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Why There Will be No Recession in the U.S.

The American economy is the engine of the world, so they say. So the world is watching it closely.

El Pais, a Spanish daily, seems to assert that good Keynesian American economics (a la “the deficit doesn’t matter”) will be just what the U.S. needs, and will get, to head off the recession, and comes close to suggesting that the Europeans should be taking a leaf out of the American book:

while Europeans and their central bank decide on orthodox, prudent economic policies in view of a slowing pace related to the control of inflation, Americans, once again Keynesians, will be recession-risk fighters. As Vice-president Cheney said, quoting Reagan, “the deficit doesn’t matter

And the piece offers an interesting statistic that should be sobering to Republicans everywhere:

In 1992, in a recessive environment, a quite unknown Bill Clinton won the battle for the White House against senior George Bush, the winner of the first Gulf war. According to a study made, on the four occasions on which the US economy entered a recession at the beginning of an electoral year (1920, 1932, 1960, and 1980) the incumbent party lost.

Could it really be that good pocket-book common sense trumps American voters’ pseudo-moral ideological positions on such things as gun rights, abortion, and all the rest of it? Let’s hope so. It would bear well for the nation.

Read “Why There Will be No Recession in the U.S.” on Watching America.com

H/T Watching America.com

  • DLS
    The real issue here is the similarity between this President Bush's situation and that of his father. As to Keynesianism or something different, so-called supply-side economic policies (they are not the same, obviously), saner minds reject the idea of a stimulus gimmick. (We also don't like the moral hazard inherent in such things as the homeowner bailout, nor with unconstitutional confiscation, which is what would be happening if interest rates were frozen without compensation to the lenders. And why should taxpayers be involved with these things at all?)
  • superdestroyer
    Any effect that a Democratic candidate could have is almost six quarters away from today.

    Of course, the real problem with Keynesian economics is that the higher taxes and program cuts that are required to be made in the good times are never done. That is one of the reasons that the national debt is so high.

    Of course, the real economic policy of the Clinton Administration was not making any huge policy changes but to go six years without revising the tax codes or starting new government programs.
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