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Bad Polling News for Democrats in Swing States
First Read notes that there’s bad news for Democrats and President Barack Obama in swing states:
*** It don’t mean a thing if you ain’t got that swing-state strength: Turning the general election, a new USA Today/Gallup poll of swing states “finds the number of voters who identify themselves as Democratic or Democratic-leaning in these key states has eroded, down by 4 percentage points, while the ranks of Republicans have climbed by 5 points. Republican voters also are more attentive to the campaign, more enthusiastic about the election and more convinced that the outcome matters.” More from the poll: “In the swing states, Obama now trails former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney among registered voters by 5 points, 43% vs. 48%, and former House speaker Newt Gingrich by 3, 45% vs. 48%. That’s a bit worse than the president fares nationwide, where he leads Gingrich 50%-44% and edges Romney 47%-46%.” Caveat: It’s striking to see this kind of discrepancy between the swing-state and nationwide numbers. So a bit of caution… By the way, today President Obama does a round of local news interviews — three of four in swing states — in Norfolk, VA, Pensacola, FL, Colorado Springs, CO, and Seattle.
Obama will need more than local interviews. On the other hand, the GOP continues to show signs that it will pull defeat from the jaws of victory in the battle between the center-right establishment and the hard-right Tea Party/talk show wings which threatens to create enduring tensions the party and turn off independent voters and moderates.
6 Responses to “Bad Polling News for Democrats in Swing States”
Short attention spans, shorter memories. An embarrassing electorate.
Obama can still pull this out by doing one thing. Stop the class warfare.
As with the wing nuts in the Republican party controlling its direction while turning off the 60% center independant voter, so to is Obama playing to the wing nuts on the left who appreciate the class warfare, but also alienate the 60% center independant voter.
Obama can stree the need for tax reform, tax increases and budget reform without the negative messages he is sending.
The 60%ers in the middle are tired of the divisive politics that have been around since the Clinton administration and the attacks from the right. The center independants want congress and the President to work on solutions. His approach to working together is telling McCain (during the healthcare discussions)”John get over it, the election is over and I won”. And he continues with his demonizing the rich, while achieving little for the 99% he says he represents.
I could care less if a republican or democrat won as long as they had the leadership skills to bring this country together, bring congress together and get something done. Right now that person is nowhere in sight.
I agree; no one appears capable (of those offered) of getting both sides to go to center. That is a very bad thing.
@RP
Class warfare was going on before Obamama. Reagan and trickle down/ voodoo economics created the class divide. The numbers don’t lie, wealth distribution is near TR days.
Rudi, RP has had it explained to him (a few times now) how class warfare isn’t even close to being an Obama invention, but he has chosen not to believe it. Class warfare is real allright, and it’s been around for decades (yes, it’s getting worse), but it seems to be another one of those areas republicans are largely clueless about.
How much of this is simply die to all attention being on GOP candidates? This seems the norm during the primary season when the sitting President has no competition: the other party gets all the attention.
To a certain extent, O is smart staying somewhat under the radar right now. Let the GOP have their freak show, and then begin campaigning again in earnest.