Poll: Women Voters Giving Obama Big Lead in Michigan (HEADLINE CORRECTED)

Mitt Romney has a big problem in Michigan: women voters are fleeing him in droves:

President Barack Obama has opened up a double-digit lead over GOP challenger Mitt Romney in Michigan fueled by a wave of women moving toward the Democratic president following the national party conventions.

Obama leads Romney by 14.2 points, 52 percent to 37.8 percent, in the Detroit News/WDIV Local 4 poll, a solid improvement from August pre-convention polls in which the president held a six-point advantage, 48 percent to 42 percent. In this month’s poll, 8.7 percent of voters were undecided.

Romney made a concerted pitch to women voters during the national GOP convention in Tampa, Fla., and Obama did the same at the Democratic convention in Charlotte, N.C. Both campaigns feature women prominently as surrogates or supporters at campaign stops. But poll results suggest the Democrats’ convention lineup that focused heavily on women’s health, and the federal auto rescue of General Motors and Chrysler resonated with independent females here. About 29 percent of Michigan women call themselves Republican, but women identifying themselves as Democrats shot up from 43 percent in August to 55 percent this month.

“Women … made a drastic move to the Democratic Party,” said pollster Richard Czuba of Glengariff Group, Inc., which conducted the poll.

That shift gives Obama a dominating 20-point advantage over Romney among women compared to an 11-point lead in August. Obama also has improved from a near tie with Romney among men last month to an eight-point advantage this month.

“In 28 years of polling in Michigan, I don’t think I’ve seen a gender gap this large before in Michigan,” Czuba said. “… If women stay this strong for Democrats, there will be problems for Republicans all down the ballot.”

The News poll showed the largest lead for Obama in Michigan among recent surveys. Earlier this month, polls showed Obama up by between two and 10 points.

The poll almost seems to say “Take that, Rush Limbaugh.” I suspect if Limbaugh had not gone after Sandra Fluke and so many GOPers timidly addressed the issue, issued careful statements (like Romney) or went on the offensive against her, the GOP’s problem with women voters might not be as big. And, also, Fluke wouldn’t have spoken during the prime time hour at the Democratic convention as a warm-up act for Bill Clinton.

NOTE: The headline was wrong on this post and due to TMVers all being offline it was not fixed until some hours later. We regret the error.

8 Comments

  1. I read the headline on the front page of TMV and thought “WUT???Nooooo”. Glad to see it’s just a mistake — might want to change that one, Joe. :)

  2. Headline needs to be changed

  3. It is good to be a woman….

  4. Did anyone see Carl Rove this morning?
    September 20, 2012 Fox News/ America’s Newsroom with Bill Hemmer;
    Quoting Carl Rove former George W. Bush senior adviser and deputy chief of staff “Mitt Romney’s having his turn in the barrel…. Look, he was ineloquent in what he said. But, everybody got the tone of it. If you pay taxes you’re going to be more interested in Mitt Romney’s tax reform plan than if you don’t. And if you depend upon government, if you’re a government employee or you’re dependent upon government to make your way in life, you’re gonna be more likely to vote for President Obama and less likely to vote for Mitt Romney.”

    According to Carl Rove and Mitt Romney, Obama will win the election by a landslide. According to my research and very conservative estimates* if Carl Rove and Mitt Romney are correct, President Obama will receive at least 71.6%* of the popular vote!

    We start with the 47% americans that do not pay federal income taxes. This is Mitt Romney’s conservative estimate. He said 47, 48, 49…. did not pay taxes.

    Then we add the very conservative estimate of 4.6% government workers planning to vote for Obama. In all likelihood that number is closer to 8% of of the people working for the government that will vote for Obama.

    47.0% american leeches, mooches, those that take no personal responsibility according to Governor Mitt Romney.
    + 4.6% half of government workers (very conservative estimate)
    = 51.6% Voting for Obama (very conservative estimate)
    + 20.0% Private sector workers voting for obama* (very conservative estimate)
    = 71.6% Voting for Obama. (very conservative estimate, according to Carl Rove and Mitt Romney)

    Does the Fleetwood Mac song “Landslide” come to mind?
    *Will gladly post sources if requested.

  5. ProWife, I hope your post was satire.

  6. This post was done before I left in a rush. We do have proofreading but apparently no one on the site including the person in charge noticed. I’m changing it and will rectify the larger problem very soon.

  7. Dear All: As you know, Joe and I and many of our writers have heavy day jobs, and so cannot always leap immediately. We have had a proofreader person for quite some time, but somehow this particular got by them. This has been fixed now by Joe. Thank all of you who helpfully mentioned it. Also, if you see any major glitch, please write to me at [email protected] Proofing is not part of my job here at TMV, mostly because I’m a terrible ‘inventing’ speller, but I will correct an error you point out, as soon as I’m informed of such or see it myself. Thanks again.

  8. Rambie, I hope Romney’s campaign is satire.

Submit a Comment