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Dueling interpretations are the inevitable result when outsiders attempt to decipher the indecipherable.

Cases in point: this post from Dave Schuler, arguing that Ahmadinejad’s win should not surprise us, and this post from Renard Sexton, arguing that there are legitimate reasons to question the results.*

Meanwhile, the protests in Iran are not only continuing, they seem to be gaining momentum.

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* With all due respect to Schuler, Sexton’s post strikes me as the more persuasive. Schuler focuses on a single poll; Sexton employs what seems to be a much more robust statistical analysis. Moreover, Schuler relies on this op-ed in today’s WaPo by Ken Ballen and Patrick Doherty. Juan Cole and Nate Silver (via Andrew Sullivan) question Ballen and Doherty.