Giuliani Leads in Poll
(I wrote this post for TMV but when I wanted to publish it I saw that Joe posted about it already as well so… I decided to publish it at my own blog)
A Rasmussen poll shows that his lead on Hillary Clinton has increased from six to nine points.
In a match-up between the early 2008 frontrunners, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) leads New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) 52% to 43%. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Giuliani’s lead growing in recent months. His current nine-point advantage is up from a six point lead in January and a four-point lead in December.
Giuliani has solidified his title as the most popular candidate of Election 2008—his favorability ratings have inched back up to 70% (see summary for all Republican candidates).
Clinton is viewed favorably by 50% and unfavorably by 48%. The last four times that Rasmussen Reports has polled on a Giuliani-Clinton race, Clinton’s support has remained unchanged at 43%.
Although “both candidates draw reasonable levels of support from within their own party”…
Giuliani has an enormous 64% to 27% advantage over Clinton among unaffiliated voters.
And that’s the factor that’ll determine everything, and that’s also why I believe that it would be very wise for the Republican Party to nominate Giuliani. He appeals to independents and it will be independents who, in the end, decide who wins. There are – in my opinion – two Democrats who should be able to win over independents as well: Clinton and Obama. Seemingly Clinton hasn’t succeeded in doing so yet.
Hillary Clinton has one gigantic problem: 48% of Americans thinks negatively about her. 48%. That’s not a minor problem, that’s a gigantic problem.
Continue reading at my own blog.
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6 Responses to “Giuliani Leads in Poll”
Hillary, Smillary, aren’t ther other topics here?
Uh, when is that important election? November 2008? Does it really makes sense to make such a brouhaha about early candidates now???
here’s a video I can guarantee you Rudy would prefer you didn’t see. Not exactly presidential:
http://minor-ripper.blogspot.com/2007/02/video-rudy-giuliani-does-not-want-you.html
A USA Today/Gallup poll that came out in the last week had Hillary’s favorable at an all-time high of 58/40 – which, by the way, is higher than any recent winning presidential candidate on Election Day. It also had her increasing her vote share in the Democratic primary from 29 to 40 percent, with her opponents showing little movement.
Michael, I suggest in future situations like this you post a comment in the original thread pointing to your blog. As it is, TMV has two separate threads.
Much as Rudy polls well among independents for now, there’s plenty of reason to hope it won’t last.
Most Americans view Rudy through one prism: post 9/11. That’s why he’s popular. Most Americans view Obama through one prism: the DNC speech. That’s why his positives so outweigh his negatives. But far fewer people are aware of his DNC speech than they are of Rudy looking calm after 9/11. Hillary is the only one that most Americans have a fairly well-formed and stable opinion of right now.
What this means is that numbers for Rudy and Obama will change drastically over the next year and a half. The only question is: which direction? Will Rudy continue to soar and pull in many Democrats too? Or will his petulant and bizarre behavior undermine him as conservatives start laying in their claws against his decidedly unconservative social positions? Will Obama continue to grow in support as the “new era” candidate uniquely positioned to push the nation out of the Bush era? Or will he reveal himself to be nothing more than a smooth-talking politician unable to make the hard decisions that the campaign requires? That’s really the question at this point. Waiting in the wings are Hillary and McCain, both of whom are much more seasoned and nationally known politicians.
Guiliani Leads in Poll…
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