Americans’ political ideology at the midyear point of 2011 looks similar to 2009 and 2010, with 41% self-identifying as conservative, 36% as moderate, and 21% as liberal.
I’ll make you a bet: Political identification will swing in this country between 2015 and 2020 at about the same rate as we’ve seen the swing on same-sex marriage.
I’ve got no data to back that opinion up. I just believe it takes a while to let go of long-held labels.