Republican Memo: ‘The deepest GOP hole since the Great Depression’

The news coming out of the Republican bastion state of Georgia these days isn’t so good for the GOP. Earlier this week Matt Towery and his InsiderAdvantage unveiled a statewide poll that suggested Bob Barr could put Georgia in play, and the Obama campaign knows it (that latter, btw, echoing something close to what Marc Ambinder said last week).

Then today comes a memo from two Republican strategists, David Johnson of Strategic Vision in Atlanta and Holly Robichaud of Tuesday Associates in Boston, in which they say that the GOP is in “the deepest hole it’s seen since the Great Depression.”

From the memo as quoted by the AJC’s Political Insider:

The Republican brand and identity with voters is at its lowest point since 1932 during the depth of the Great Depression. To compare the Party’s standing even to the depth of Watergate or the debacle of 1964 is to understate the situation….

The reason that the Party has not rebounded even marginally from 2006 is that it continues to be identified with George W. Bush. This invokes the comparison to 1932 and the midterm elections of 1934 and general election of 1936.

Democrats were able to exploit the Great Depression to become the majority Party in America for the first time since the Civil War by identifying the Republican Party with Herbert Hoover in the minds and hearts of Americans.

They were successfully able to equate Republicans with Hoover very much as Democrats are tying Republicans at all levels with George W. Bush. Indeed invoking Ronald Reagan, as is being done today, has echoes of Republicans in the 1930’s invoking Calvin Coolidge rather than mention Herbert Hoover.

Invoking Ronald Reagan now will do more for Republicans than invoking Calvin Coolidge did Alf Landon and Republicans in 1934 and 1936….

In a corporation, after losses such as the Party suffered, at the very least there would be public apologies to the stockholders and a massive public relations campaign designed to show the change and put the company on offense, at the most extreme there would be a complete housecleaning of leadership.

Political Insider has the full memo.

13 Comments

  1. Invoking Ronald Reagan (when there was still a GOP primary contest) didn't achieve anything of substance. Nobody was fooled.

    Everything points to a Dem win not only for the White House but elsewhere in Congress (and who knows how well the Dems will do in state and local elections). They should not be overconfident, but as I've told my liberal friend in DC, I certainly understand why any non-conservative Republican hater could not help but be overconfident at this point. To the Dem voters' credit, they have not routinely engaged in overconfidence. Maybe it's because of the close Dem contest for the White House, maybe it's the recollection of Gore having everything in his hands and promptly losing first the debates, then the 2000 election to none other than desperation-well-known-name GOP candidate George Bush.

    Have the Dem push and try to win the debates this time. Then you Dem voters can feel free to express confidence. Though you may well choose to just postpone the heavy stuff and channel it instead into an eruption* of gloating after the November election has been won, or after inauguration of your candidate next January

    * Paroxysmal or cataclysmic eruptions among the biggest Bush-GOP haters
    .

  2. So take the theory to its natural conclusion: that the Republican party will cease to be relevant and the U.S. will be a one party system. The real question is what happens when that happens.

    Considering that the Democratic Party has felt comfortable passing two huge pork filled bills in the last week, it is obvious that the era of massive government has returned.

  3. Did that era ever go away?

    Vote-buying (appealing to the many Dems who are willing to be bought) and bloated Washington ever incrementalist in its interventionism (D.C. politicians looooooooove power and selling it to lobbyists and other special interests) is, has been, and always will be the mistress of the modern welfare state in this country with its entitlements. The exploitive Dems in the 1930s knew very well what they were doing. “We will tax and tax, spend and spend, elect and elect.” (And he was not talking about the Soviet Union, for which the man who said that was an agent as well as top Dem administration member at the time. Thankfully we didn't go all the way toward European totalitarianism, be it with a stern or with a happy face.)

  4. “The real question is what happens when that happens.”

    In the end, breakdown prior to any catastrophe. It's not so much what pitiful resistance the GOP can provide as an opposition party or as a relative brake by just being Dems Lite when in power (Northeastern-West Coast-style RINOs). It's because the financial burden of Washington on the rest of us will eventually be crushing, not merely unprecedented (as the Social Security and Medicare program trustees have tried to warn people year after year after year, while the fans of Big Government deny there is a problem now or in the future, and attack those of us who know and are better about such things).

    Eventually, things will break down. It won't be limited to Dem special interest groups beginning to attack and fight each other over the dwindling goodies, either. There simply won't be the money eventually to pay for everything and if we were to borrow (which the Dems will eventually pursue more than anyone in the GOP has ever sought or defended) we'd eventually get into a debt trap and that will put an end to much more borrowing. By the time we get there our economy will be as bad as European economies often are in current times, and likely worse. We will be facing an aging population with a labor shortage that will be impossible to remedy either with pro-natality policies (which never have worked well anywhere) or with replacement migration (what would be required is absolutely impossible politically).

  5. “'The real question is what happens when that happens.'

    In the end, breakdown prior to any catastrophe.”

    [THE PLANET] KRYPTON WILL EXPLODE, JUST LIKE A GIANT BUBBLE!

    Heh, heh

  6. “[THE PLANET] KRYPTON WILL EXPLODE, JUST LIKE A GIANT BUBBLE!”

    Or like ambitious, conceited, or naive young liberals' dreams. It will be both more harsh and more drawn-out, incrementalist-worse, in all worse for libs than Americans' repudiation of old-school plus radical 1960s forms of liberalism in the 1980 elections. It will be more harsh than the 1994 elections, which shocked those who were clueless (the rest of us knew protest was going to be registered, and we were surprised but not shocked at the extent.) (Many liberals still resent 1980, and hate 1994, as well as the 2000 election results, to this day.)
    , and Americans' choices, and even Americans, to this day.) Dem voters, take note. (GOP-leaners largely know this already.) Times are grrrrrrrrrrreat now, even under Bush, compared to how they'll be 10-20+ years from now.

    It's not like the rest of us are going to be cheering at the demise of dreams; it's going to rough going for all of us at that time. Who knows how we'll end up facing and resolving (as best we can) the issues.

    As for how the true-blue Dems and truly GOP-hating Americans feel about this:

    “the deepest hole it’s seen since the Great Depression”

    I suspect it is this:

    “CRA-TER! CRA-TER! CRA-TER! …”

  7. “at the most extreme there would be a complete housecleaning of leadership.”

    That is coming whether the GOP likes it or not.

    “The real question is what happens when that happens.”

    IMHO this country gets back on track. We pull out of Iraq, balance the budget via raised taxes, the dollar stabilizes, the economy rebounds with renewed faith in a competent leadership, we start developing an actual energy policy not based on servile favors to the oil companies, scale back the military until it is equal to only the next 5 or 6 militaries combined, and start getting people expecting results instead of rhetoric from our leaders for a change.

  8. scale back the military………Okay we will start with your district. Lets slash your base. Lets take away your jobs and your city and states massive wealth resulting from the base in your city, county or state.

    Raise taxes. Absolutely. Cept Barak Obama is wanting to cut taxes for the middle class.

    Energy policy not based on servile favors to the oil companies. Great…..so lets destroy 10 million jobs. Lets eliminate 3.6 million gas stations.. Lets put another 1 million auto mechanics out of work. Yeah thats the ticket. Lets start in your state first.

    Lets expect our leaders to have results instead of Rhetoric? And this from someone whose entire campaign is based upon Smooth talking, Rhetoric?

    I know lets ask King Kennedy to lead this revolution. Oh wait he wants to coronate his wife after hes gone. Hmm. How about Hillary. Oh no she is the queen in waiting. Oh golly which one of these politicians actually has the balls to do something not designed to pad their pockets with cash.

    Oh Right Barak Obama………….So thats one……….anyone else? Anyone? Someone. Comeon volunteer to cut the military in your state. Tell your citizens they are out of a job. Come on. Lets splain to the millions why gasoline stations are out of business. GM and Ford have to cut their payrolls in half. Come on we can find someone to volunteer for that.

  9. Pork-filled bills were prevalent in Congress during both parties' leadership–it has more to do with Republicans discovering what Democrats knew all along- that its a lot easier to get reelected when you can point to improvements you have brought to your state or district. Cutting costs to the bone sounds good in theory, but doesn't work well in reality.

    Republicans are in a hole because they aquiesced to Bush policies that turned out to be disasterous for the country. They have well-known ties to the oil and defense industries which are bleeding tax-payers dry, and have resisted most forms of middle-class relief, while promoting corporate welfare.

    Invoking Reagan, Coolidge or even Abe Lincoln himself, will do no good, as the party needs to learn to respond to the problems of real Americans instead of clinging to rigid ideology.

  10. The GOP dug that hole themselves by pitting one American against the other for the GOP's own benefit. The chickens are coming home to roost. :)

  11. American voters count on liberals to be their conscience- conservatives to be the voice of reason and common sense. During the Bush administration, conservatives lost this reputation, as our foreign policy became more extreme, and our spending on defense contracts lacked any sense of accountability. If anything, response to the complete lack of oversight by the GOP in the first 6 years of the administration has been muted. Where is the outrage over too-cozy relationships between GOP congressmen and their corporate sponsors?

    Somehow, the GOP has forsaken the American consumer. They are willing to stand strong against increased veteran's benefits and an expanded children's health insurance program, yet don't even blink about the 8 billion lost by the CPA in the early years of the Iraq War??? They have little to say when oil CEO's admit to a yearly profit of 40 billion with a reinvestment of only 10 million in renewable fuel sources, while consumers pay for 4$ a gallon gas at the pump?

    They should all be kicked out on their well-padded behinds and move on to the great beyond —- well-renumerated years as a corporate lobbyist. 40% of Congressmen now take those jobs when they finally leave office. Has Congress become a training ground for the corporate lobbies?

  12. The energy solution to our needs has been found yet congress will not act upon it because oil and gas in this country directly or indirectly affects every man, woman and child in America.

    Tidal Generators can produce electricity with the simple flow of tides on the coasts. Wind generators according to Conoco/Phillips could supply the demands of all our energy with just the will to build them.

    But coal says no way. Oil says no way. Natural gas says no way.

    So when the Democrats get into office and suddenly they find Chevron or Exxon pushing a million dollars into their pockets with a wink and a smirk and suddenly your favorite congressman who vowed to save the world suddenly starts blaming things on the GOP or on this or that you will know that democrats, republicans..it does not matter.

    They are all power seeking Crooks. Turning in the door of their helicopters, flashing the peace sign with both hands while proclaiming “I am not a crook.”

    While their offshore bank account continues to go ding, ding, ding.

  13. kritt11, I agree wholeheartedly with you! Perhaps there's only so much outrage that one can have.

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