As we’ve all heard by now, Western Europe is relieved, and Eastern Europe is aggrieved, over President Barack Obama’s decision to scrap Bush-era missile shield bases in Poland and the Czech Republic.
This article by Marek Magierowski of Poland’s Rceczpospolita offers a good sense of how Poles view the decision.
So why did Obama do it? Magierowski gives three reasons:
“First, the Americans came to recognize that Iran will not soon be able to threaten Europe with its rockets – let alone the United States. Secondly, they decided to sacrifice the shield on the altar of good relations with Russia. Thirdly, they ultimately concluded that land bases in Eastern Europe are too expensive.”
So far so good – that all sounds fairly reasonable. Then comes the angst over being, as many Poles feel, ‘thrown under the bus’ as they say:
“That step may mean the beginning of a chillier epoch in Polish-American relations. The promise of further collaboration on a new system Defense Secretary Gates proposed may apply in 2015 at the earliest. In 2015, Barack Obama may no longer be president, or Robert Gates, Defense Secretary. A new system may come about … or not. Apart from that: what Polish prime minister would now sign an agreement with the U.S. government without fearing, a few months later, of being left out in the cold?”
Later, highlighting the reputation for bad judgment accrued by the U.S. intelligence services, Magierowski goes on to focus on Polish fears:
“What if Russia, in exchange for reducing its nuclear arsenal, also demands that Washington stop promoting the pro-Western ambitions of Ukraine and Georgia? Or suppose the Kremlin insists on a greater role in shaping the strategy of NATO? What if turns out, however, that Iran is closer to building a nuclear weapon than we think? Closer, for example, than it seems to the CIA, which let us recall was surprised by the outbreak of the Yom Kippur War [1973], the Iranian Revolution or the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Nor did it predict the collapse of the Soviet Union; it shamed itself on September 11, 2001 and then found “unshakeable evidence” of the existence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
“What if this time again, the CIA’s outstanding analysts and spies (among whom 72 percent speak exclusively English) are wrong?”
Translated By Halszka Czarnocka
September 18, 2009
Poland – Rzeczpospolita – Original Article (Polish)
The Americans have opted out of building an anti-missile system in Poland and the Czech Republic for three reasons.
First, they came to recognize that Iran will not soon be able to threaten Europe with its rockets – let alone the United States. Secondly, they decided to sacrifice the shield on the altar of good relations with Russia. Thirdly, they ultimately concluded that land bases in Eastern Europe are too expensive.
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