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Where Bush and Obama Both Go Wrong

I was searching for some way to add to this analysis by Robert J. Samuelson at the Washington Post, but frankly I’m just not that smart. If you want to step back from the partisan walls and see why the Republicans have been doing a bad job at planning for the country’s economic future and the Democrats’ current plans are making it worse, follow the link and read the entire thing for yourself. Warning: None of you partisans on either side will be happy. But here’s a quick money quote to get you started.

Everyone favors benefits and opposes burdens (taxes). Republicans want to cut taxes without cutting spending. Democrats want to increase spending without increasing taxes, except on the rich. The differences between the parties are shades of gray. Hardly anyone asks the hard questions of who doesn’t need benefits, which programs are expendable and what taxes might cover remaining deficits.

What long sustained this system was falling defense spending and routine, though usually modest, deficits. As defense spending declined — from 9 percent of GDP in the late 1960s to 3 percent in 2000 — social spending could rise without big tax increases. Deficits provided extra leeway. But these expedients have exhausted themselves. Deficits have risen to alarming proportions; in a risky world, defense cannot drop indefinitely.

Leave your party bias at the door and take a look. It goes well beyond being “not pretty.” It’s downright frightening and sounds horribly accurate to me.

  • tidbits
    The ramifications go well beyond those posed in the article.

    Deficit spending means government debt that has to be financed. Financing a federal deficit sucks up monetary resources that would otherwise be available to private enterprise which produces permanent jobs far more quickly and far more efficiently than government. Witness the Clinton administration when, working with a Republican congress, the government created surpluses, thus debt capital was made available for business, thus a huge growth spurt.

    In addition to choking the credit supply to private business, unsustainable deficits are financed in part by sale of treasury bonds to foreign governments and interests, reducing our leverage in international negotiations.

    The kind of deficits in store for us as a result of a reluctance to raise taxes and an insatiable desire for increased services threaten to permanently weaken America both economically and internationally. Unfortunately, politicians are not courageous enough to make the hard choices and the voters are not enlightened enough to vote for those who would.

    I recall a post a few weeks ago concerning half a million or so being spent on the stimulus-dulling effects of condom usage. To no surprise, there was strong advocacy among the commenters for this expenditure. The point is that every government expenditure has some constituency, often vocal. Similarly, every proposal to increase taxes has a vocal opposition, see cap and trade.

    America has become a society of freeloaders who want government to provide their every whim without being willing to foot the bill. One wonders how many government programs would be deemed necessary if each had to be funded up front by attaching the pro rata amount from each taxpayer's checking account. It might not be pretty, but we might find out just which programs are really "necessary" and which are not.
  • DaGoat
    Great article. There has been no fiscal responsibility since the Clinton/Gingrich years and there still isn't any.

    Tidbits, at the time the condom discussion was going on there was a view among many on the left that any spending would somehow stimulate the economy regardless of what it was being spent on. I'm not sure whether that view is still widely held or not.

    I don't think the US is a country of freeloaders, I think most people understand the necessity to work and are willing to do so. The US is by and large a country with a very poor understanding of basic economics though, and seems to regard the government as an endless font of money with very little understanding of where the money comes from.
  • keelaay
    Here here.
  • GeorgeSorwell
    Here's a handy chart showing deficit spending since 1940. The trend since 1981 is especially noteworthy.

    The last politician in America who was honest about the connection between revenue and spending was Walter Mondale.

    And here's that condom thread.
  • Don Quijote
    . There has been no fiscal responsibility since the Clinton/Gingrich years and there still isn't any.


    What do you mean the Clinton/Gingrich years?
    Try Reagan/Bush, during twelve years in office, they did not submit a single balanced budget. As a matter of fact, they took a National Debt of a under a trillion and grew it to over 3 Trillion. Not bad for twelve years of peace and prosperity...
  • DaGoat
    Well yes DQ I said SINCE the Clinton/Gingrich years. The Reagan/Bush years were prior to that.
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