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Quote Of The Day: Barack Obama’s Big Political Mistakes

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The political Quote Of The Day actually is a variety of quotes of the day from Newsweek’s Howard Fineman, who stands back and takes a good look at the variety of mistakes Democratic nominee Sen. Barack Obama has made and — which is why he is facing increasingly rocky political terrain…terrain not rocky due to the manufactured flap over lipstick on a pig.

Let’s go through his list with a few quotes from his key points and some comments of our own. Click on the link above to read his entire must-read analysis:

For two years, Obama played the golf course of presidential politics with the ice-cold self-assuredness of a Tiger Woods. But since securing the Democratic nomination, he’s made a series of strategic errors that could jeopardize his chances in November.

These are blunders that indicate he is a) being poorly advised b) has sloppy advisers c) isn’t reaching out to truly get a variety of viewpoints on the pros and cons of the high-stakes political advice he is getting. A bigger issue: whether his campaign team and Democrats are simply outfoxed (again) by GOPers who know how to make the right strategic moves and win at all costs.

After traveling with him on the trail, watching him in Denver and talking to Democratic operatives and insiders, here’s my list of his errant shots:

Declining to take federal financing for the general election
This mistake is two-pronged. Obama stands accused of flip-flopping on the matter, saying in 2007 that he’d accept those funds and the cash limits that come along with it. In relying solely on private money, Obama appears to have ceded some higher ground to McCain, who, with his public funding, appears slightly more immune to interest groups. On a more practical level, Obama will have to leave the campaign trail more often to headline fundraising events…

Symptomatic of not well-thought-out analysis — a decision based more on the pros and than taking into serious account the cons. Or based on overconfidence.

Failing to go all the way with the Clintons
Yes, I know, Bill and Hillary got prime speaking roles in Denver. And yes, I know, the Clintons are difficult to deal with and probably hope Obama fails. Still, it’s Obama’s task to latch on to them, even against their will. But he was too proud. Although he’s going to see the former president this week, Obama should have broken bread with Bill months ago. Obama needs the Clintons to defend and work for him. They are not eager to do so, but it was still Obama’s task to trap them into displays of political enthusiasm.

A sign of a smart politician is that he ropes-in his past foes and gets them to do his agenda work while they are thinking they are doing theirs.

Lyndon Johnson once said of a foe that it was better to have him inside the tent peeing out, rather than outside the tent peeing in. If you look at the Democratic landscape now, you see that Obama is in campaign mode with a lot of Democrats outside the tent….(you fill in the rest)…A SMARTER politician would have moved ASAP to do whatever it took to make the Clintons his top priority. And done it so that the Clintons would have known they were being politically used, but would not have minded since it would advance their own long term goals.

But there is a longer term danger for the Democrats. If Obama does lose and it emerges that a segment of the Democratic Party is partially the reason, then that segment can expect a battle-royal in 2012 if it pushes a candidate since the Obama wing of the party will then be out for the same political revenge that some Clinton supporters suggest they will seek at the ballot box in November.

The 22-state strategy
For months, the Obama campaign invested advertising time and organizing money in an impressive array of red states that haven’t been on the Democrats’ radar in recent elections. This made for great press clippings. But, for the most part, it was a waste of assets.

Political history has other tales of candidates who tried this and failed because it burned up energy and money that could have been put to wiser use.

Failing to state a sweeping, but concrete, policy idea
It is not enough to be for change – everybody is, or is trying to be. To make it stick, Obama needed, and needs, to put forth an easy-to-grasp grand proposal, one that would encapsulate what his central message.

Hollywood calls this “high concept.” That’s part of what’s helping GOP Veep candidate Sarah Palin. She has a “high concept” identity already as a hockey mom, hunter and blunt speaker of conservative voter values. Whoever thought in the 1950s that failed Democratic Presidential candidate (twice) Adlai Stevenson would become a pejorative political adjective? But Obama’s danger is he could seem too Stevenson-esqe for a 21st century America thriving on controversy, blunt multimedia-disseminated sound bites and “GOTCHA” exchanges versus low key, serious issue discussion on such trivialities as the economy, ailing banks, and health care. What’s the reality about how our politics operates and how messages need to be promoted and marketed? Is he doing that?

Remaining trapped in professor-observer speak
When you listen to Obama, it sometimes feels like you’re hearing a smart but distant analysis of the political scene. He sounds like a writer or teacher, but not the leader of a political crusade.

See all of the above. Like it or not, voters WILL go the candidate with whom they feel more empathy. Trite but true…

Failing to attack McCain early
Obama was wary of attacking a man who had suffered so much during the Vietnam War – an understandable emotion. But that wariness, combined with Obama’s natural inclination to be seen as the nice guy (one who lets others do the knifing) lead to an unfortunate result.

OR failing to attack and waiting too long to respond and then being on the defensive. For more than a year many Democrats have harped on two things (1) they will not fall into the same trap this year as in many other years of not responding or being on the defensive (2) a top priority is getting someone into the White House who can halt the Supreme Court’s tilt to the right.

The fact is: the Obama campaign seems to be inexorably heading down a road where it seems bound and determined to repeat past Democratic campaign decision (or non-decision) failures. And many Democrats who talked about how crucial the Supreme Court was seemingly don’t consider the Supreme Court that vital a factor anymore.

Fineman’s verdict:

Obama seems to want to do things on his own, and on his own terms. It’s understandable. Obama has his own crowd – from Chicago, from Harvard, and from a new cadre of wealthy, Ivy-educated movers and shakers.

“He’s an arrogant S.O.B.,” one of the latter told me today. “He wants to do it his way, and his way alone.” But politics doesn’t work that way. And as Obama should know, or is about to find out, that everyone needs a little help.

Help…before it’s too late…

Is it too late already?

  • Silhouette
    There is some speculation that Biden will be asked to step off the VP ticket and allow Hillary to step up. I doubt she will do that even if it happens...an outside shot.

    Asking Bill to be Secretary Of State might work. I don't know. I agree that Obama is arrogant. Just what we need for success this Fall, an arrogant spoil-sport with no talents beyond glib speeches. That's sure to get a win in time of dire issues.

    Personally, if I had the power, I would remove Obama from the ticket and install the runner-up for votes in the nomination (actually, how do we know she didn't win? The vote was cut short, remember?) as the new dem ticket choice and keep Biden.

    Hillary and Joe, 2008. Is it really too late? Can anything be done?
  • MaryL
    Joe, you really have to stop listening to concern trolls. But then, you've published Michael Reagan's same line of argument -- ooh! Obama's floundering -- so at least I can say you're consistent.

    Funding? August looks to be ready to beat their $55 million record, and the big fundraising ventures from now on will have high profile surrogates.

    And Bill Clinton and Obama gave a brief presser today after their lunch. Clinton will be campaigning big for him over the next few weeks. That takes care of point 2, I guess.

    22 states a waste? McCain is burning through money and time defending states he otherwise could have benignly neglected. Flipping these states would be great, but even making it close is to Obama's advantage if he hogs McCain's money and energy. (Oops! Sorry for the porcine reference!)

    And as for the other points, also debateable. Did you see Obama on Letterman last night?
  • DLS
    Obama has made some real blunders lately and McCain some adoit moves (who would have believed?), but this is far from settled.

    McCain I heard today was leading in Florida and earlier, in Pennsylvania. Some media accounts show Obama leading narrowly in Pennsylvania, however, as well as in Ohio and tending to lead currently here in Michigan. This race is far from over and Obama could win if he stops making blunders, some offending many voters, as we have seen.
  • lurxst
    I think FIneman has established his credentials as an ignoramus. Maybe he should just admit that he doesn't understand what the Obama campaign is doing as opposed to claiming the strategy to be a mistake.

    With his funding advantage, Obama is making sure that McCain has to continue to spend precious dollars protecting states that swung for Bush in 2004 but are anything but strongholds. Maybe someone can try to explain to Fineman how the electoral college works. I believe the last polls I saw showed a 57 electoral vote advantage for Obama, not counting McCain's quickly fading convention bounce.

    Failing with the Clintons? Is Fineman still flogging the PUMA meme? I think I saw more obvious discontent within the Republican ranks, especially in regards to McCain's VP pick. Still republicans do a good job at towing the line and have managed to quellpublic displays of inaffection. (They need to watch out for open mikes though).

    In terms of failing with an overarching policy idea, if its such a failure, why has McCain decided that he needed to adopt it in order to confuse the undecided voters? This is before we even begin to question the ridiculous notion of a party reforming itself. The American people aren't particularly stupid.

    "Professor speak", is this code for "elitist"? We are supposed to disparage Obama because he is a constitutional scholar? Doesn't talk in simplistic sound bites often enough? (I say often because of the recent lipstick/pig comments, which frankly were brilliant and although an obvious trap, McCain waded right into it.)

    In terms of failing to attack McCain early enough, he must be referring to the lack of dirty, outright false attacks from the Obama campaign, which we've seen coming from McCain. I am not talking about the web zeitgeist but actual " I'm John McCain and I approved this message(s)". Obama is chipping away at McCain's maverick status (90% with Bush policy) and he responds quickly and confidently when he is mis-characterized by the McCain campaign. Fineman just appears to not want to acknowledge it. Even though, in my eyes, McCain's attacks have been glaringly misleading, false or outright lies its apparent that he is willing to reach for anything he can, even if they appear preposterous to the media and the American people.
  • KarlArchitectRove
    The only mistake Obama made was to listen to pundits like Fineman who insisted that he selects Biden as a running mate. That watered down his theme of change.

    Should Obama be punished for going to Harvard? This guy is a hard worker. Look at his modest background! He drunk all night like some of my classmates do but knew what he wanted in life. His story is an american story. If you are one of those people Fineman and his media friends ridicule as "hard working white or blue collar", it's up to you if you want another Bush .

    Fineman is cynical. He is one of those people who believe the Clintons are the alpha and omega of american politics. It's a generational thing if you listen to people like Chris Matthews, Tom Brokaw etc. Let's turn the page right now.

    I'm only worried that the Republicans are gonna steal this thing in Ohio. MI, PA and WI is locked. VA looks good.
  • nbrhi60624
    You have so little faith. When Obama was up and flying high, we all stood back and said wow! Now that he has encountered some turbulance, we ae in pain and agony. The game is not over until the fat lady signs.

    Study the state by state races and rejoice a little. With Obama being an African American, every Black, White and other ethic groups knew that this was going to be a close race.

    If we truly believe that Democrats can win, we need to encourage each other to get out the vote. We need to man the phones more now than ever. True Democrats do not conceive of defeat. Once you begin to believe that we can be defeated, we will be defeated.

    Pick up your head and let's get busy and win this damn thing.

    nbnrhi60624
  • nbrhi60624
    I like what I hear from you. You're a fighter and a thinker. You've been looking at the State by State charts. Obama has one helluva ground game. This is where this war will be won - in the trenches.

    We, Democrats sitting on the sidelines need to cheer the troops and provide encouragement every step of the way.

    We are gonna win this thing. Let there be no question about it.

    How sayest thou?
  • jwest
    (something)624,

    Are you talking to yourself?

    (this could be a case of Greenwaldian sockpuppetry) http://wuzzadem.typepad.com/wuz/2006/07/greenpu...
  • TBAY
    lurxst - "We are supposed to disparage Obama because he is a constitutional scholar?"

    That is your asessment based on what? People aren't quite sure what to make of a "scholar" talking to them in such a fashion when they can't actually read any of his scholarly work to help understand his thought processes that underpin his positions. Shouldn't a "constitutional scholar" actually have some degree of scholarly writings which forces them to defend his/her positions in a rigorous academic invironment? Otherwise he just looks like someone who is very unsure of himself or someone who is looking for a way not to answer the question.

    The fact that he has no paper trail tells me that he IS unwilling to rigorously defend a postion that is unambiguously declared in a format where assessments can be made on indisputable concrete declarations in the format required to be taken seriously in academia. If that is the case (i.e. my assessment of him), then why should I or anyone whom he is trying to convince take the meandering answers seriously?
  • ilschiu
    "Failing to attack McCain early"

    Key word : "early"

    Obama was tricked into attacking McCain in his "rhetorically soaring" acceptance speech, making him look "mean" in front of millions of undecided. The "mean" comment was an instant feedback given by a hotel maid to a Dem operative.

    Remember the pieces of misinformation: McCain bought ad times to address Obama during Obama's acceptance speech, and the leak that McCain would name his running mate at 8:00 pm that night to steal Obama's thunder?

    Well, McCain praised Obama for a job well done, Obama attaked McCain making him "mean" in front of millions of audience. Every MSM outlet speculated about the "leak" that never came.

    Then Obama "attacked" Palin as pig with lipstick. Whether he meant it or not, when the terms "slim", "community organizer" could be construed as thinny veiled racial remarks, then ... "Obama is rattled by McCain's vp pick, Palin gets into Obama's head, Obama acts like a fifth grade bully..."

    I think Obama should, from now on, preach his changey hopey thing with concrete plans, and let his surrogates in AP, Time, Newsweek, WaPo, NYT, ABC, NBC, CBS, and CNN do his smearing.
  • csphere
    I remember reading this in mid-September.

    Seems this "mistake" worked out really well for Obama after all, eh?
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