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[interview] The Real McCain: Why Conservatives Don’t Trust Him-and Why Independents Shouldn’t

Earlier this week, I interviewed the author and political pundit, Cliff Schecter about his latest book, The Real McCain: Why Conservatives Don’t Trust Him – and Why Independents Shouldn’t. You can read more about the book at its website and I also recommend this article in U.S. News and World Report.

In his book, Schecter makes the case for why, although he supported McCain in his run in 2000, McCain no longer deserves support and in fact, his candidacy should be fought actively, without hesitation and on all fronts. Schecter outlines his reasons for these sentiments and fills in those reasons with more details than you may be able to absorb. Schecter draws a portrait of both McCain’s political trajectory and the parallel trajectory of how his political choices since 2001 are a thumbing of his nose at the very people who got him to the presidential precipice in the first place.

A couple of disclosures before I offer you my phone interview with Cliff: I’ve never been a McCain supporter. And I haven’t known of Schecter that long either – here’s the first post I ever wrote about Schecter. However, it was fascinating talking to someone with a seemingly vast knowledge base about someone whom I’ve never really studied.

JMZ: You argue on behalf of former McCain supporters who should be able to realize that McCain isn’t what he once was. Who, then, is the alternative and why?

CS: Well. There’s always, “What we have versus what we’d like to have.” I’m an Obama supporter and he has a lot of appeal to Independents. But he hasn’t done it the way McCain did it – by attacking his own party in big speeches. Obama has done it by standing up, not by splitting. Obama talks about rising above partisanship and reaching out to all people on all sides and getting past the muck where politics has gotten so nasty. Obama says, I’m going to talk to you like an adult. And that’s what McCain had called “straight talk” – but he hasn’t given us much of that [this election cycle.]

One example is with the gas tax . It doesn’t do any good – and Obama is telling us that. But McCain and Clinton go along with the idea [of a moratorium over the summer] – they pander. [Obama's telling us like it is] is why he has appeal beyond the Democratic party.

Michael Bloomberg could have an interesting run. He maybe could have changed the outcomes. Chuck Hagel could have been a compelling candidate on being honest – though on Iraq more so than in the social issues.

JMZ: Where is the line between flip-flopping (unacceptable changing of one’s opinion) and genuine change of heart?

CS: We have to look to see, is there evidence based upon learning new facts that changed the equation? Do they look back at the decision they made and say it was the wrong decision and new facts show why they support that [change in decision]?

McCain is the ultimate flip flopper because he does it out of political expedience. He is still supporting Iraq even though there were no WMDs. He complained about all these things [related to why we shouldn't be in Iraq years ago], he was the ultimate realist. In 1990, McCain talked about how we couldn’t trade our blood for Iraqi blood. But now he’s still supporting the war.

He talks about “security first.” But the war has only made us weaker and we’ve taken our eye off the ball. McCain said in the 1990s that our military was overstretched, but to say that then and not say that now?

What takes me beyond [McCain] being a flip flopper is that he not only says what is best for him, but he questions people’s motives if they are different from his. For example, he says, how dare we even think of cutting the estate tax and yet, how could he want to make it permanent now when before he’d opposed it?

Another example: how can a guy who in 1999 was quoted as saying in the San Francisco Chronicle that we can’t overturn Roe, is now this same guy who is calling for overturning Roe?

I don’t want people to be rigid and not change opinions, but rather they should change their opinions based on what’s better public policy. If you are saying that [your conclusion is] the only conclusion someone can reach, and then later you are on the exact oppostite side, it’s hard to take them seriously.

JMZ: Is it McCain’s fault that he has changed, or ours? That is, if he still possesses an acceptable political skill set and his changes reflect what he believes voters want, how much flack does he deserve, and why? Because isn’t it, after all, our system too?

CS: The Republican Party might take some blame for this. It’s a very inhospitable place for anyone to the left of them. There’s been a rash of retirements and [others] leaving the party. There’s been an increasing influence from the far right on all these issues – economics, the war…

But if you are courageous, you stand up and fight. McCain has modeled himself after Barry Goldwater but Goldwater got so sick of the Christian right to the point where he said, “I think every good Christian ought to kick Falwel right in the ass.”

McCain had options in 2000. From 2000-2004, he was getting himself ready for an Independent run. He approached [Democrat John] Kerry to be on the ticket. These seem like things he could have done to keep his principles. The Democratic party in 2000 would have been perfect place for McCain.

It’s not our fault. We’re the voters. If his arguments are so out of whack with the GOP, he should be telling them something. Maybe he should have changed parties.We look at people who make these kinds of choices as heroes, but at some point you decide: no free pass, because he sold out to the worst in his party. He made his bed.

JMZ: Is there anything McCain can do that would convince you to support him again? If so, what? If not, why not?

CS: He could stand up and say what everyone else is saying, that Iraq is an absolute failure and that he cares more about the security of the country than the election and support a pullout, but it would lose him the election.
He could admit that he made a huge mistake in switching his position on the tax cuts and that they’ve severely hindered our ability to function as a government and that he’ll go back to balancing the budget.

He could renounce people on the far right in his party like he did in 2000.

[But] it would be a hard sell. I don’t trust his motives anymore.

  • CStanley
    Huh. Can anyone explain how it's not inconsistent to argue that McCain's views on Iraq are out of political expediency (not possible, apparently to this interviewee, that McCain holds a principled stance that is simply different than his own) but then he goes on to assert that McCain should "say what everyone else is now saying about Iraq"? That makes no sense- if the popular opinion- particularly among independents whose support McCain needs- is that Iraq is a lost cause, then how can you see McCain's stance on it as anything but a principled one that goes against the 'finger in the wind' approach that political expediency would dictate?

    That's the most glaring error in assumptions that I can point out but pretty much the whole piece was like that for me. I hope that you will research it a bit more Jill, rather than take this guy's view on it as anything more than his own personal rationalization. It seems to me that a lot of people who really have admired McCain and would have supported him in the past feel as CS does, that they just can't support him now because of his stance on the Iraq war. And that's fine, that's his opinion- but I really can't stand for someone trying to convince other people that McCain's brand has been sullied by this, when it's not even logical to conclude that from the issues that he's bringing up here (in fact the opposite is better supported by the evidence presented.)
  • CStanley
    Also, while Obama's positioning himself as the guy who's issuing straight talk about the gas tax holiday, and has his supporters convinced that he made a principled change of position due to what he 'learned' after a similar measure (that he supported) was employed in IL, the truth is a bit different than that:
    http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2008/05/06...

    I'm not even arguing that the gas tax holiday is a good idea, but can we stop pretending that Obama opposes it strictly on principle rather than having calculated that he had more to gain politically from taking this stance than from taking the same one as McCain and Clinton (which I also admit are based on their own political calculations, or pandering.) Obama simply looked at the fact that the other two chose to pander on this (as he himself had done in IL) and decided he had less to gain from saying "Me too!" than he did by portraying himself as the more honest candidate on this issue.
  • I think you're a bit confused here maybe? "That's the most glaring error in assumptions that I can point out but pretty much the whole piece was like that for me. I hope that you will research it a bit more Jill, rather than take this guy's view on it as anything more than his own personal rationalization."

    I don't actually have too many assumptions about John McCain, or Cliff Schecter for that matter. :) This is just what I was interested in asking Schecter after reading his book. I'm definitely not an advocate for McCain and I don't actually say much against him in my writing because I just don't think about him too much - for better or worse. Just being honest.

    What would you have asked if you were interviewing Schecter?
  • CStanley
    Jill, I have to run but will try to return to the discussion later. All I meant was that I took from your intro that you haven't followed McCain that closely over the years and that you were then perhaps going to be influenced by what Schecter is saying about him. And I'd think that you might be giving some weight to that opinion based on the fact that he was apparently a supporter who has now soured on McCain.

    It's not so much that I would ask him different questions (I thought yours were quite good, actually) but that I'd challenge his answers more. I find that he's got his own bias, which appears to be due mainly to McCain's Iraq War stance that is so diametrically opposed to his own- and so he's finding reasons to say that this means that McCain can't possibly be principled.
  • CStanley
    .I didn't mean for the comments to come across as criticisms of you- I hope that's more clear now.
  • DLS
    "'finger in the wind'"

    Like Clinton, the one best known for this? (Either one of them, that is.)
  • CStanley - no offense taken - this IS a one dimensional media, no matter how much we tweak the templates. I understand what you're saying re: challenge the questions more - I was really in "elicit info" mode when asking him those questions but you make a very, valid point - it would be a better exchange perhaps if I DID know more about McCain. And maybe I should. :) But...I don't - because he's never been of interest to me. That's not a great excuse - but I do understand what you're saying now. I will keep that in mind as I continue to do interviews etc. It is a good point. Thanks.
  • runasim
    CStanley,

    A little fact checking.
    What happened in Illinois is exactly what Obama himself cites in campaign speeches as one reason he opposes th gas-tax relief.
    There is such a rush to score points, there seems to be no time to check the bases for scoring them.
  • runasim
    My question about McCain's "proncipled' stands' is: what are the principles he stands on curreently?

    They seem to be evolving on a daily basis.
    I don't call a change of mind flip-floppiing, btw. Better a change of mind than continuing bad mistakes.
    He backed English being our official language, but he has Spanish language ads, for example.

    He has changed his mind about so many things, I feel I wouldn't know what his principles are until after he is elected. Flexibility is okay with me, too. But I would line to know what he would be flexing from.

    Even his steadfastness about Iraq comes with regular amendments and clarifications. In one inerview, he sounded remarkably like Obama, except for the mention of dates. In another inerview, he sounded more like GWB.

    It's confusing.
  • runasim
    O//t observation:

    I notice the popularity of providing links to blogs and opinion pieces as a means of providing evidence for an argument. But haht is the evidence for the original opinion?

    What I've also noticed is that this is sometimes a means of perpetuating the blogosphere's outrages. It's a rumor mill on steroids.

    I've also noticed that whole flocks of people use the same verbatim talking points from site to site, comment to comment.

    Is original thinking dead?

    I have no one in pararticular in mind, BTW. These are things i've been noticing for some time.
    I seriously worry about the impact of this trend on critical thinking abilities in the US. I'm sure college kids are doing it, too.
  • CStanley
    Runasim: read the link- it explains that although Obama says that the tax holiday in IL proved to be a bust, the only study of it after the fact concluded the opposite. So he's either disingenuous in saying that he learned from studies done after the fact, or he's misinformed about it.


    Even his steadfastness about Iraq comes with regular amendments and clarifications. In one inerview, he sounded remarkably like Obama, except for the mention of dates. In another inerview, he sounded more like GWB.

    Can you be more specific? In general I don't see why that would be a problem, and it in fact adds to his cred as a more centrist candidate that he'd sometimes 'sound like' the conservatives and sometimes 'sound like' a more liberal politician. He agrees with conservatives on most issues but he's not afraid to give criticism toward them when it's due. Why is that a problem?

    If you don't happen to agree with his stances, then by all means don't vote for him, but it makes no sense to me for people to criticize him from both right and left- he's considered by a lot of center lefties to be pandering when he iterates his more conservative opinions, and he's considered disingenuous when he iterates a point where he agrees with the left. I guess that's the trouble with centrist politics; everyone is a centrist on some issues but identifies with the more left or right position on others, and any other centrist who lines up differently will be accused of having those positions based on political expediency instead of principle.
    He has changed his mind about so many things, I feel I wouldn't know what his principles are until after he is elected. Flexibility is okay with me, too. But I would line to know what he would be flexing from.
    Again, specific examples would help. I don't see nearly as much change in his positions as his current critics do, and the only explanation I can think of for that is that some people thought they agreed with him in the past more than they really did- they mistook his previous positions I guess. The one that I see cited the most is the torture issue but again I think people misunderstood his previous position; he argued passionately for the military manual to list specific techniques as the only ones that could be used but even when that was being debated he's on record as saying that this would apply specifically to the military (not CIA) and that all branches- military and civilian (CIA) would need to comply with Geneva conventions or other international agreements. The distinction he makes there is that the CIA techniques shouldn't be broadcast and our enemies need only know that there will be no interrogation technique that breaches the international agreements. Again, agree with him or disagree but don't present your own misunderstanding of his former position up against his current one and act as though there's been a flip flop when there hasn't been one.

    And for the record, I don't think that all flip flops are wrong either, but they should be demonstrably related to changes in the facts that support one position or another.
  • CStanley
    I notice the popularity of providing links to blogs and opinion pieces as a means of providing evidence for an argument. But haht is the evidence for the original opinion?

    Personally when I link to another blog or opinion piece it's just a shorthand way of stating an opinion if I think someone has stated it well and if it's the type of thing that is a claim based on facts then I generally won't link to analysis pieces unless those pieces provide the primary source links to back up what's being stated in the analysis. For instance, yesterday I linked to a qando piece which itself linked to a WHO report to back its claims. Of course that didn't stop one commenter from saying that qando was just unacceptable because it's <gasp!> a conservative blog!
  • CStanley
    A little fact checking.
    What happened in Illinois is exactly what Obama himself cites in campaign speeches as one reason he opposes th gas-tax relief.
    There is such a rush to score points, there seems to be no time to check the bases for scoring them.

    I agree that fact checking is in order, so please feel free to read the facts that are presented in the link I provided. Do you dispute what is said there, and if so, on what factual basis? Was there in fact another report that verifies that what Obama said is true, or not?
  • CStanley
    Jill, thanks for taking my comments in the spirit in which they were intended. That is in fact what I meant, that if you were more informed about McCain I believe you'd have a better ability to conduct the interview in a way that would make CS defend his views (or show the holes in his thinking if he could not persuasively do so.)

    Anyway, besides the shortcomings of the media, I have to admit I'm just a bit shorttempered at the moment due to stressful personal circumstances, so I didn't do the best job of expressing myself.
  • runasim
    CStanley,
    Let me do a little independent thinking, beyond what you and I read on Salon.
    That the tax break ' worked' is taken to mean that consuemrs got relief., with no immediate discernible negative impact.

    If that's the definiton, then fine. It's not my definition, nor is it, as far as I can tell, Obama's.
    What his detractors fail to grasp is that he is more about process than mmediate outcome. How will oil companies react later this year and next year and the year after that? How will consumers? Will it make them see the importance of conservation or wil it l encourage willy-nilly spending money on gas.?

    Argumetns like this, as on the farm bill, the inheritance tax and other measues always bring up the specter of the hard-working American who will lose everything if he doesn't get what he needs right now. The trouble with all these scenarios is precisely because they are not need based. As a consequence, the majority of the money spent on many gov't programs goes to those who need it least. 'Consumers' include the wealthy owners orf 3 gas guzzlers as well as the working mom in a rural area who needs to get to her job.

    How much revenue will be lost to aid people who are not in need in aird?
    How much will be pure waste?
    --------------------------------------------------------------------
    I already gave you several examples of McCain's change of mind.
    I'm not interested in spending my time to provide you with a recap of McCain's public statemtnts over the last 4 years.
    I'm sure you'll be able to link to them.
    --------------------------------------------

    Just go ahead and vote for McCain, if that's your preference.This has once again devolved into nit-picking and argementation instead of real argument. or trying to understand the beyond-candidate and behond-parrty world. It's the 'gotcha' style of discussion, which just goes around in circles and never advances.

    It really is a waste of itme., IMO.
  • CStanley
    Runasim, my point isn't whether or not that one report was correct or thorough enough in its assessment of the effects of the tax relief. It still remains that Obama claimed that the after analysis showed one thing, and the only report that anyone's been able to produce that analyzed the situation showed the opposite conclusion. That conclusion may very well be wrong, and Obama may very well be right- but he's not accurate when he claims that the report said what he is saying. So again, he's either being disingenuous (in order to cast his previous pandering on the issue in a more favorable light, as though it wasn't pandering but he believed it would work and the evidence afterward showed that it didn't) or he is somehow misinformed about what analysis was actually done.
  • runasim
    CStanley,
    Please, don't support Obama.
    Vote for McCain.

    I spent considerable time in laying out the broader picture of how we could ADVANCE in thIs disussion to a post politics zone, I actually thought about gas-tax relief. ..

    Your response is more nit-picking.

    Over and out.
  • mikkel
    CS actually I have heard him say exactly what the report said. Although I believe it was in a sit down interview not on the stump. On the stump it sounds like they didn't give a break at all but during the interview he said the exact number and just said that the benefit to the oil companies was much more than to consumers, especially when factoring in lost revenue.
  • Jim_Satterfield
    The implication being put forth by the McCain and Clinton campaigns is that all of the benefits from the tax cuts would go to the consumer. Even if that was the case there just wouldn't be that much money involved when you consider the timespan that it would occur over. But the study shows that in the case of Illinois there was a significant portion of the savings, though not a majority, that never made it through to the consumer. So the benefits to the consumer are being exaggerated by the supporters of the "holiday". So yes, they are pandering and Obama is in fact being more honest about it.
  • CStanley
    runasim, I'm sure you are aware that political discussions happen so that people can attempt to explain their own rationales for supporting or not supporting a candidate. So unless you are calling for a moratorium on all blog discussions in which a blogger or commenter explains why he or she plans to vote for a particular candidate, please refrain from trying to dismiss all of my comments which do so. I promise to not do the same to you- if you write something positive about Obama or express a concern about McCain, I'll respond to it if I have something to say on those points, instead of saying that anything you write about the subject is 'nitpicking'. Deal?
  • CStanley
    Jim, I actually agree with most of what you wrote there. I was only taking issue with Obama's past position, which I believe was pandering and I don't see his current explanation (that he learned after the fact from studies that the IL gas tax relief wasn't effective) as accurate. IOW, I give him credit for probably having the most correct position now, but I don't see it as a sign that he generally avoids pandering (one only has to look at NAFTA to see that that's not the case.) Instead, it looks to me like this was a time when he correctly noted that it was a bigger advantage for him to 'shoot straight' than to pander.

    Mikkel, I haven't heard everything he's said in every venue, obviously- I'm only noting the inaccuracy in certain statements that he's made.
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