An Internet hub for moderates, centrists, and independents, with domestic and international news, analysis, original reporting, and popular features from the left, center, and right

Obama’s Avalanche Accelerates, Clinton’s Self-Fulfilling Prophecy & So Much More

01aobam_wave.jpg

01ahillll.jpg

Barack Obama made a tentative believer out of me several months ago. I believed that his hope-and-change message had great merit but lacked substance and his candidacy would not have the legs to survive the Super Tuesday primaries.

Despite a setback in New Hampshire and a draw in Nevada, Obama has been literally hell bent for election for weeks now. He has added substance to his message, campaigned with a passion not seen on the presidential campaign stump in my lifetime and raised twice as much money as Hillary Clinton while attracting a cross section of voters that is stunning.

While the Obama Avalanche has accelerated, Clinton has been stuck in neutral because of a failed strategy of presenting herself as having an aura of inevitability at a time when voters thirst for change and not the same old-same old.

Compared to Obama, Clinton has been a lackadaisical campaigner with a muddled message, nowhere more so than about the deeply unpopular Iraq war. Her husband alienated and did not attract voters at a crucial juncture. There are the aforementioned money woes. She waited too long to dismiss a campaign manager who was valued for her loyalty but lacked political smarts, while a deputy campaign manager has now resigned in what looks to be a fullblown shakeup as Clinton’s viability hangs in the balance.

In a stunning abdication, Clinton and her handlers now say that she never expected to win any February contests despite there having been primaries and caucuses in several states, including Maine and Virginia, that seemed tailor made for her.

Giving the finger to her supporters in Maryland, the District of Columbia, and Virginia, where her campaign is headquartered, Clinton jetted off to Texas as the Potomac Primaries polls opened. This, it was explained, is because Texas and Ohio, which hold delegate-rich primaries on March 4, are now her firewall.

In a self-fulfilling prophecy, Obama spanked Clinton hard in yesterday’s primaries, beating her by a 51 percent margin in Washington, D.C., 28 percent in Virginia and 22 percent in Maryland by drawing voters from virtually every demographic group.

Exit polls in Maryland and Virginia showed that he took 60 to 70 percent of the vote among young voters and independents and 90 percent of the votes among African-Americans. He edged Clinton among older, blue-collar and white voters, and most troubling for Clinton, among women.

Obama now leads the convention delegate count 1,223-1,198, according to The Associated Press.

In a victory speech last night Obama turned his attention to presumptive Republican nominee John McCain: “John McCain is an American hero. We honor his service to our nation. But his priorities don’t address the real problems of the American people, because they are bound to the failed policies of the past.”

McCain, who swept the GOP’s Potamac Primaries, fired back in his own victory speech. While not mentioning Obama by name, he declared that “To encourage a country with only rhetoric rather than sound and proven ideas that trust in the strength and courage of free people is not a promise of hope. It is a platitude.”

So here’s another prophecy: The Clinton campaign has been too clever by half, too image conscience by twice that and too obsessed with spinning every jot and tittle by thrice that. As a consequence, Texas and Ohio may no longer be firewalls but mirages. Absent a huge gaffe by Obama, the campaign of Hillary Rodham Clinton may be over and not even superdelegates will be able to bail her out.

Obama’s extraordinary success is not merely because of Clinton’s failure to excite, while his improbable drive to the nomination and perhaps becoming the first African-American to occupy the White House despite a deep national vein of racism is not occurring in a vacuum.

Large swaths of the public in all of its Gray’s Anatomy Sport Utility Vehicle Oprah Winfrey Apple Pie Super Bowl quirkiness is embracing a freshman U.S. senator arguably short on experience but long on vision as their agent for an Extreme American Makeover.

The Associated Press, BBC, CNN, Los Angeles Times and New York Times contributed to this report. Photos by AP.

  • cosmoetica
    Let's stay the overweening confidence, Shaun. If O wins Texas and Ohio this column may be justified, but alot can happen from now till then. Although I will be adding to the Clinton fizzle on 3/4.
  • jdledell
    Shaun - Like you I was very skeptical of Obama a few months ago (LOL - I was a Richardson supporter). However, the more I heard his speeches the more his words resonated in my deepest soul. Now, I sometimes find myself breaking in to tears when I listen to him.

    His words are NOT just platitudes -they are truely and deeply inspirational. The ability of a person to inspire an entire people is the stuff of major change. Look at the words of Lincoln, listen to FDR rally a people out of a depression, listen to the speeches of Churchill who keep an entire nation going under terrible stress. Listen to Ghandi who inspired hundreds of millions to throw off the cloak of colonialism or Martin Luther King who brought black people out into the cleansing sunshine of this nation.

    Yes, words and inspiration can be used for evil purposes, look at Hitler. However, I have no questions about Obama's character after he spurned money that his Harvard degree would have brought and spent his time helping the least amoung us. In short, Obama can bring this nation a giant step ahead. Not all he would want nor all we could hope for but at the very minimum regain what Bush has devastated.
  • DLS
    Actually the first-hand report I got from my rad-lib friend in DC may shed light on what's really happening -- more than one Democratic special-interest group is able to take more control in the mainstream of the party. See paragraph 2 below.

    ...

    There were only four or five voters at my polling
    place in the middle of the day; although I'm sure
    there are far more there now. I saw several Obama
    signs in yards nearby, but there were no official
    signs anywhere. I guess the Obama people and the
    Clinton people are so sure that Obama will win around
    here that they didn't bother to put out any campaign
    material.

    I thought that Clinton at least had a chance in
    Virginia, but according to the local coverage I'm
    listening to on WAMU, Obama seems to be winning there
    as well. Our governor endorsed her (DC's mayor and
    Virginia's governor endorsed Obama), but of course
    that didn't help any--Maryland has lots of African
    Americans and young people, who strongly favor Obama.
    I voted for her though; I was surprised how moved I
    was after voting for a woman for president for the
    first time (dang, I'm tearing up again now); it must
    be what many African Americans feel voting for a Black
    person for president for the first time (at least the
    first time for one who has a good chance of winning).
    This election sure has made a lot of previously (to
    some extent) marginalized people feel good.

    I was intrigued to hear that in Virginia, Clinton has
    done well in the same areas that Huckabee has done
    well; the rural area in the southwestern part of the
    state and the mountainous area.
  • DLS
    As for Clinton and her firewalls -- Ohio and Texas are Clinton's Alamo, and will or will not the Obama crowd breach those firewalls? (Mexico adelante!)

    http://www.mohicanpress.com/battles/ba02001.html

    http://www.thealamofilm.com/alamo-painting.shtml

    http://www.legendsofamerica.com/photos-texas/Al...
  • DLS
    Obama Camp Boasts of Unstoppable Lead

    http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/02/13/obama-...
  • DLS
    "Let's stay the overweening confidence, Shaun."

    To be serious, we must wait to see if Clinton succeeds at "TOP": Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. There's the case she wins the nomination if she wins in those three big states.

    Ohio and Texas are where everyone will be looking, and Obama may have won it if he wins there, but don't neglect Pennsylvania.
  • cosmoetica
    DLS: You have to be retired to have all this time to go link hunting.
  • cosmoetica
    If not, your employer better not find out all the time you're online.
blog comments powered by Disqus
© 2005-2009 The Moderate Voice | Site design by Elegant Themes | Site customization, hosting, and security by Enxit Group, LLC