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Crystal Ball On House Outcome And Gallup
The Crystal Ball, ever the informative resource, has provided us with an analysis of how Gallup and their final pre election poll correlate to election outcomes.
The basic message seems to be that if the GOP has even a modest lead in the final poll that Speaker Pelosi will be moving into new digs come January.
With a result of about +4R the new numbers would be 223-213 (right now the number seems to be around 5).
If the number goes as high as the 10 point edge in a recent poll we’d see a GOP peak not reached in 65 years.
