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Rice Panic

So… while folks have been fretting about whether Jane Fonda’s torpedoing Obama, or whether we’re all about to start eating one another, there’s been some grim global-economy news.

The NY Times tells us there have been food riots in Guinea, Mauritania, Mexico, Morocco, Senegal, Uzbekistan and Yemen in recent months, and there are rising fears of civil unrest:

HANOI — Rising prices and a growing fear of scarcity have prompted some of the world’s largest rice producers to announce drastic limits on the amount of rice they export.

Vietnam’s government announced here on Friday that it would cut rice exports by nearly a quarter this year. The government hoped that keeping more rice inside the country would hold down prices.

The price of rice, a staple in the diets of nearly half the world’s population, has almost doubled on international markets in the last three months. That has pinched the budgets of millions of poor Asians and raised fears of civil unrest.

From the Asia Sentinal, we learn that farmers in several countries are now guarding their fields at night to prevent theft. Higher fuel costs, pests, cold, flooding — even US and European biofuel programs — are, in combination, setting up a global disaster.

Taken altogether, it looks like US rice farmers are fixin’ to have a bonanza — at least, the ones who are still in business.

Haunted

On the good news side (and one has to strain to see it) — the 3 or 4 farmers still growing rice in my little corner of the globe are gonna have a really good year.

  • It's not just rice....it's grain products all in all. As the price of corn goes up (due to ethanol) people are turning to other grains and as that happens those prices go up as well.

    LL
  • runasim
    Although the news is not good (good news being such a rate commocity), it's a relief to get away from primary wars.
    We need a reminder now and then that there are problems out there much more setious than Hillay and Obama combined.

    Rice. Grain, in general.
    I would add water,, for starters.

    And how many millions have been spent on the primaries so far?
    How many millions will be spent in the general election?
  • Dave_Schuler
    The situation is more complicated than might be gathered from the article cited. With the exception of Mexico, all of the countries in your list have substantial tariff and non-tariff barriers to the importation of rice. The world price of rice may, indeed, be rising for the reasons listed but tariffs and non-tariff barriers are a more significant source of high costs in many countries.

    For many countries food self-sufficiency is seen as a national priority. I'm in no position to comment on the legitimacy of such a goal for any given country. Suffice it to say that such a policy will have its costs.
  • Dave_Schuler
    BTW, U. S. rice farmers are not expected to be great beneficiaries of the price increases: bans on genetically modified grains.
  • Dave's right; the situation is incredibly complex. David Ignatius also had something on this in WaPo today (link, going into further detail on the equation.

    This situation caught my eye primarily because the global impact of various economic factors seems to be passing completely beneath our radar. (and also, I guess, because I live in an area that no longer farms rice, but used to).

    The ripple effects from a world-wide grain shortage -- or even a perceived shortage -- would be massive.
  • lurxst
    Corn at $6 a bushel. Ouch
    Legions of over the road truck drivers unable to afford their livelihood due to petroleum prices. Ouch. My local food prices rose 20% in last 12 months. Ouch.

    Thank the founders for the 2nd amendment.
  • Slamfu
    What does that have to do with the price of rice in China?

    I've always wanted to say that and mean it.
  • daveinboca
    US corn is going at $6/bushel, so it's a good time for the agrarian types in Iowa & Nebraska.
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