Exactly 607 days later, my July 23, 2016 report on the Russian hacking of our national election has been independently verified in all details.
Generalized Rational Acquisition and Barter™
EXCLUSIVE: ‘Lone DNC Hacker’ Guccifer 2.0 Slipped Up and Revealed He Was a Russian Intelligence Officer
by SPENCER ACKERMAN & KEVIN POULSEN
The Daily Beast 03.22.18 7:00 PM ETGuccifer 2.0, the “lone hacker” who took credit for providing WikiLeaks with stolen emails from the Democratic National Committee, was in fact an officer of Russia’s military intelligence directorate (GRU), The Daily Beast has learned. It’s an attribution that resulted from a fleeting but critical slip-up in GRU tradecraft.…
Here is the annotated version of the original post:
Disinformation and Its Guzzlers
JULY 23, 2016 · 3:39 PM PDT
There’s an old saying in journalism: if something is too good to be true, it probably isn’t.
Bernie Sanders Campaign Chief Says Someone Must Be ‘Accountable’ for What DNC Emails Show
MaryAlice Parks / ABC News!
— Bernie Sanders campaign manager Jeff Weaver said his team was “disappointed” by the emails from the Democratic National Committee leaked through WikiLeaks, which seemed to reveal staff in the party working to support Hillary Clinton.
For left-wing anti-Hillary zealots, the news is “too good to be true” outstripping their wildest conspiracy theories. Now, given that, how credible would you say these documents are?
Let’s start with what we know: the documents were hacked. We KNOW that. So, hacked by whom?
Let’s start here appropriately, on Flag Day:
Russian government hackers penetrated DNC, stole opposition research on Trump
By Ellen Nakashima
June 14, 2016
The Washington PostRussian government hackers penetrated the computer network of the Democratic National Committee and gained access to the entire database of opposition research on GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump, according to committee officials and security experts who responded to the breach. The intruders so thoroughly compromised the DNC’s system that they also were able to read all email and chat traffic, said DNC officials and the security experts.
The intrusion into the DNC was one of several targeting American political organizations. The networks of presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump were also targeted by Russian spies, as were the computers of some Republican political action committees, U.S. officials said…..
And here’s the callout (summary):
Russian goverment (sic) hackers penetrated the Democratic National Committee and had access to the DNC network for about a year, but all were expelled earlier in June.
OK. Now we know WHO.
Thence, a “hacker” named Guccifer 2.0 who claims to be a solo “Romanian” hacker, but can’t, evidently, speak Romanian very well. Wikileaks has confirmed that the documents were provided by the “Romanian” hacker who can’t speak Romanian. See more about him here:
Guccifer 2.0 releases new DNC docs
The documents include a Democratic research file on Sarah Palin.
THEHILL.COM
Here’s a relevant paragraph from the report:
“Our experts are confident in their assessment that the Russian government hackers were the actors responsible for the breach detected in April, and we believe that the subsequent release and the claims around it may be a part of a disinformation campaign by the Russians,” a senior DNC official said in a written statement.
And that report actually comes to us from July 13. The agent of chaos has been steadily releasing DNC internal documents with the (self-)evident intent of sabotaging the Democratic presidential campaign. Now we KNOW that’s what he’s trying to do, no matter what quibbles we have about whether it’s a self-described “hacker” or, as our intelligence agencies have concluded, Vladimir Putin’s KGB (whatever they’re calling themselves these daze).
Sam Biddle at The Intercept received notification that Wikileaks had just dumped 20,000 hacked documents and wrote the utterly predictable story. Please note that I said “UTTERLY PREDICTABLE.” Why? Because if disinformation is your goal, this is exactly the article you WANT written:
New Leak: Top DNC Official Wanted to Use Bernie Sanders’s Religious Beliefs Against Him
by Sam Biddle
The Intercept
July 22 2016, 9:38 a.m. (no time zone given)AMONG THE NEARLY 20,000 internal emails from the Democratic National Committee, released Friday by Wikileaks and presumably provided by the hacker “Guccifer 2.0,” is a May 2016 message from DNC CFO Brad Marshall. In it, he suggested that the party should “get someone to ask” Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders about his religious beliefs….
And he adds this CRUCIAL bit of information:
[UPDATE at 5:10 p.m. ET: In a private message, the hacker “Guccifer 2.0” confirmed he provided the email trove to Wikileaks, saying “Yeah man, as I promised.”]
Zowie! It’s TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE! Listen:
[UPDATE at 1:03 p.m. ET: Marshall emails to say “I do not recall this. I can say it would not have been Sanders. It would probably be about a surrogate.” We have asked him who that surrogate could possibly be.]
And although Sanders is not mentioned by name, he was the only Jewish candidate from either party — an apparent weakness that Marshall believed the party could exploit in favor of Hillary Clinton.
It is also unclear why the Democratic National Committee, which isn’t supposed to favor one Democratic candidate over another until they receive a nomination, would have attempted to subvert the Sanders campaign on the grounds that “he is an atheist.”
Antisemitism at the DNC? A GOP/#NeverHillary dream come true.
Annotation 2018: Why did I pick “The Intercept” particularly? Because one ought to know how to read one’s news sources, and The Intercept is Glenn Greenwald’s baby, while Glenn is living in Brazil — after aiding and abetting Edward Snowden’s release of classified documents and flight from the USA. As such, The Intercept would be a PRIME target for Russian disinformation. And it turned out to be. “Guccifer 2.0” was in direct email contact with The Intercept‘s reporter. I think it’s called a “checksum.” There is always method to my madness. I have developed a facility, over the years, for knowing where to look and why.
And the timing? How much BETTER could it have possibly been for the seeming intent to make sure that Hillary Clinton can’t gain any traction, and to turn the left wing of her party blatantly against here … favoring, by logical elimination, Donald Trump for president. Can anyone doubt WHY Vladimir Putin would prefer a thin-skinned, easily-baited and utterly inexperienced politician as US president?
Too good to be true.
And here’s where critical thinking fails our media. In the chain of custody of documents, where is the guarantee of authenticity? Where is the proof that documents haven’t been forged, altered and doctored to create what the HACKER (OK, most probably the Russian Government and NOT our chatty can’t-speak-Romanian faux-hacker) wants to create?
Annotation 2018: That can’t-speak-Romanian faux-hacker was “Guccifer 2.0” who is exposed at length in Ackerman/Poulson’s report at the begining of this post.
THE QUESTION NOT ASKED IS: CAN THESE DOCUMENTS BE ACCEPTED AT FACE VALUE AS CREDIBLE?
(Uh … NO!)
Especially when “he” has indicated by “his” actions that this “too good to be true” Antisemitic letter would create JUST the effect that it has, thus far, created in an uncritical media. (I hope you understand that Wikileaks is now complicit, by the by.)
Let’s take you through the short version of the likely scenario:
- Putin hacks DNC.
- Then Wikileaks releases DNC internal documents on the best possible day to cause chaos at the Democratic Convention.
- And, with zero proof that these documents aren’t altered or forged, the media and angry Bernie supporters do Putin’s work for him.
- Right? Or are we smarter than that?
Annotation 2018: I think this is where “I told you so” ought to go, were I so petty as to snigger in the face of the reader. Happily for all concerned, I am not, so it doesn’t go here or anywhere else. The point is that I have no special information, nor “insider” status with any group, nor any better an internet connection than anyone else. What I do have is a knack for pattern recognition.
Evidently not. Very few — if any — grains of salt have appeared in breathless stories of Hillary scandal. The Wikileaks “Guccifer” Russian connection is not so much as examined and is given TOTAL credibility.
Occam’s Razor suggests a lack of credibility.
This is journalistic malpractice, pure and simple.
But, after a week in the Fact Free Zone, nobody seems to care that an intentional agent of chaos has used Wikileaks to create the impression of “credible” stolen documents from a thief. And nobody “gets” it.
Annotation 2018: And we now repent our slothful media and our seeming lack of care about that election at our uncomfortable leisure. The world is melting down and we’ve got a demagogic loon at the controls, possibly taking his marching orders from the Kremlin. Were Manchuria in Russia, we’d have our perfect title for this horror film.
Somewhere in Moscow, the laughter flows as freely as the vodka, and the vodka is flowing pretty freely. The entire US “free press” has done precisely what it was intended to do with this “document dump” and no one thinks to ask whether the transparent motives of the leaker/leakers might not be simon-pure.
Too true to be good.
From The Hill (ibid.) on July 13:
“The press [is] gradually forget[ing] about me, [W]ikileaks is playing for time and [I] have some more docs,” [Guccifer 2.0] said in electronic chat explaining his rationale. The documents provide some insight into how the DNC handled high-profile donation scandals. But the choice of documents revealed to The Hill also provides insight into the enigmatic Guccifer 2.0.… Guccifer 2.0 has claimed to be a Romanian hacker with no strong political leanings. Guccifer 2.0’s choice to release documents from Magliocchetti and Hsu, whose cases are now six and seven years old, shows a detailed knowledge of American politics seemingly at odds with the backstory provided by the hacker.Experts have questioned whether Guccifer 2.0 is Romanian or even a single person. Tools used in the attack were matched to Russian intelligence agencies and, when tested, Guccifer 2.0 has struggled to speak in Romanian.
Somewhere in literary hell, Iago is applauding.
Congratulations on your non-existent critical skills.
By the way, I’m the Queen of the May, and I have the documents here, somewhere, to prove it.
You believe me, of course.
Because you’re gullible, evidently. Or, perhaps it’s just the “journalists” of our press corpse who can’t pass “evidence and reasoning 101.”
Funny, though. Dan Rather was removed from his CBS anchor position for questions about a document far more credible than these Wikileaks-fronted hacks.
Courage.
UPDATE 07-25: Turns out I was right about the altered documents as well.
https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/757692757947318274
Annotation 2018: Were they? Politifact gives it a pass in an election-eve article. But my hunch was correct, as reported in November 2017 by Business Insider. Guccifer 2.0 altered at least one document nefariously. Where Politifact implicitly and lamely argues that since some emails are not altered, therefore what’s the big deal, my argument of Russian disinformation by alteration of documents only needs ONE example to be proven true. And here it is:
The Russia-linked hacker behind a massive breach at the Democratic National Committee (DNC) altered a stolen document by labeling it “confidential,” a move intended to draw attention from the news media, The Associated Press reported Saturday.
How is it that NO Americans seem to understand that some is not all, and few is not none? There are the logical categories of all, some and none. (“Few” and “many” are different ways of saying “some.”) Therefore, since some cheerleaders are moonlighting as plumbers, that does not tell us whether or not ALL cheerleaders are moonlighting as plumbers. A good sleuth nose this. (sic) And CAN come to the rational, deductive conclusion that “none of the cheerleaders are moonlighting as plumbers” is false. Logic works if you use it.
Which brings us to the present day in March, 2018. This was the final validation. The New York Times validated my original July 23 report about 36 to 48 hours later, on July 25th.
Here is the slip-up that Guccifer 2.0 made (from the Daily Beast report above):
But on one occasion, The Daily Beast has learned, Guccifer failed to activate the VPN client before logging on. As a result, he left a real, Moscow-based Internet Protocol address in the server logs of an American social media company, according to a source familiar with the government’s Guccifer investigation. Twitter and WordPress were Guccifer 2.0’s favored outlets. Neither company would comment for this story, and Guccifer did not respond to a direct message on Twitter.
Working off the IP address, U.S. investigators identified Guccifer 2.0 as a particular GRU officer working out of the agency’s headquarters on Grizodubovoy Street in Moscow. (The Daily Beast’s sources did not disclose which particular officer worked as Guccifer.)
Read the whole thing. If entirely true, the silly goose known as Donald J. Trump is well and truly cooked.
And, finally, just so you come away from reading this with something of value: here is how you figure out how many days it was between July 23, 2016 and March 22, 2018.
We use a little-known tool called the “Julian Day.” In order to reconcile calendars , some precise standard was needed. Particularly important for astronomers, the Julian Day was adopted by many disciplines — a measurement that literally means “The number of days since Julius Caesar inaugurated his solar calendar.” That calendar was later modified for its drift (the actual solar year is about 365 and 1/4th days long) giving us our current calendar, the Gregorian Calendar, with its leap years. So:
7-23-2016 = Julian Day 736533
3-22-2018 = Julian Day 737140
Thus:
737140 Julian day - 736533 Julian day ============= 607 days
Just so’s you know. A Julian Day converter can be found HERE.*
Julius Caesar – Altes Museum Berlin.
Courage.
* Your tax dollars at work. QUOTE:
Julian dates (abbreviated JD) are simply a continuous count of days and fractions since noon Universal Time on January 1, 4713 BC (on the Julian calendar). Almost 2.5 million days have transpired since this date. Julian dates are widely used as time variables within astronomical software. Typically, a 64-bit floating point (double precision) variable can represent an epoch expressed as a Julian date to about 1 millisecond precision. Note that the time scale that is the basis for Julian dates is Universal Time, and that 0h UT corresponds to a Julian date fraction of 0.5.
It is assumed that 7-day weeks have formed an uninterrupted sequence since ancient times. Thus, the day of the week can be obtained from the remainder of the division of the Julian date by 7.
Cross posted from his vorpal sword
A writer, published author, novelist, literary critic and political observer for a quarter of a quarter-century more than a quarter-century, Hart Williams has lived in the American West for his entire life. Having grown up in Wyoming, Kansas and New Mexico, a survivor of Texas and a veteran of Hollywood, Mr. Williams currently lives in Oregon, along with an astonishing amount of pollen. He has a lively blog, His Vorpal Sword (no spaces) dot com.