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Possible Terrorist Attack at Ft. Hood TX (UPDATES)

There have been multiple shooting attacks at Fort Hood according to MSNBC, KCEN-TV and KTVT-TV. At least 7 people are dead and 30+ are wounded. One shooter is in custody and 1-2 more are being sought. FBI is on the way. Both the shooters and victims are believed to be military rather than civilians, at least the shooters were wearing military fatigues. 4:30 pm EST: More shots just reported according to MSNBC-TV. 4:40 pm EST per MSNBC: “Two suspects were captured and four swat officers were...

Laugh in Tune! Listen to the Capitol Steps’ Halloween Show!

Laugh in Tune! Listen to the Capitol Steps’ Halloween Show ‘Politics Takes A Holiday!’ on your local NPR station or online! Find an NPR Station or LISTEN ONLINE

Apparent Hate Crime at Los Angeles Synagogue

LA Times: Synagogue shooting in North Hollywood leaves 2 wounded By Times staff writers | 7:56 a.m. Two men, shot in the lower torso as they were about to enter the temple, are taken to a nearby hospital. Police are treating the shooting as a hate crime. http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2009/10/shooting-at-la-synagogue-investigated-as-hate-crime-man-arrested.html

Lamentations 9/11

I posted this last year but it is worth posting again. Via the Washington Post’s On Faith: Lamentations: 9/11 I live in New York City. Two friends, including someone at whose wedding I had recently been the rabbi died in the World Trade Center. The acrid smell came through my apartment windows for days and sacred ashes, which I wiped away with tears, fell on my window sills for weeks. My children who were 13 and 10 at the time were cut off from me and my wife as they could not get home from...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball – RED DAWN: GOP REVIVAL FOR 2010 HOUSE?

Isaac T. Wood and Larry J. Sabato: RED DAWN: GOP REVIVAL FOR 2010 HOUSE? Republicans will pick up substantially, but fall short of full control While the next slate of House elections does not occur until 2010, congressmen and their challengers certainly don’t take off the “off-year.” Instead, this year is a crucial one for the parties who must prove their recruiting chops, for the incumbents who seek big fundraising numbers and positive headlines, and for the challengers who have...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Who’s On First?

Larry J. Sabato: WHO’S ON FIRST? Does the Ballot Order of Candidates Make a Difference? (Ten Principles That Answer the Question) Every year, about this time, I hear from people who have watched their state set the order of candidate appearance on the fall ballot. Some states put candidates in chronological order of their official filing with the elections board, while others choose candidates or parties by lot. In fact, the smorgasbord of ways each state arranges candidates is staggering,...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: A Note on the Sotomayor Confirmation Vote

Alan I. Abramowitz: A Note on the Sotomayor Confirmation Vote – Explaining the Votes of Republican Senators. Like almost everything else in Congress, Senate votes on Supreme Court nominations have become much more polarized along party lines in recent years. That was certainly true of the recent vote on President Obama’s nomination of Sonia Sotomayor. While all 59 Democrats who were present voted to confirm Sotomayor, 31 of 40 Republicans voted against confirmation. MORE:

Sabato’s Crystall Ball: LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR MANIA

Larry J. Sabato: LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR MANIA – From “Fifth Wheel” to Powerhouse (July 30, 2009) In the mid-nineteenth century, a delegate to a Virginia constitutional convention argued against the office of lieutenant governor, calling it, “the fifth wheel of a wagon, and much more useless.” Worse has been said about the vice presidency over the centuries. Franklin Roosevelt’s first VP, John Nance Garner, declared his position was not worth a pitcher of warm spit....

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Are The Top Journalists Insiders Or Outsiders?

Larry J. Sabato: ARE THE TOP JOURNALISTS INSIDERS OR OUTSIDERS? Something truly astonishing appeared in a Washington Post column on July 25, 2009 (click here to view). It was written by Frank Mankiewicz, former press secretary to Senator Robert F. Kennedy (D-NY) and the man who is perhaps most widely remembered for announcing RFK’s death in June 1968. Mankiewicz was also the political director of Democratic presidential nominee George McGovern’s losing 1972 campaign. The column contained...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: House Schemes And Pipe Dreams

Isaac Wood: HOUSE SCHEMES AND PIPE DREAMS – The GOP’s list of 70 House targets debunked It’s a game both parties play: pretend that this will be the year you go on the offensive in places where your candidate is, in reality, as likely to win American Idol as the November general election. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dutifully played their part on July 31, sending an e-mail to friendly political action committees outlining 70 purported U.S. House “targets”...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tweets of the Week

4:42 AM Aug 6th: The left and right are the same, in flooding town meetings and being obnoxious. It’s OK when their side does it, wrong when the other side does. 4:44 AM Aug 6th: Passion can be a good thing in politics, but leaders must channel it, lest it degenerate into pure rudeness and nastiness. MORE: Larry J. Sabato: Tweets of the Week 08/13/2009 Larry J. Sabato: Tweets of the Week 08/06/2009 Larry J. Sabato: Tweets of the Week

Update on Bloodbath in Tel Aviv

I want to see all rabbis, priests, ministers, imams, and other spiritual leaders publicly denounce this murderous attack on a group of gay teenagers and their friends. No matter what you think of homosexuality, we can all agree that shooting children is a grossly inappropriate way of expressing one’s opinion. If the shooter is a Jew (not yet determined), he did not get the message of Tisha Bav (Jewish holiday observed last Thursday) about Sinat Chinam (baseless hatred which caused the destruction...

UPDATE 2: Attack on Gay Teenagers in Tel Aviv Kills 3, Wounds 10-15

UPDATE: J POST: Three people were killed and 14 people were wounded – two seriously, three moderately and the rest lightly – in a shooting at the Bar Noir, a center for youth run by the Tel Aviv gay community, on Saturday night. ============================================================== Ynetnews: 2 killed in Tel Aviv shooting GLBT activist says shooting that killed 2, wounded 10 at gay community meeting place in central Tel Aviv was ‘deliberate act against gay community’ ...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Virginia Gubernatorial Election – Clues From The Past

Rhodes Cook: THE VIRGINIA GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION – CLUES FROM THE PAST It is often said that the past is prologue. In that regard, this year’s gubernatorial candidates in Virginia–Democrat Creigh Deeds and Republican Bob McDonnell–share a bit of common history. They ran against each other for state attorney general in 2005, a race that ended as one of the closest statewide elections in Virginia history. Following a recount, McDonnell emerged the winner by a margin of just...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tweets of the Week

Larry J. Sabato: Tweets of the Week 1:24 PM Jul 16th: Today the Richmond Times-Dispatch apologized editorially for its role in Massive Resistance. Late but welcome and heartfelt. Worth reading. 8:42 PM Jul 17th: Just returned from Massive Resistance event. Absolutely moving. Some wounds are still there after 50 yrs. Will air on C-SPAN–see listings. 8:48 PM Jul 17th: Appropriate that Cronkite died when we are commemorating 40th anniversary of moon landing. He was our guide and his enthusiasm...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tweets of the Week

Larry J. Sabato: Tweets of the Week The Crystal Ball’s new feature, Tweets of the Week, showcases some highlights from the past week in politics. Read more analysis from University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato on Twitter here. 9:54 PM Jul 10th: As the author of “A More Perfect Constitution,” I’m delighted that both CA and NY have serious efforts at constitutional revision underway. 5:49 PM Jul 11th: The term “kabuki...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: FIFTY YEARS LATER

Larry J. Sabato: FIFTY YEARS LATER: REVISITING THE LEGACY OF MASSIVE RESISTANCE The following article is the unedited version of a commentary piece as submitted to the Richmond Times-Dispatch. Fifty years have now passed since the dark days of Massive Resistance, when public schools in some Virginia localities were shuttered rather than integrated. Virginia has had an overall proud and constructive history; yet except for the original sin of slavery, Massive Resistance is the most indelible stain...

Walter Cronkite Has Died

Breaking News Alert The New York Times Friday, July 17, 2009 — 8:14 PM ET —– Walter Cronkite, Iconic Anchorman, Dead at 92 Walter Cronkite, an iconic CBS News journalist who defined the role of anchorman for a generation of television viewers, died Friday at the age of 92, his family said.

Terrorists Attack Jakarta Indonesia Luxury Hotels

Death toll now at least 6 people, at least 4 of whom are foreigners. CNN Breaking News: An explosion tore through the Ritz-Carlton Hotel in south Jakarta, Indonesia, witnesses told local media. CNN Video BBC: ‘Fatal’ blasts hit Jakarta hotels At least four people have been killed in two separate explosions at luxury hotels in the Indonesian capital Jakarta, reports say. The country’s Metro TV reported that one blast hit the Ritz-Carlton and the other, the Marriott Hotel. At least...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Do Americans View Both Parties As Too Extreme?

Alan I. Abramowitz: Do Americans View Both Parties as Too Extreme? According to the Gallup Poll, many Americans today view both major political parties as too extreme ideologically. In a survey conducted from June 14-17 of this year, 46 percent of Americans said that the Democratic Party was “too liberal” while 42 percent described its political views as “about right” and 8 percent said it was “too conservative.” In the same survey, 43 percent of Americans saw...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tweets of the Week

Larry J. Sabato: Tweets of the Week A new Crystal Ball feature, Tweets of the Week, will showcase some highlights from the past week in politics. This commentary is just a sampling of the analysis (and, yes, sometimes humor) of University of Virginia Center for Politics Director, and Crystal Ball founder, Larry Sabato who can be found on Twitter by clicking here. July 8: With Madigan gone, Gov. Pat Quinn (D) breathes easier. Senate race still anybody’s game–except for joke occupying...

Laugh in Tune! Listen to the Capitol Steps’ 4th of July Show

Laugh in Tune! Listen to the Capitol Steps’ 4th of July Show on your local NPR station or online! Tune in to hear Mark Sanford, Joe Biden, Arlen Spector, and several Somali pirates as we perform our July 4th radio special in front of a large audience in a confined space. Get local broadcast info now. Hear what’s in store on this promo clip. Find a Station or LISTEN ONLINE.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball – THE GOP: POISED FOR ANOTHER QUICK COMEBACK?

Rhodes Cook on THE GOP: POISED FOR ANOTHER QUICK COMEBACK? The current state of the Republican Party is a good-news, bad-news situation. The good news is that the GOP has gone through several debilitating elections over the last generation and each time has recovered quickly. The bad news is that the conditions may not be as ripe this time for a fast Republican comeback as they were after the elections of 1964, 1976 and 1992. The presidential election of 2008 is the fourth since 1964 that has left...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Off-Off Year Elections

Larry J. Sabato on OFF-OFF YEAR ELECTIONS: They Seem Important at the Time. People who live for politics appreciate what real votes in real elections mean. It’s pure heroin for junkies. There is no cold turkey like the one between the end of a presidential election and the midterm election that occurs two full years later. The presidential high–the flood of votes in all fifty states for the Electoral College and the thousands of contests for every other office under the sun–is...

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: That Wild and Wacky Senate

Larry J. Sabato on THAT WILD AND WACKY SENATE: Some Updates on the Upcoming 2010 Senate Showdown. So much has happened recently in many of the 2010 Senate contests that you would think we were in the middle of the election year. We’re still seventeen months out from Election Day, yet the battles are turning white hot in many states. Let’s take a look at what has occurred in recent weeks in more than a dozen states featuring the big showdowns of ‘10. For a comprehensive outlook...
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