1. It’s official: My perfect Iowa predictions were a fluke.
Not only did I miss NH (like everyone else), I fumbled Michigan, big time. Accordingly, recognizing that I may very well be incapable of accurately guessing my own birthday, I have now eaten a slice of humble pie and will refrain from further primary predictions … maybe.
2. Bemoan family/dynasty politics all you want, but voters still take comfort in a familiar name.
George. Mitt. What’s the difference? Michiganers apparently get warm fuzzies when they simply hear “Romney.”
3. Kos does not pull the puppet strings of the Democratic Party.
Despite Kos encouraging Dems to vote en masse for Romney (to pollute GOP results and give the Dems a weaker candidate to contend with in the general election) most Michigan Dems ignored him, going for McCain instead.
I’d like to believe that happend for a reason similar to the one why many Republicans (including me) would vote for Obama if we found ourselves in a Michigan-like situation: We want two strong, reasonably good candidates in the general election, not a lesser-of-two-evils duel. (Shaun Mullen offers more on this and related subjects.)
4. Republican leaders are not to blame for the party’s woes; Republican voters are.
Granted, that’s more of a maxim than a lesson, but with all the whining (from yours truly and others) about the imposters in the White House and prior GOP Congress, it’s finally time we pundits (professional and pedestrian) stop complaining about the party’s leadership and start motivating moderate R voters to get off their acquiescent butts and get busy recruiting like-minded candidates, raising money for those candidates, helping with their campaigns, voting for them, etc.
5. Uncommitted polled very well among Democrats.
I fully expect Uncommitted to announce its candidacy soon. Can Conflicted and Confused be far behind?