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Posted by on Oct 21, 2011 in Politics | 10 comments

Gallup Poll: Obama Job Approval Rating Slides to New Low in 11th Quarter

A new Gallup poll has more bad news for President Barack Obama, who would be pronounced burnt political toast if there was a strong Republican alternative facing him today:

President Barack Obama’s 11th quarter in office was the worst of his administration, based on his quarterly average job approval ratings. His 41% approval average is down six percentage points from his 10th quarter in office, and is nearly four points below his previous low of 45% during his seventh quarter.


These results are based on Gallup Daily tracking from July 20-Oct. 19, 2011. During this time, Obama’s approval rating ranged narrowly between 38% and 43% for all but a few days of the quarter. The 38% approval ratings, registered on several occasions, are the lowest of his presidency to date.

The most notable event in Obama’s 11th quarter was probably the negotiations to raise the federal debt ceiling in late July and early August. Shortly after the agreement was reached, the stock market plummeted after Standard and Poor’s downgraded the U.S. credit rating. Later, the government’s jobs report showed no new net jobs were created in August, a sign the economy was still a long way from recovery. The president has been unsuccessful so far in getting Congress to pass the jobs bill he proposed in early September.

The next bit of bad news for Obama is: only Jimmy Carter had a lower rating than this.

Only one elected president since Dwight D. Eisenhower, Jimmy Carter, had a lower 11th quarter average than Obama. Carter averaged 31% during his 11th quarter, which was marked by a poor economy and high energy prices. Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton were the only other post-World War II presidents whose job approval averages were below 50% in their 11th quarter in office.

Obama’s re-election prospects should become clearer in the coming months, because Gallup analysis shows that an incumbent president’s 12th- and 13th-quarter averages give a strong indication of whether he will win a second term.

Gallup’s conclusion?

President Obama’s most recent quarter in office was his worst to date, and these lower levels of public support could put his re-election chances in peril unless things start to improve in the next few months. Currently, voters say they are more likely to vote for “the Republican candidate” than for Obama for president in 2012, though Obama has generally looked stronger when matched against actual Republican candidates like Mitt Romney or Rick Perry.< ;blockquote>

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Copyright 2011 The Moderate Voice
  • Absalon

    Americans are getting stupider, it seems.

  • ShannonLeee

    Well, the good news for Obama is that there is no Ronald Reagan in this group of “candidates”.

  • slamfu

    The fact any american could even think of voting GOP again after Bush when all they want to do is double down on the Bush era policies is insane to me. We have literally already seen the results of those policies in action and we would consider it again? We are getting stupider.

    I’m sure we’ll learn our lesson after the next GOP prez lowers taxes, removes oversite, the debt ballons even further and another major industry bilks the public at taxpayers expense because govt “just got outta the way of the job creators”. I’m sure then we’ll see that trickle down morons who think big corporations can be trusted with the public welfare are not fit to make policy. At least not for the 99%.

  • Allen

    ShannonLee-

    Ah but Herman Cain has adjusted his 9-9-9 to 9-0-9 just as I predicted. One Ronald Reagan coming up! 🙂

  • ShannonLee

    Hmm…sounds like he is just randomly picking area codes

  • dduck

    Come on, the polls don’t mean anything. Most Americans don’t think Obama is a weak, lead from behind president, despite probably rigged questions made to hand selected right-leaning lemmings.
    Let’s pay closer attention to his whistle stop informational, not campaign, speeches (even though the gs are often missing from “hard workin folks” type platitudes), I mean wotcha gonna do when it’s all Bush’s fault and them Reps just won’t cooperate (well, that part is true).

  • SteveK

    dduck says: Come on, the polls don’t mean anything. Most Americans don’t think Obama is a weak, lead from behind president, despite probably rigged questions made to hand selected right-leaning lemmings.
    Let’s pay closer attention to his whistle stop informational, not campaign, speeches (even though the gs are often missing from “hard workin folks” type platitudes), I mean wotcha gonna do when it’s all Bush’s fault and them Reps just won’t cooperate (well, that part is true).

    Last time I agreed with what dduck said he replied that he were only kidding… But what the hell, I’ll take that chance again.

    dduck – I agree with your comment 99.44% and I predict that between now and election day 2012 the OWS movement will both grow and present a striking contrast to BS 100% of the Republicans in the lower house (and 100% of the Republicans in the Senate) have been trying to pull off on the American public.

    The republican politicians will lose and lose like they’ve never lost before, made impotent by their choosing to side with the 1% instead of with their constituents.

    Example: President Obama’s Jobs Bill.

    • 75% of the electorate WANT IT to pass
    • 63% of republicans WANT IT to pass
    • 0% of elected republicans in both the lower house and the senate WANT IT to pass

    All arguments welcome and I’ll see y’all next November. 🙂

  • dduck

    “Holy hole in the donut, Batman.” You caught me again.

  • jdr4

    Democrats:Ron Paul will bring ALL the troops home. No more making more and more enemies and wasting soldiers’ lives and taxpayer’s money.

    Republicans: Ron Paul STILL has more support from the active duty military than ANY OTHER candidate. You want to support the troops? LISTEN TO THEM!

    Democrats and Republicans: Vote for Ron Paul!

  • Obama has not fought back against the GOP. It has hurt him, makes him seem weak.

    The 1/3rd of the electorate on the right will not like him, no way, no how (unless they are wowed by his “war on terror” successes).

    The 1/3rd of the electorate on the left is walking away from him because he has not fought for what they believe in, and perhaps outright abandoned them on certain issues (his environmental record, for example).

    This leaves the 1/3rd in the middle, who are either a) really hurt by this economy, or b) tired of all the political nonsense.

    Really, it’s only that very last category — those tired of political nonsense — that would have any reason to support Obama.

    He’s in big, big trouble. He better run a stellar campaign, and he’d better hope for a weak candidate.

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