A new CBS poll now shows that GOP Presidential candidate Sen. John McCain has eradicated Democratic Presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama’s post-convention bounce that had him leading McCain by 8 points just a week ago:
The presidential race between Barack Obama and John McCain is now even at 42 percent, according to a new CBS News poll conducted Monday-Wednesday of this week. Twelve percent are undecided according to the poll, and one percent said they wouldn’t vote.
This is in contrast to a poll conducted last weekend, where the Obama-Biden ticket led McCain-Palin by eight points, 48 percent to 40 percent.
McCain has also closed the enthusiasm gap some with Obama, but it still exists. Fifty-five percent of Obama’s supporters are enthusiastic about their choice, and now so are 35% of McCain’s. Last weekend, just 25 percent of McCain’s supporters were enthusiastic about him, compared to 67 of Obama’s supporters.
Look for that gap to close dramatically due to McCain’s selection of Palin, which is increasingly-exciting to the party’s conservative base. Many of them reportedly like Palin better than McCain. The key, of course, is how McCain-Palin fare in a variety of polls and the overall trend. But there’s no reason to expect that after McCain delivers tonight’s speech — which has been in the works for weeks — that he won’t enjoy a bounce in other polls as well.
Meanwhile, the latest Rasmussen poll shows just how vulnerable Obama and the Democratic ticket may be:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 43%. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 50%, McCain 45%. (see recent daily results).
Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Virtually all of the interviews for today’s update were completed before Alaska Governor Sarah Palin’s speech last night. Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.
Last night’s polling shows that, by a ten-to-one margin, voters believe reporters are trying to hurt Palin’s campaign rather than help. Republicans and unaffiliated voters strongly believe that a double standard is being applied to Palin because she is a woman. Democrats disagree. Perhaps most stunning is that, among unaffiliated voters, just 42% believe Obama has better experience than Palin to be President. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say Palin has the edge on experience. Again, most of the interviews for this survey were completed before Palin’s well-received speech last night.
Translation: the GOP experience argument is working. So expect it to continue (if it’s not broke, don’t fix it…).
Joe Gandelman is a former fulltime journalist who freelanced in India, Spain, Bangladesh and Cypress writing for publications such as the Christian Science Monitor and Newsweek. He also did radio reports from Madrid for NPR’s All Things Considered. He has worked on two U.S. newspapers and quit the news biz in 1990 to go into entertainment. He also has written for The Week and several online publications, did a column for Cagle Cartoons Syndicate and has appeared on CNN.