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‘Consumer Reports’ Analyzes Obama and McCain Health Plans

The November issue of Consumer Reports, the publication of the independent Consumers Union, contains their analysis of the health care proposals of John McCain and Barack Obama. As the magazine points out, “both plans lack key details.” But, considering what the candidates have said and filling in the blanks with plausible speculation based on the state plans on which Obama and McCain have based their announced programs, the magazine looks at how people in three different situations might be affected by the two prospective presidencies.

The comparative survey uses the circumstances of five real-life people: a couple identified as “over 60 and struggling,” a thirty-something couple whose child was born with a major medical condition referred to as “well-insured,” and a single, self-employed woman who is called “young and uninsured.”

A chart also makes a general comparison of the two candidates’ plans in six areas of concern which a March, 2008 CU survey, 80% of the American people identified as important elements in any plan for health care reform. The six elements:

  • Coverage of all uninsured children
  • Protection against financial ruin due to major illness or accident
  • Ability to get coverage regardless of a pre-existing condition
  • Coverage that continues even when people are laid off, change jobs, or start their own business
  • Premiums, deductibles, and out-of-pocket expenses that are affordable relative to family income
  • The ability of people to keep their current health insurance if they choose

Consumer Reports judged that the over-sixty couple would be better off under McCain’s plan if the husband continues to work until age 69, but better under Obama’s plan if the husband retires at 65. The thirty-something couple, assuming the wife doesn’t change jobs, would do better under McCain’s plan and experience no change under Obama’s. For the young single, presently uninsured, would be more able to afford insurance under McCain’s plan, but the magazine warns, “she should choose a plan with good coverage. Under the current system, the cheapest plans often have coverage gaps that could lead to high costs if she gets sick…”

Of course, health care reform proposed by either candidate should they become president would have to make it through Congress. A McCain plan would probably have to be passed by a Democratic-controlled Congress, meaning that in order to get anything done, he will have to compromise more than a President Obama would need to do with a Congress controlled by his own party.

In any case, given that ours is not a parliamentary system in the United States, neither candidate can really promise exactly what they’ll get done on health care reform or on any other policy area requiring congressional approval. In 1992, Bill Clinton published what many have said were the most detailed policy position papers in presidential campaign history. While they gave some indication of what the candidate wanted to do, President Clinton had only modest success in getting his legislative initiatives through Congress during his eight years in office, giving up on some and, of course, watching his health care reform proposals come to grief.

[This has been cross-posted on my personal blog.]

  • MaryL
    What about people who can't currently get insurance because of pre-existing conditions?

    And I really have to see their entire report, because any advantage for McCain's plan has to assume some narrow scenarios, like a husband being happy to work to 69 instead of retiring at 65, or a "well-insured" family not losing or changing jobs -- ever.

    Consumer Reports judged that the over-sixty couple would be better off under McCain’s plan if the husband continues to work until age 69, but better under Obama’s plan if the husband retires at 65. The thirty-something couple, assuming the wife doesn’t change jobs, would do better under McCain’s plan and experience no change under Obama’s. For the young single, presently uninsured, would be more able to afford insurance under McCain’s plan, but the magazine warns, “she should choose a plan with good coverage. Under the current system, the cheapest plans often have coverage gaps that could lead to high costs if she gets sick…”
  • MJDaniels53
    The report makes no pretense of being authoritative. It simply took some real-life scenarios and ran the numbers as far as they could be run, given the vagueness of each camp's proposals. The general chart gives a good overall picture, but because it gives essentially six different answers based on six different areas of concern, it reaches no overarching conclusion about the competitors' proposals. Comparing the plans, with their differing assumptions and so on, is a bit like comparing the perennial apples and oranges.

    Mark
  • GeorgeSorwell
    President Clinton had only modest success in getting his legislative initiatives through Congress during his eight years in office, giving up on some and, of course, watching his health care reform proposals come to grief


    That's putting it very, very mildly.

    Those same six problems existed in 1993. Amount of progress since then: zero.
  • GeorgeSorwell
    For a discussion of how the McCain insurance proposal will increase taxes and decrease coverage, read this.
  • SteveK
    Mark - As no information on this report is available without membership to Consumer Report at the link you provided (or maybe I just missed it) could you complete your article by including the 'other' three groups looked at... That way we can get the full picture.
  • MJDaniels53
    Steve:
    I listed all three groups at which they looked.

    In addition to those three specific case studies, there was also a table covering general information on six critical areas named by 80% of those surveyed in a March, 2008 poll by CU.

    Mark
  • MJDaniels53
    GS:
    When I wrote, "President Clinton had only modest success in getting his legislative initiatives through Congress during his eight years in office, giving up on some and, of course, watching his health care reform proposals come to grief," I had reference to all of President Clinton's legislative agenda, not just his health care proposals. Of course, as you say, all six of the areas identified as concerns by persons surveyed by CU earlier this year were concerns back in 1993, as well.

    Mark
  • DLS
    Consumers Union is blatantly liberal and grown-ups need to filter it as a source, accordingly. The two plans are different enough that if health care is a principal basis for your vote this November, you have a clear distinction and choice ready. Obama's is fuzzy and insidious (partially a throwback to the Dems' stealth non-poor expansion of S-CHIP) while McCain's is gimmicky and presents readers with more questions than answers. (With inter-state purchases, what if other states refuse to provide the same coverage to people outside the states? Will the states be paid to provide this or is this an unfunded mandate? Is the tax credit, itself merely a gimmick, anywhere near enough to pay for health coverage? Et cetera. McCain can beat Obama on the issues -- but not this issue. Who _supports_ McCain's plan?)
  • JSpencer
    Consumers union blatantly liberal? DLS, you're losing your grip - again. Most of what they do has nothing whatsoever to do with politics. As for the health system in America, it's a pity the GOP went loony over Hillary's initial attempts to make it a priority when Bill first came into office - we wouldn't be dealing with it now.
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