The latest CBS News poll almost reads like a traveling story: former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain, who has wowed conservatives with his performance in recent Republican Presidential debates is going national — with his poll numbers going up. And Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who seemed not just not ready for Prime Time but not ready for Republican debates on not prime time, has going south.
And the news no one expected to see: in this poll of GOPers, Cane is now tied with former Massachesetts Gov. Mitt Romney, a candidate who has usually been atop of the Republican polls but who seems to be the candidate a ton of Republicans are frantically scrambling to head off at the nomination pass:
Herman Cain has moved into a tie with Mitt Romney atop the field of Republican presidential candidates, according to a new CBS News poll, while Rick Perry has fallen 11 percentage points in just two weeks.
The poll shows Cain, who stood at just five percent support two weeks ago, now holding 17 percent support among Republican primary voters. That puts the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO into a tie with Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, whose support has essentially held steady over the past two weeks.
Perry, meanwhile, has dropped from 23 percent support to just 12 percent support over the past two weeks, a sign that the Texas governor’s shaky debate performances – in which he has alienated portions of both the Republican base and the party establishment – have taken their toll.Eight in ten Republican primary voters said the candidates’ debate performances are at least somewhat important to them, and 58 percent said they have watched the debates that have already taken place. Just ten percent of Republican primary voters said they agreed with Perry that the children of illegal immigrants should be allowed to get in-state tuition, a contentious topic in recent debates.
The silver lining for Perry is the race remains fluid: Three in four Republican primary voters who chose a candidate also said it was too early to make up their minds completely. Just 19 percent said they had definitively decided who they would support.
Rounding out the field are Newt Gingrich with eight percent support, Ron Paul with seven percent, Michele Bachmann with four percent, Rick Santorum with three percent and Jon Huntsman with two percent. Eighteen percent said they were undecided or unsure.
The next few weeks should be fascinating ones. Now that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has said thanks but not thanks to Republicans virtually pleading with him to enter the race, unless former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin jumps in the key contest will be between Romney and The Non-Romney. Will it be Perry, who is expected to raise a ton of money in coming weeks? Or will Cane’s appeal as an honest talking conservative hold up and many conservatives vote in primaries with the hearts versus the political realism minds?
Joe Gandelman is a former fulltime journalist who freelanced in India, Spain, Bangladesh and Cypress writing for publications such as the Christian Science Monitor and Newsweek. He also did radio reports from Madrid for NPR’s All Things Considered. He has worked on two U.S. newspapers and quit the news biz in 1990 to go into entertainment. He also has written for The Week and several online publications, did a column for Cagle Cartoons Syndicate and has appeared on CNN.