I had made a comment about Lebanon in one of the posts and a more informed reader corrected my facts. I asked if they would be interested in summarizing the situation in Lebanon for TMV.
Here is an excerpt and a link to a Lebanon overview
The ousting of Syria was an unacceptable blow to Iran and Syria . When the now independent government asked the world court to investigate the killing of Prime Minister Hariri and other Anti-Syrian politicians, Hezbollah , Syria and Iran became very nervous as the Investigators uncovered that Syrian agents were responsible, with orders directed from the Syrian president. The world was fed up with Iran and their quest for nuclear arms. Hezbollah was ordered by Iran and Syria to start a fight with Israel to shift the focus back to the Israeli conflict. The war Hezbollah fought with the Israel was against the wishes of the rest of the Lebanese, who now had an issue with Hezbollah and its leader, unilateral decision to involve the country in a war. Israel on the other hand, did not help the situation by destroying all infrastructures whether it was Shiite, Christian or Sunni. After the cease fire, the Lebanese again tried to disarm Hezbollah, but their leader, Nassrallah decided to topple the government and install a government who is pro-Syrian /Iranian. Whenever Nassrallah talks, the Iranian ambassador to Lebanon is always next to him, Its obvious he is speaking on behalf of Iran , who he pledge allegiance to in the first place. So Hezbollah is fighting Iran ’s Ahmadinajad war against Bush in Lebanon . For Hezbollah the fight is religious, Islam against the west. The rest of the Lebanese do not want the war, they want to live in peace with the Arabs/ Israelis and the rest of the world.Contrary of what most of the world believes, Hezbollah and its allies do not represent the majority in Lebanon . That majority including the expatriates are overwhelmingly against Hezbollah and its masters in Iran and Syria.
I want the rest of the world to know that the key holder to interrupting Iran and Syria’s plans in the area is Israel. She can stop all their justification for war, resistance and that BS, by saying “ok, Lebanon can have Shebaa Farms back�. By doing that, The Hezbollah supporters then will have a tough time selling their arms and their “resistance� propaganda. Now Hezbollah fighters will then go to Iran or Syria to continue their fight against the Israelis somewhere else.
Sadly, everything done by the USA and Israel has played directly into the hands of Iran. What other possible outcome could the US have expected of a predominantly Shi’ite nation offered a democratic choice of leadership than the establishment of an Iran-friendly regime? And what did Israel expect killing so many and destroying so much in Lebanon after the kidnapping of two soldiers?
I think the Armageddon crowd has succeeded in inflaming the region into even more of a tinderbox than it already was. Now we fan the flames with our saber rattling at Iran, a country we have no hope of subduing with military force.
Don’t pretend you know what the majority thinks. The only thing we can be sure of is that about 25-35% of the Lebanese population came out to support Hezbollah/Aoun and the other nationalists. The simultaneous pro-government protests were in the order of 20k people.
If Israel hands the Shebaa Farms over to Hezbollah, a new pretext will be found. Withdrawing from Lebanon and getting the boundary certified by the UN was supposed to end Hezbollah’s rationale. What reason is there to believe that when one side gets everything it asks for and then demands more – that giving in again will end it?