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Twenty-First Century Conservatism

Some weeks ago I posted a piece saying that Republicans and conservatives were missing a golden opportunity to engage in a full-throated reconstruction dialogue under the Obama administration and noted that to date Republicans seemed to be presenting themselves as nothing more than the Party of No. The presentation of what is by all accounts an extremely flimsy budget alternative seems to indicate that not much has changed. In that post, I said that conservatives and Republicans needed to put themselves to the formulation of a conservative movement for the twenty-first century, particularly given the tide of demographics working against them. I’ve been pressed for some details on what I meant by “twenty-first century conservatism”, which I’ve been tossing around in my head. Below is what I’ve come up with (in no particular order or ranking):

Go populist without going populist: I’ve spent some time warning against the dangers of populism in regards to the AIG scandal and generally, but the fact of the matter is that there is smoldering populist sentiment out there that is not completely off-base in terms of its raison d’etre. People rightly believe that their government has gotten away from them and increasingly has little to do with their everyday lives and addressing the issues present in those lives in a positive fashion and a movement/party that can present a believable narrative about how they care about the challenges facing Americans and are interested in focusing on those issues in a collaborative fashion stands a decent chance of capturing a sizable proportion of the national imagination.

Look, John McCain and Sarah Palin were on to something with their decision to go hyper-local in how they addressed supporters and finished in what was a respectable place given that this election was the Democrats’ to lose and they did very little to actually lose it. The problem is that Palin and McCain practiced actual, base-line populism that appealed to people’s lowest common denominator inclinations. Such traditional populism generally winds up looking pretty ugly as a result and will get you a certain segment of support, but doesn’t offer the means for developing a broad base of support. But if conservatives can find a way of walking the walk of populism without necessarily talking the talk of populism, they might have a recipe for success sooner than we all tend to think. Walking the walk but not talking the talk to me means eschewing notions of appealing to peoples’ lowest common denominators and meeting people where they are but challenging them to bring the angels of their better nature to the game. Ross Douthat and Reihan Salam’s arguments around Sam’s Club Republicans come to mind in this regard, as does the kind of localism/regionalism/integrity of living articulated by the likes of Daniel Larison, John Schwenkler, and particularly Rod Dreher (though Rod runs in to his troubles in other areas).

Give up on small government, focus on limited government: I’m going to get hammered on this issue from some quarters, but I think it’s time for conservatives to face up to the music when it comes to small government. For all intents and purposes, government has been growing for the past number of decades regardless of the leadership in power at any given time. The fact of the matter is that with a country the size of the US, you need to have a fairly large government structure and the kind of spending that goes along with that structure. The bottom line is that Americans expect too much of their government for it to every truly be small. So by sticking to the “smaller government, fewer taxes” motto religiously, conservatives have an easy to understand and winning message, but remain permanently unable to deliver on fifty percent of that message and end up getting criticised for it.

On the other hand, the less easy to convey notion of a limited government, whose role and scope in the lives of everyday Americans is an area that is still wide open for debate and in which considerable reforms can be managed — especially given how George W. Bush trounced this notion over the past eight years. This, to my mind, is prime redemption ground for American conservatives and they would do well to take the ball and run with it. You’re not going to get any kind of rhetoric from the Obama administration that can’t be refuted because of their commitment to broad based spending (regardless of what Obama himself may think about limited government, and I’m inclined to believe he is sincere), so conservatives have the opportunity to take the ball and run it more than a few yards here. Beyond just winning elections, though, I think this is robust area for debate for years to come and think that conservatives would be well advised to take the lead on that debate.

Take the libertarian route when it comes to culture: I would suggest that more than in economics or role of government, conservatives are on the business end of the demographics shotgun because of cultural issues. The debate on whether spending should be vigorous or tempered swings back and forth depending on prevailing circumstances in America, and that debate winds up affecting the dynamics of the debate on the role of government, as well. But there is a steady procession of resolve on certain cultural issues, perhaps currently typified by the same-sex marriage issue, that marches to beat of different and less erratic forces. Understanding that there are reasons why conservatives may not be able to find sufficient reason to come out in exuberant support of these issues (and it would be great if they could, because that would strengthen their case even further), the obvious way forward here is to address these social issues from the movement/party’s libertarian perspective.

The basic line goes something like, “Look, I might not condone homosexuality, but it isn’t my place — and it certainly isn’t the state’s place — to determine who can and can’t get married. That is a decision that two rational and competent adults should make, so I’ll leave it to them.”

To my mind, that is essentially the tact that Obama is taking on some of the more contentious social issues and as far as I can tell it is both working like a charm and has the bonus of being a thoroughly intellectually defensible position. It’s not going to convince progressives, but it could be very appealing to some moderates, places conservatives on the right side of history, and picks up that contingent youth that wound up adoring Ron Paul in the election.

Give up on neoconservatism: ’nuff said.

Re-embrace intellectualism: now opinions are going to vary depending on who you talk to about whether or not the conservative movement actually ceased embracing intellectualism, but regardless I think the broad perception is out there and impressively pervasive. You can’t go about escaping that perception when the face of your movement is George W. Bush for eight years, rightly or wrongly. The worst part about this perception is that the conservative movement has an incredible cadre of extremely intelligent and talented young intellectuals at its disposal who are to some degree or another on the outside looking in (many of them have managed to slip in through the sliding glass door leading to the patio, but they shouldn’t have to sneak about). Whether you’re looking at people like James Poulos, Ross Douthat, Reihan Salam, Conor Friedersdorf, David Frum, Daniel Larison, Rod Dreher, Patrick Deneen, Ramesh Ponnuru or Andrew Sullivan (and that’s my own relatively myopic list of favourites), it’s hard to deny that there is a metric tonne of talent that isn’t being a thoroughly utilized as it could be. Finding channels for bringing these folks further into the party and letting them stretch their intellectual and conceptual legs for your movement’s benefit isn’t just optically wise, it’s actually going to strengthen your movement.

The challenge, of course, is that these folks aren’t died in the wool movement conservatives, as is the case with most of the young intellectuals that conservatism could avail itself. So by engaging them you have correspondingly understand that they are fairly comfortable moving some of the building blocks around, and in some cases, removing them altogether. Time to give up some sacred cows people, trust me it’s all part of the ideological process. The kind of openness and intellectual honesty that these thinkers bring to the table has been able to draw out the respect of even staunch liberal minds, so believe me the increase in the price of your stock combined with the ultimate strength that the restructuring will provide a movement bereft of many exhilarating ideas is more than worth it.

If restructuring is good enough for the Big Three, it’s good enough for the GOP. I see a bumper sticker in my future.

Critically embrace tradition: a conservatism of the twenty-first century doesn’t need to cut is umbilical cord to tradition altogether, by my lights. In fact, conservatism’s connection to tradition is potentially one it’s strong points in a world increasingly loosened from any moorings. But conservatives need to find ways of embracing those traditions with a critical eye and be prepared to let go of traditions that no longer make any sense. This post by Will Wilson that keep going back to on engaging self-reflective traditions is the key here and I keep waiting for Will to pick that line of thought back up on move it forward a couple more yards, but it’s somewhere to start. This links in to some degree with my comments around culture and is, in many sense, a more full-bodied approach to reform in this regard, but I think there is a whole separate project and element to the ideology at work here that speaks to one of the core planks in conservative identity, so I’m loathe to mash the two together.

For another good example of what I’m talking about, specifically in regards to dropping certain traditional mores when they no longer make sense, see Conor Friedersdorf on same-sex marriage.

Find meaningful ways of talking about religious pluralism: a big hang up for a lot of people around conservatism is the degree to which it seems yoked to religion, specifically Christianity. I think there are powerful reasons why it is the case that even a twenty-first century conservatism is going to continue to have a strong relationship to religion, but there are also ways of presenting that relationship in a palatable way. Alan Wolf had an impressive article that I’ve referred back to on a couple of different occasions about the “market place of religion”, that demonstrated in what I took to be a fairly impressive manner that the direction of religion is away from absolutism and towards a plurality. To my mind, this is the migrating pattern that conservatives need to follow.

Again, this is the piece of rhetorical jujitsu that Obama has so adeptly employed to great effect. As well, in that article, Wold points to some of the more socially responsible tendencies that arising within the specifically evangelical strains of faith, finding ways to focus attention on those elements, rather than proclamations of non-believers burning in hell would be mightily helpful.

  • Pete Abel
    I found this generally brilliant. But I would love to see some links to the referenced other works -- by Wilson, Wolf, et. al.
  • scotthpayne
    Links now provided, not sure what happened upon first posting.
  • DaGoat
    Excellent, but many conservatives will see this as giving up on conservatism altogether. The social conservatives have captured the party and so far do not seem inclined to make any of the changes suggested.
  • superdestroyer
    Why bother? Such issues will not get one more black, Hispanics, Jewish, homosexual vote than the Republicans get now. But they will lose all of the social conservatives, all of the fiscal conservatives, and all of the natonal security voters.

    This reads like another version of democratic-lite. Be authoritarian on environmental issues, be libertarian on sex and drugs, and pass out lots of government money.

    Most of the current Republican party would stay home instead of being involved in such stupidity.
  • Dr J
    There are plenty of blacks, Hispanics, Jews and homosexuals who want fiscal responsibility, don't hassle other people about their morals, and are uncomfortable with the left's desire to declare war on luck, on skill, on personal responsibility, and on any other factor that might leave someone at a disadvantage to someone else. We're dying for a party that stands for responsibility and realism, and we would happily bolt from our awkward marriages to democrats or republicans.

    So Scott has a promising idea, and I'd love to see it sharpened. I don't understand the difference between small government and limited government, but there's something there: my main beef with the left is they can't articulate any limiting principles for government and seem happy to keep raising taxes forever.
  • Jim_Satterfield
    "...and are uncomfortable with the left's desire to declare war on luck, on skill, on personal responsibility, and on any other factor that might leave someone at a disadvantage to someone else. We're dying for a party that stands for responsibility and realism, and we would happily bolt from our awkward marriages to democrats or republicans."

    Realism? No, I don't think that someone who thinks that "the left" is monolithic, much less looking for complete economic equality for all is capable of standing for realism at all.
  • HemmD
    Scott
    As I am not a Republican nor a conservative, I hope my comments are taken in the spirit they are given. Any political system that has one dominating party is a system with no balance, and it is a system sure to fail. The Republican party has surely stumbled of late, and Conservatives have possibly felt that fall the most as the Bush years certainly didn't demonstrate Conservatism in any real way.

    Go populist without going populist:

    From the outside, the McCain/Palin attacks against Obama were almost cartoonish in their unbelievability. Implying conspiracies and hearkening back to the style of McCarthy kept the less educated enthrawled, but those who studied history were turned away. Even so, the race was still within your grasp.

    According to The Google, conservatism means "to save or perserve", and that includes "the status quo" or the "status quo ante." McCain lost the election when the credit crisis hit. He knew that "the way thing are" wasn't good, but he knew no way to take us back "to the way things were before."

    Obama pulled away from that point on because he demonstrated a pragmatism not only economically, but also in a populist manner. By this I mean he read the fear of people and presented them with a confidence. Even though I believe he didn't really know the economic complexities, he knew that people were desperate for "the way things were before." Ronald Reagan used that same form of confidence to energize the voting block that remembered his allusions to the way things were before. The allusions he used would no longer work today as that responsive generation has largely left the scene.

    William F Buckley was someone who I may have disagreed with on occasion, but I never doubted his confidence that came from a thorough grasp of history, philosophy, and the way things were before. The group of intellectual conservatives you mentioned are your primary source for recovery. These are the people who will find where things are now, in the 21st century. The over-simplified responses we see today in the remnants of the GOP show a palpacy of intellectual awareness of how things have changed. Draw from those in your midst who understand NOW, not the way things used to be. If you look to the past, look to the reason our Constitution was written and then immediately amended through the Bill of Rights. The Founding Fathers saw the government they had created, and then they knew what they wanted "to save or perserve."
  • Dr J
    Jim S: "I don't think that someone who thinks that "the left" is monolithic, much less looking for complete economic equality for all is capable of standing for realism at all."

    And I don't think someone is qualified to discuss a topic as broad as twenty-first century conservatism unless they can talk about generalizations without descending to comments like "how dare you imply we're monolithic? you're obviously incapable of realism."

    I'll bet you can do better, Jim.
  • superdestroyer
    Of course the Democratic Party is monolithic is it desire to make the government as big as possible. From progressives wanting to control the nanny state to blacks wanting to produce the maximum number of government jobs possible, every party of the Democratic party sees the government as the solution to every problem and thus wants to make it was large as possible.

    What no one points out is how Democrats always expect others to follow rules that they themselves have problems following (see the Democrats inability to pay their taxes).
  • HemmD
    Super

    If the Dems are monolithic, then the Republicans are myopic.

    The size of government per thousand population has grown and shrunk over many Presidents, The largest growth occurred under someone you know, Ronald Reagan. Sorry to bust that right wing myth. Check it out.

    http://angrybear.blogspot.com/2007/06/comparing...

    Don't over-simplify your criticism, it is discounted by the facts.
  • Ricorun
    Another I would add is Don't ignore rational demand-side policies. By that I mean undue reliance on only supply-side manipulations (e.g., tax cuts, deregulation, etc.) strikes me as severely myopic. For example, saving money by reducing funds available for education is a bit like shooting yourself in the foot. Similarly, ignoring the fact that many parts of the infrastructure are in significant disrepair is not very productive, either.

    Another I would add is Don't ignore excesses in defense spending. In fact, if you really want to reduce waste, that would provide some very large low-hanging fruit.
  • superdestroyer
    Ricorun,

    Infrastructure spending is a state responsibility and the Democrats have not been any mbetter at it than the Republicans. During both the real estate boom and the previous dot.com boom, states refused to spend on infrastructure. They spent on payroll, pork, and social engineering instead. Image if California had spent the dot.com money on infrastruture instead of pension for state employees. They probably would not be running a huge deficit now.


    Maybe a new conservative party should promise to think past the next election and not start programs with short term benefits that have long term costs. If a group of politicians could demonstrate that they can have for the future, they would separate themselves from the pact.

    HemmD

    First, Karl Rove believed that the Repubicans could be the second big spending, big government, big pork party. History has shown that he was an idiot.

    I believe History will show that President Obama will spend at such a rate to make all previous spending look insignificant. In one year, President Obama will add more to the national debt than President Bush added in four years.
  • BigJim716
    I am hoping the lessons learned from this period in our country will bring the Republicans back to reality. The Power they had when they were in the majority got to their heads and they steered many of the moderates away.

    It appears the Democrats are doing the same thing, maybe even worse. Personally I voted for Obama cause I really believed he would bring about "Fiscal Responsibility". I could not have been more wrong.

    He also appears to be assisting his supporters with our taxpayer money. The whole Bush Obama Bailout Bonanza is nauseating. All this money and 700,000 people lost their jobs. Yet the wall street people are making money. Go figure.

    At this point I hope a Ronald Reagan type figure will rise out of the Republican ashes for I am tiring of Obamas spending policies and budgets, bailouts, new taxes etc.
  • Jim_Satterfield
    Actually what Scott wrote addresses much of what I find so alienating about the current conservative movement. I quit bothering being an independent when these problems became so wide spread through the GOP that I knew they wouldn't put up a candidate I could vote for because even if they found someone like that in Missouri (The state GOP is completely dominated by the far, far Right here.) I would be giving power to people that I cannot support in any way in the leadership.

    The Religious Right's obsessions with running other people's lives has always irked me. I do mean always. Remember civics classes in junior high? I remember a series of discussions where specific cases were brought up and th question was how the Supreme Court would decide. One of them was the Blue Laws in New York. The Jewish business owner lost his appeal that he should be able to close on his Sabbath and be open for business on Sunday even though the state was trying to claim that it was for the employees sake. Then why Sunday specifically? I hated that decision even then. Then there was Missouri history, including the treatment of the Mormons. My thought process was just that they had their religion and everyone else had theirs. If you tell them they can't live according to their religion how is that not just this side of having a state religion if you force others to live according to the strictures of your religion? Yes, I'm a social libertarian, believing strongly that how people choose to live in their private lives is none of my business and mine is none of theirs.

    Economic libertarianism, OTOH, never made sense to me because we have proof that it doesn't work that well and will only get worse. Read Dickens. Scott's point about limited government versus small government is valid. How can you have small government when you have almost a third of a billion people, are the fifth largest country by area and have a complex interstate infrastructure? It just wouldn't work. If your only source for thinking about how to do things and what approach to take is the past you necessarily deny the possibility that something new can happen or at least leave yourself in a position where you are unable to do anything about it because a mindset that worships the past and tradition has no basis for confronting something new.
  • Ricorun
    SD: Infrastructure spending is a state responsibility and the Democrats have not been any better at it than the Republicans.

    The second part (whether Democrats or Republicans do it better) is beside the point (at least for the moment). On the other hand, I'd say belief in the first part is part of the modern GOP's problem, as it represents a significant departure from previous thinking. For example, the Eisenhower administration was primarily responsible for pushing the interstate highway system. Whatever else could be said about it, it revolutionized interstate commerce. Likewise, his administration pushed hard on many large hydroelectric projects -- projects that involved inter-state transmission lines. And what about nuclear projects? Without federal assistance none of them would ever be built. The list goes on.

    On the flip side of the coin, imagine if states had primary authority over internet availability. And I would argue that one of the big obstacles to modernizing the electrical grid is the byzantine nature of state and local regulations. That problem has to be addressed if regardless of whatever improvements are invisioned, but particularly if non-carbon based alternatives are to be successfully offered (including, but not limited to nuclear).

    In short, I'd say a parochial mind-set such as yours is yet another drag on the GOP. I'm not saying that states aren't a better locus of control than the feds on some issues (and often hybrid approaches are the best), but to make it a blanket assumption is destructive, not constructive.

    And that brings up another issue that I think is worth mentioning: it seems to me that the GOP spends way too much time defining itself as the mirror opposite of the Dems in an ideological sense, rather than casting themselves more as the rational alternative. The Dems did that rather successfully. They accepted "Blue Dog" Dems into the fold. I'm sure they'd hate the characterization, but you might call them "Dean Republicans" in the same sense that many moderate Dems became "Reagan Democrats".
  • superdestroyer
    Ricorun,

    The Democrats have been the ones pushing the environmental laws that have made the infrastructure improvements very hard to do. If the National Environmental Protection Act had been around the in 1950's, the interstate highway system would never have been built. The same can be said for most most hydroelectic projects or even transmission lines these days.

    The Republicans used to talk about government takings laws and the insane amount of paperwork requried to comply with federal regulations. They gave up on that and becoming Democratic-lite would mean that the Republicans have fully become the paperwork bureaucracy party just like the Democrats.

    Look at how the Obama ADministration decided to kill the nuclear power industry in the U.S. even though there are permit applications for 30 new reactors to be built in the U.S. that use fuel that comes from Canda, the U.S., and Australia.
  • Ricorun
    SD, your recent comment basically boils down to (a) an acknowledgement that the GOP rolled over and played dead (or played Democrats), and; (b) they have no hope of ever resurrecting themselves.

    Come on now. This post is about how the GOP can resurrect themselves. And it seems to me you're not helping much. And frankly, the spirit of what you said just now belies the provincial approach you previously advocated. I suspect you need to get your thoughts in order.
  • superdestroyer
    Ricorun.

    The idea that the Republicans can resurrect themselves is laughable. All they can really do is decide which method of their own demise. They can either decide to appeal to their base and let demographic changes overtake them. They can become Democratic-lite and destroy any difference between themselves. Or they can have a mix of the two which is what President Bush and Karl Rove tried to do.

    No matter what the Republicans do, they have little chance of long term viability. What I read above is just another version of the Democratic-lite, let's me only half way pregnant type of thinking. I have read many versions before and they all boil down to let's do everything that the Democrats think is hip while throwing a few bones to the current base of the Republican Party. It fails to appeal to any non-whites, it fails to hold any part of the current Republican base, and it will untilmately fail. Such ideas as above usually come from urban whites who forget that the less than half of the Democratic voters are white and that the Republican Party cannot treat social conservatives the same way that blacks are treated by the Democratic Party.
  • Ricorun
    SD: No matter what the Republicans do, they have little chance of long term viability.

    Well then, I guess that says it all.

    Perhaps I should stop there. But let me ask you... what in your view distinguishes whites from non-whites? Is it complexion, or hair texture, or eye slant, or something? Is it some innate difference in IQ, or some innate difference in personality? What? In other words, what in your view distinguishes whites from non-whites? Likewise, what is fundamental to the modern Republican base except, perhaps, a curious (and IMO destructive) adherence to what is commonly referred to as religious fundamentalism (and what Andrew Sullivan, among others, refers to as "Christianism")?
  • Dr J
    Superdestroyer: "They can either decide to appeal to their base and let demographic changes overtake them. They can become Democratic-lite and destroy any difference between themselves."

    I don't see it as that binary. There are the anti-corporate, pro-welfare Democrats on the left and the Bible thumpers on the right, but there's also a whole continent of moderates in between. They're quiet but important people, with blogs and everything.
  • superdestroyer
    Dr_J

    The Republicans in the northeast have tried the Democratic-lite, me too idea. How has that worked out for them. All it does it gets politicians like LIncoln Caffee who are incapable of leading anything and are incapable of doing anything. The only way that the Democratic-lite idea works is if you assume that fiscal conservatives, social conservatives, and neo-cons are as stupid and as loyal as black and Hispanics are. If anything one should learn from elections is that those groups on the right are not.
  • GoodBerean
    Forget, please, "conservatism." It has been, operationally, de facto, Godless and therefore irrelevant. Secular conservatism will not defeat secular liberalism because to God both are two atheistic peas-in-a-pod and thus predestined to failure. As Stonewall Jackson's Chief of Staff R.L. Dabney said of such a humanistic belief more than 100 years ago:

    "[Secular conservatism] is a party which never conserves anything. Its history has been that it demurs to each aggression of the progressive party, and aims to save its credit by a respectable amount of growling, but always acquiesces at last in the innovation. What was the resisted novelty of yesterday is today .one of the accepted principles of conservatism; it is now conservative only in affecting to resist the next innovation, which will tomorrow be forced upon its timidity and will be succeeded by some third revolution; to be denounced and then adopted in its turn. American conservatism is merely the shadow that follows Radicalism as it moves forward towards perdition. It remains behind it, but never retards it, and always advances near its leader. This pretended salt bath utterly lost its savor: wherewith shall it be salted? Its impotency is not hard, indeed, to explain. It is worthless because it is the conservatism of expediency only, and not of sturdy principle. It intends to risk nothing serious for the sake of the truth."

    Our country is collapsing because we have turned our back on God (Psalm 9:17) and refused to kiss His Son (Psalm 2).

    John Lofton, Editor, TheAmericanView.com
    Recovering Republican
    JLof@aol.com

    PS – And “Mr. Worldly Wiseman” Rush Limbaugh never made a bigger ass of himself than at CPAC where he told that blasphemous “joke” about himself and God.
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