Poll Shows Big Obama North Carolina Rebound: Wright Race Speech Impact?

Not enough polls have come out yet to confirm if it’s a trend, but a new poll out in North Carolina shows Democratic Senator Barack Obama has seemingly rebounded in a big way from the controversy over the fiery comments made by his pastor and Obama’s speech on race.

The Huffington Post has this item:

A new poll by Public Policy Polling (pdf) has Obama regaining a sizable lead the dissipated during the worst of the Wright controversy coverage. Obama leads in the poll by 21 points over his rival, 55-34.

Obama leads 80-14% among black voters.

Clinton leads 47-40% among white voters, which is a noticeable tightening; she led 56-30% only a week before.

The big question over the past week has been whether Obama’s speech on race and the comments by Rev. Jeremiah Wright Jr. would cause him to rebound and regain some support, stop the political bleeding or simply flop. There are no signs yet that it was a flop, but few concrete poll signs that it was political home run. More polls are expected out over the next week that should give a bigger clue.

The question is: in the Democratic party primaries, at least, can Obama put this controversy behind him? And, as we noted earlier HERE today Senator Hillary Clinton today signaled that she is now using the Wright issue against Obama — a development that is further likely to polarize the party, since most Democrats above all want to minimize the political damage to the party in the general election.

UPDATE: TNR’s The Stump has the same reaction to this poll. Read the post in full but here’s their update:

For what it’s worth, the final PPP polls in Ohio, Texas, Wisconsin, and South Carolina were all pretty close to the mark. And when they’ve been off–like in Georgia–they’ve still been closer than most other outlets. (They don’t appear to have polled much in Super Tuesday states, or for the Potomac primary. Ditto Iowa and New Hampshire.)

UPDATE II: TPM Election Central notes that this means that if Clinton wins big in Pennsylvania her win could be offset by a big Obama win in North Carolina.

         

6 Comments

  1. The willingness of Sen. Clinton to try and make hay from the Wright connection looks to be more unfortunate evidence she cares more about her own quest for power than she does about the democratic party – and thereby the country as a whole. It's amazing to me that such a bright and capable person is so missing the larger picture. The republicans must just be loving this; perhaps in some strange way they even consider her to be an ally by now. Only the democrats…

  2. Its really stupid of her. Each and every time she's tried a traditional old fashion mud sling its come back to hit her in the back of the head. How someone can't learn from her mistakes by now clearly indicates to me she'd run the kind of general election campaign that Kerry did. And that she'd probably lose.

  3. Hillary seems to have lost her mind. This is becoming pathetic.

    The only way she could possibly win at this point would be to totally destroy the credibility of Barack Obama. It seems that she's trying to do just that. What a shame.

    Meanwhile the “beam in her own eye” emerges in the form a self serving misremembering of the “sniper fire” incident that never happened.

    Like George Bush, Senator Clinton seems to have a problem admitting to human error. This wasn't a verbal typo, i.e. “I misspoke”. It was either a conscious and rather stupid lie or a self serving misremembering.

    Clearly Hillary isn't stupid. She truly believed wah she said…but when the evidence showed she was wrong she should have humbly apologized and admitted the error instead of trying to spin her way out. If she had handled it honestly it would have actually humanized her.

    It's a shame that Hillary Clinton has come to a point where her public image would benefit from “humanization”.

    Clearly she is, at heart a great Lady and a good person. I guess the closer one get's to power the more corrosive the temptational acidity becomes, eh?

    Yet I would vote for he over McCain “in a heart beat”. John McCain is living in a world of totally blind ambition and absolute delusion. The war/occupation in Iraq is a total failure and was an abomination from day one.

    As far as I can tell; there are no saints running for office anywhere; meanwhile, I'm sticking with that flawed imperfect fellow, Barack Obama. Of the three people left in the presidential contest; he's the least corrupted.

    The real bottom line is the degree to which the American body politic, as a whole, can/will mature. We are still a nation of sheep.

    No “leader”; not even Barack is going to produce the changes we all want without lots of help from us, all of us.

  4. Nick, you said, “The only way she could possibly win at this point would be to totally destroy the credibility of Barack Obama. It seems that she's trying to do just that. What a shame.”

    Fortunately Hillary's not succeeding.

    By the way, good comments- thanks!

  5. I'd like to see the “party elders” step in and persuade – somehow – Hillary to bag it.

    Maybe then we can get to the business at hand – defeating McCain and trying to turn the country around.

  6. Slamfu said: “Each and every time she's tried a traditional old fashion mud sling its come back to hit her in the back of the head. “

    Actually, it has worked for her (re: the kitchen sink strategy). Bizarrely, HRC dropped off the radar and let Obama have the time to re-define himself re Wright.

    Clinton's campaign has been marred by a surprising lack of professional ruthlessness. There has been no single driver of her campaign like a Carville savaging Obama day in day out. That is what she needed. Instead, she had fat cat consultants like Penn soaking up millions in polling contracts.

    Slamfu said: “…clearly indicates to me she'd run the kind of general election campaign that Kerry did.”

    You are, I suspect, quite correct. I had given her higher marks for ruthlessness than this. Clearly I was in error.

    It is fascinating how the primaries/caucuses are revealing of the candidates in so many ways.

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