The Times of London reports that several U.S. generals and admirals are threatening to resign if George Bush gives the order to attack Iran.
“There are four or five generals and admirals we know of who would resign if Bush ordered an attack on Iran,� a source with close ties to British intelligence said. “There is simply no stomach for it in the Pentagon, and a lot of people question whether such an attack would be effective or even possible.�
A British defence source confirmed that there were deep misgivings inside the Pentagon about a military strike. “All the generals are perfectly clear that they don’t have the military capacity to take Iran on in any meaningful fashion. Nobody wants to do it and it would be a matter of conscience for them.
“There are enough people who feel this would be an error of judgment too far for there to be resignations.�
A generals’ revolt on such a scale would be unprecedented. “American generals usually stay and fight until they get fired,� said a Pentagon source. Robert Gates, the defence secretary, has repeatedly warned against striking Iran and is believed to represent the view of his senior commanders.
This is quite obviously quite worrisome. If true (which is quite likely) it shows that the Pentagon is, firstly, concerned about the state of the army and, secondly, that the military leaders don’t have lost confidence in the White House / that the relationship between the White House and the Pentagon is extremely bad.
No matter how worrisome the situation, though, Bush et alia are right not to rule out military action. Those who are calling on Bush to rule it out are seemingly willing to let Iran develop nuclear weapons. Bush is right to say that Iran cannot be allowed to develop an atom bomb. Diplomacy should be tried first, yes, but when all else fails, a coalition of the willing should carry out airstrikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities and infrastructure.
I have said before that now is not the right time to attack Iran. There is still time left to achieve the goal – Iran without a nuclear program. Some reports indicate that Iran’s economy is hurting due to sanctions. More severe sanctions should be pursued and implemented. Its economy has to hurt bigtime. Bleed the Mullahs to death.
However, like it or not (and some of the bloggers I link to below don’t) airstrikes / threatening to use force seems to work. As I wrote a while ago:
‘If the U.S. and European countries are not willing to use force against Iran, Iran will not change its policies, of that we can be quite sure. And if one threatens to use force, one should be prepared to use it (if absolutely necessary).’
The generals and admirals have good points, but… from a policy perspective I do not quite see how Iran can be allowed to have nuclear weapons. It’s far too dangerous. Also: do they oppose attacking Iran no matter what (while Bush is President), or do they simply oppose attacking Iran now (or say within one year), or without preparing for it adequately?
Others on this:
Kevin Hayden at The American Street
Allahpundit at Hot Air
Josh Marshall at Talking Points Memo
In related news, read this post by Jules Crittenden: The Daily Telegraph reported yesterday that Israel is “negotiating with the United States for permission to fly over Iraq as part of a plan to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.”
Jules comments: “I highly doubt the Israelis are going to do this. But you never know.”
I’m with Jules.
UPDATE
Also read this post by Jules; it’s a great round-up of blogposts and newspaper articles about Iran.
UPDATE II
And read this post by Ed Morrissey:
We cannot attack Iran without gathering many more resources than we did for Iraq. Iran is three times the size of Iraq, and its terrain presents a much higher degree of difficulty than the relatively flat Iraq. Their military, while underresourced, is not in the same dreadful state of readiness that we saw in Iraq. Military strikes on Iran could not wipe out their defenses at the onset of action, and the war would result in a conflagration that would halt oil supplies to the entire world. That’s a last-gasp option, and everyone knows it…
If the US decides to attack Iran, we need to be sure we have people in charge who believe in the mission. Right now, I don’t think it’s a good idea, and I’m not surprised to find out that some senior staff officers at the Pentagon agree with that.
Again, to make this perfectly clear: I believe that Iran shouldn’t be attacked now / any time soon but… Iran can also not be allowed to develop an atom bomb. Military strikes are the last resort and there is still time to persue the goal – to prevent Iran from developing WMD’s – through peaceful means.
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