Santorum Trailing By 13

According to a Rasmussen poll published today, Rick Santorum is trailing Democratic challenger Bob Casey jr. by 13%, which is the same result as Rasmussen’s survey published on the tenth of this month. Where last time 50% supported Casey and 37% planned to vote for Santorum, the results are now 54% vs. 41%.

More:

When leaners are added, Casey leads by twelve, 55% to 43%. Leaners are those who don’t initially commit to voting for either candidate but express a preference when asked a follow-up question.
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The race remains in the “Democrat” column in our Senate Balance of Power summary.

Both candidates attract about four fifths of their partisan base. But Casey has a three-to-one advantage—72% to 24%—among unaffiliated voters.

Among all voters, Santorum is viewed favorably by only 46%. He is viewed unfavorably by 52% including 39% with a “very unfavorable” opinion of their Senator. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Democrats and 61% of unaffiliated voters view Santorum “very unfavorably.”

Casey is viewed favorably by 57%.

Santorum’s seat will undoubtedly be lost for the Republicans. I give him just about 0 chance of winning this race.

As I see it, independents will decide what party wins the US elections this year. As Rasmussen’s poll shows, Casey jr. has their support.