If you look carefully at the Hawkeye State, you can find polls showing (a) John Edwards is in the lead (b) Barack Obama is ahead (c) Hillary Clinton and Obama are tied or (d) after the “viability rule” excludes candidates with less than 15 percent of the vote, who knows?
Iowans have a reputation for being contrary, but this year they have raised sowing confusion to an art form. Yesterday, three of their journalists wrote a New York Times OpEd, saying “if a poll does manage to precisely forecast the results of the Jan. 3 caucuses, that is probably more coincidence than polling accuracy” because of the arcane, secretive way that Democrats report results of their caucuses.