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Newt Gingrich Might Throw His Hat (and Tweet?) into 2012 Republican Nomination Race

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Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich — who has made noises about running for President before but did not go ahead with it — sounds as if he really intends to throw his hat (and presumably his prolific Twitter feed) into the 2012 Presidential nomination race.


The Politics Daily caught this
latest delicious political item — a comment Gingrich made on CSPAN:

Callista and I are going to think about this in February 2011. And we are going to reach out to all of our friends around the country. And we’ll decide, if there’s a requirement as citizens that we run, I suspect we probably will. And if there’s not a requirement, if other people have filled the vacuum, I suspect we won’t.

And, indeed, it’s quite likely that Gingrich, a student and professor of history and joyous practitioner of politics, will conclude that 2012 is now or never for him, unless he wants to wind up the like former New York Democratic Gov. Mario Cuomo, who agonized over running until he agonized himself into not viable and oh-so-passe status.

If Gingrich does run it’ll be fascinating for several reasons:

1. Gingrich is the original late 20th century political bomb thrower, someone who some believe helped shape the current mega-partisan, polarized atmosphere that was underscored by how the old days of members of Congress of both parties putting aside partisanship when the votes were over were obliterated and replaced by today’s more toxic mega-partisan take-no-prisoners Congressional mood. He is the master of the sound byte — although sometimes he is bitten by his own media bytes.

2. Some folks in the GOP aren’t big fans of his.
One is GOP rhetoric setter talk show host Rush Limbaugh, an admitted political admirer of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. Gingrich and Limbaugh faced off earlier this year.

3.He may have many of those who consider themselves “real” conservatives (talk radio political culture 21st century conservative Republicans) against him from day one.
The tea party movement’s big GOP booster is Dick Armey, who worked with Gingrich…and clashed with him and is in fact clashing with him as you read this post. Columnist EJ Dionne, Jr. recently wrote:

Is there room in the Republican Party for genuine moderates? Truth to tell, the GOP can’t decide. More precisely, it’s deeply divided over whether it should allow any divisions in the party at all.

That’s why the brawl in a single congressional district in far upstate New York is drawing the eyes of the nation. Conservatives are determined to use the race to prove that there is no place in the party for heretics, dissidents or independents.

President Obama set up the fight by nominating the district’s former representative, John McHugh, as his Army secretary. Maybe Obama is as fiendishly clever as his more paranoid opponents believe him to be.

When local Republicans picked a moderate, Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava, as their candidate for the Nov. 3 contest, many on the right rebelled. They are backing a third-party conservative, Doug Hoffman, and he may well drive Scozzafava into third place. For the moment, at least, polls show that Bill Owens, the Democratic candidate, has jumped into first place on the split.

It demonstrates just how right-wing some Republicans have become that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is on the moderate side of this civil war against his old nemesis Dick Armey, who served under Gingrich as majority leader.

Gingrich, who backs Scozzafava, always understood that he would never have become speaker without help from Republican moderates. Armey prefers ideological purity and, like fellow members of the Tea Party movement, is supporting Hoffman

So if Gingrich truly sounds like he’s running, look for some parts of the GOP (talk show hosts, tea party movement, politicos and activists allied with Armey) to try and discredit him and take him out. Look for Gingrich to respond. Maybe even look for Gingrich to “make nice” and try to mend fences with Armey, the talk show hosts and tea party movement members who clamor for a President Sarah Palin. But it’s clear now that these aren’t the people and the part of the the party that are counting the days to work for Gingrich to get Barack Obama out of the White House.

No matter…. Gingrich’s entry along with his political and personal hubris would most certainly make Democrats smile. And if Gingrich makes more noises about running and he is profiled as a serious possibility then pulls out again, look for him to get little serious media attention if he ever talks about running again.

Jeralyn at Talk Left HERE has italicized Gingrich’s hedge words. But the bottom line is that after saying he’s going to run X amount of times, most news editors and reporters will yawn if he makes more statements about thinking of running and doesn’t do it.

Then perhaps he and Cuomo might share a Twitter feed.

  • Leonidas
    Gingrich led a republican Congress that reduced the deficit, he has some credentials. He's also likely the smartest guy in politics, agree or disagree with him, the man is bright. I would seriously consider throwing my vote his way.
  • joeaudio
    Joe, you left "joyous practitioner of extra marital sex" out of his bio.
    His enormous hypocrisy is a real problem for many voters.
    The rest of us recognize a pig when we see one.

    If a man makes a vow to his wife and violates it, why would anyone assume that he wouldn't violate any other oath, like the oath of office? The man is narcissism incarnate. What idiot would vote for this specimen to represent them? Only a fool.
  • joeaudio
    Clinton left a budget surplus.
    Bush/Cheney pissed it away.
    Who was more conservative?
  • shannonlee
    Reps need to get away from the old figures. Maybe Dole should run again??!

    They need a young bright governor. Someone completely detached to the old guard or BushCo.
  • tagimaucia
    Gingrich won't run because he's smart enough to know that he has virtually no shot at winning the nomination, much less a general election. His approval ratings as speaker were extremely low, and his hubris-fueled blunders in 95-96 were a big part of why Clinton won an easy reelection. Every four years he makes a bunch of noise about running, but this is primarily to keep his name prominent so he'll remain an influential figure in the party.
  • Father_Time
    Newt the poot?

    Not a chance in hell. Simply because he is completely worthless and the world already knows it.

  • superdestroyer
    Divided government that does as little as possible and makes few changes creates budget surpluses. It is hard to believe that the Democrats believe what Clinton did was good considering that the Obama ADmnistration and the Pelosi/Reid lead Congress is doing the opposite.
  • Silhouette
    The GOP reminds me of an abusive spouse. Even when the dems pull off the best budget in US history, there is some "fatal flaw" to it that renders the act unpraiseable.

    Actually I rather hope Newt runs, or Palin. It would be nice to put one's feet up and sip lemonade the next election cycle. Anyone who can even remotely be tied to Bush/ Cheney will be like shooting fish in a barrel. All that has to be done is air the connection/loyalty and "poof", it's over..
  • DaGoat
    Newt is not electable. The GOP would be foolish to even consider him.
  • Leonidas
    Clinton left a budget surplus.
    Bush/Cheney pissed it away.
    Who was more conservative?


    A republican Congress controlled the purse strings and left a surplus.
    A republican Congress then pissed it away during the Bush Presidency.
    A democratic Congress continued to piss it away under the Bush Presidenct
    A democratic Congress then tripled that deficit amout under the first year of the Obama Presidency and is forcast to repeat this in 2010. A 1.4 trillion dollar record shattering deficit.

    You might make a case for divided governments managing the money best, but to try to claim credit for the democrats for a time period where the GOP controlled the purse strings is utterly silly.
  • DLS
    If his knowledge (if not his personality and personal misconduct and guaranteed low polling numbers and hatred from the liberal media and chatterers of all kinds) merits retention or use of him somewhere, to me it seems obvious he should be put somewhere in GOP party leadership, to help try to recover the party. If he has good advice for Republicans, that's where he probably should be, at this time, to help the party become more effective, while placing limits on his public image and associated controversy.

    (I still believe it would be more effective for the GOP to outsource policy strategy right now to Heritage.)


    Now, the person who shouldn't be surprising anybody if he were to run in 2012 is obviously Jeb Bush.
  • DLS
    "Newt is not electable."

    Agreed. He seems to me to belong, if he is useful, in the GOP party management or leadership.

    Note that it means not necessarily the top spot (replacing Michael Steele, currently). Image problems.
  • DLS
    "Maybe Dole should run again??!"

    That was a fabulous decision, in 1996, when Bill Clinton had Americans' contempt and was doomed.

    Interestingly, if anything, Gingrich is something like what passes for a lighter-weight "Old Guard" now.
  • DLS
    Palin-Gingrich 2012

    There, Sil. Sip, sip.
  • kritt11
    "Newt is not electable"

    Oh yes, I agree. His ugly past will come up and turn off the "values voters", who should make up his core base. He also made too many enemies in Washington while he was Speaker.

    My prediction is, however, that he will run anyway because he is 99% self-absorbed narcissist- so he won't realize how poor his chances really are.
    Remember he divorced one of his wives because she wasn't "pretty enough to be a president's wife".
  • DLS
    "Remember he divorced one of his wives because she wasn't 'pretty enough to be a president's wife'."

    That's bad, certainly. I saw all I needed to see when learning of his pattern of jettisoning wives who have serious illness, as though they're spent stages on his rocket-launch ascension into orbit (note what that clearly implies about his ego, which is one reason I used that metaphor).
  • DLS
    Related note: Hillary Clinton didn't jettison (discard) Bill. Admittedly, she's not President and there's still utility in maintaining an image of marriage, but nevertheless, she could have done it by now (after all, she has said she's not running in 2012 for President -- though we shouldn't accept that as a finality -- so there is no need to keep him attached any longer). But she didn't get rid of him (or he, of her).
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