What Happens If Obama Does Not Win?
I woke up this morning to read the Gallup poll numbers that show an 11 point lead for Barack Obama. The amazing thing is the fact that so many people seem to be surprised by the double digit lead. In a post, two weeks ago, I predicted a win of 14 points. The surprising part of these poll numbers is that we have not seen the effect of Vice President Dick Cheney’s endorsement for John McCain.
My lead question is “what happens if Obama does not win?” While I do not see this a likely outcome for tomorrow night, I believe it is worth taking a look at possible consequences of a McCain win.
1) The legitimacy of this election will be called into question. We have already had stories about voter fraud, the throwing out of ballots, and possible problems with both hand ballots and computer based voting systems. If you thought Bush v. Gore took a long time, McCain v. Obama may also wind up in the Supreme Court. By the way, the Republicans have a 5 – 4 margin on the bench – sound familiar…
2) For black folks, it will be about Race. I know that it is not PC to write this but being PC has never been one of my badges of honor. African-American turnout will surpass all benchmarks in the South and in urban areas. These voters will feel cheated and feel that our political system is designed to keep one of their own out of power. I even read that some local jurisdictions are going to have extra police on duty – in case there is a large protest or other kind of public disturbance.
3) The millions of young people who have been energized to get involved in politics will feel betrayed as well. On both sides of the aisle, my students are more energized about this election than any I have witnessed since 1992. We will lose a generation of voters because they will not trust their government any longer.
If Obama wins, Republicans will have to retool to find their message for 2012. This means they either have to jettison Sarah Palin or the moderates of their party.
If Obama loses, Democrats are going to recount, go to the Supreme Court, and once again, lose the Presidency on a technicality…either way tomorrow should be a day for the history books and I have got my Tums by the TV.Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2008 The Moderate Voice