a travesty in our supposedly democratic nation. Most of us that use our brains identify with her.

  • JSpencer

    I don’t know what Tony Campbell is drinking, but I can’t wait for it to go the way of the Edsel.

  • Dorian de Wind, Military Affairs Columnist

    EDITOR’S NOTE: This was posted Monday and is being reposted today due to its renewed timeliness.

    We get it 🙂

  • T-STEEL, Site Administrator

    Well Mr. Campbell. You hit the nail on the head on 1,2, and 3. Wow.

    • dduck

      Wow, forgot this great prediction, thanks T.

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