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Whip Count Update
According to The Hill, the current whip count estimates put the No side just one vote short.
Of course these are only estimates, and presumably the House leadership would not set a vote unless they have the votes.
The key would seem to be a possible compromise on abortion language
However those quiet whispers about possible delays in the vote could start coming out today.
12 Responses to “Whip Count Update”
FireDogLake gives a different estimate. “Moving Titus to yes and Kaptur to lean yes, the whip count now stands at 195-208, with leaners 204-211″
So there are 433 eligible voters now due to vacancies, deaths and the like, meaning that 217 is the critical point.
Speaking of FDL, here is what they think of the bill everyone here is crying “Pass it!”
A middle class family of four making $66,370 will be forced to pay $8,628 per year for insurance. After basic necessities, this leaves them with $8,307 in discretionary income — out of which they would have to cover clothing, credit card and other debt, child care and education costs, in addition to $5,882 in annual out-of-pocket medical expenses for which families will be responsible. Many families who are already struggling to get by would be better off saving the $8,628 in insurance costs and paying their medical expenses directly, rather than being forced to by coverage they can’t afford the co-pays on.
Oh yeah, sorry….you'll fix that later
Actually I believe there are 431 so that makes it 216
Murtha-PA died
Massa-NY resigned
Abercrombie-HI resigned
Wexler-FL resigned
But thank you very much for the link.. I'd meant to post them too
CO, was this the FDL piece you were talking about? Those 18 myths are a doozy. Perhaps some of the HCR supporters can argue otherwise.
Looks like Rep DeFazio of Oregon is shopping
Reports have him shifting to No, but he's pretty liberal so I assume he's shopping for something.
As far as I can tell, they didn't reference their stats within the article to the documentation notations at the bottom. Hard to know what is fact and what is fiction.
I just assumed that they went in order along with the “Myths vs Truths” table, i.e. 18 Myths and 18 sources. Despite the sloppiness in the internal cites, I think Jane makes a pretty compelling case against the current bill, and she is certainly no friend to conservatives.
Seems DeFazio is upset over Medicare changes
http://news.firedoglake.com/2010/03/19/defazios…
I don't think this count is accurate. Today we've had five switches from no to yes – Boccierri, Scott Murphy, Kozmas, Markey and Boyd. And some hard undecideds (previous yes because of Stupak bill) have decided to vote yes: Ellsworth, Wilson, Cuellar.
I was just watching Fox News – yes, seriously – and they said their “unofficial tally” had the Dems with 217 yesses right now.
Two more Democrats switched to “yes” or declared leaning to yes during the Ed show tonight.
It is getting very, very close.
See you Sunday guys and gals
Remember that lots of people are private “yes” but public “undecided” or even soft “no”. Nancy Pelosi knows this better than anybody.
There are real undecideds out there, probably including Stupak himself. If Pelosi works out a deal with Stupak and the three or four really following him go along – and the pro-choice caucus doesn't bolt over it – the bill passes easily (220 votes or so).
Well it may pass
But with almost 260 Democrats in House it's odd they have trouble getting 216