Chuck Todd on NBC/WSJ Poll and the “Bill Clinton Bump”

“… Who made that long case for ‘look, it may not feel good yet, but this is the right path’? Who is making that argument moreso than the President? It’s Bill Clinton. It’s hard not to look at this as the Bill Clinton bump.” – Chuck Todd [on MSNBC's Andrea Mitchell Reports]

WASHINGTON – On Andrea Mitchell Reports on Thursday, Chuck Todd teased some new numbers from a NBC/WSJ poll, which reveals the presidential race as it stands today is not just advantage Obama, but puts Pres. Obama leading Mitt Romney, who is now clearly behind in critical areas.

A tweet of one of the numbers:

Obama leading by 11 points on the standard of preparedness comes into stark clarity after the last 48 hours.

On the “are you better off” question, it’s now 38% say they are, compared to 31% who thought so before the Democratic National Convention.

Todd also noted there was a shift showing “big movement among independents” in the post convention polling. As for “is the cement drying?,” as Todd put it, no one should proclaim that, but it is one of those moment we’ll point to as significant if Romney ends up losing in November.

As bad as the last 3 weeks has been for Romney, then adding the new polling above, I’d say Mitt Romney is now the underdog. Historically, Americans roots for this guy, however, there’s no evidence anyone is rooting for Mitt Romney, starting on the Republican side. So Romney’s October 3 debate has to be something besides sound bites; he needs to do damage.

Taylor Marsh, a veteran political analyst and former Huffington Post contributor, is the author of The Hillary Effect, available at Barnes and Noble and on Amazon. Her new-media blog www.taylormarsh.com covers national politics, women and power.

         

5 Comments

  1. I’d say Mitt Romney is now the underdog. Historically, Americans roots for this guy, however, there’s no evidence anyone is rooting for Mitt Romney, starting on the Republican side.

    Sorry I can’t resist… not even dogs support the underdog. :)

    I, too, don’t know if the cement is drying and a lot can happen between now and the election. This has all come down on Romney in the last three weeks. If Obama has a bad three weeks (and no one is immune to having bad days… or weeks..) then Romney could very well win. Obama hasn’t reached a 50% “we’re better off today than four years ago” level.

    All we know is that Romney’s battle is tougher. With all the events happening in the world right now Obama could be doomed if he makes a single mistake… the Republicans will hound him to death. Romney has no responsibilities (other than to his campaign) and just needs to say the right things and attack Obama.

  2. No one likes Romney. He is the Rep nominee by default. He was the least crazy of the options, not the best option. The smart people are waiting until 2016.

  3. ” So Romney’s October 3 debate has to be something besides sound bites; he needs to do damage.”

    I have seen no evidence at all that Romney is capable of doing that. All Romney has are vague statements like “I love America” etc… and talking points that don’t hold up to scrutiny or fact checking. There is a far greater chance that Romney puts his foot in his mouth, as he has seemed to do at least once a week for quite a while now. I’m 99% sure Obama is going to work him like a speedbag at the debate.

  4. I still think the better off now vs. four years ago perception of so many is outrageous. Four years ago George W. Bush was running the country right into the ground. Housing markets, financial Markets, 401k balances were all going bust. Four years ago we were still losing our sons and daughters in Iraq. The list goes on and on. Outrageous!
    Now I feel the same about the wrong track right track perception. Four years ago, we were on a track that was taking us on a direct collision course with a second great depression. Don’t forget that the conductor driving the runaway train four years ago inherited no wars and a surplus. Outrageous!

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