New York 23rd

UPDATE #5:  Looking increasingly likely that Owens will win. Almost 80% counted and he leads by 3,600 votes. For Hoffman to pull it he will need to pick up about 4,000 votes and based on current returns there are about 33,000 left to count.

It looks like a big loss for the hard right in New York.

UPDATE #4: With 71% in Owens still leads 49.1-45.2 or 3.9%.

Getting closer to the point that Owens is called the winner.

I’m guessing the Democrats will dismiss NJ and VA as meaningless and call this as a major win while the Republicans will do vice versa.

But it isn’t over yet.

UPDATE #3: With 64% in its 49.3 for Owens and 45.5 for Hoffman or 3.8% edge for Owens. The margin is tightening but we don’t know where the remaining votes are from.

For Hoffman to pull it out he’d need an edge of about 10% in the remaining ballots.

UPDATE #2: With 39% of the vote in the race is closer but Owens still leads 49.8-45.1 or 4.7%

UPDATE #1: With 27% of the vote in Owens holds his lead at 50.6-44.4 or 6.2%. But the total turnout so far is only about 40,000 votes so it’s quite possible for Hoffman to pull back ahead.

However a loss would put a dent on other  GOP wins.

As a side note the NY Mayoral Race is closer than expected but figures show mostly pro Thompson areas counted so far with most pro-Bloomberg areas at 30% of the vote or less.

With NY Mayor decided I’ll start a new post for the 23rd.

With 15% of the vote counted Democrat Owens has a 51.3-43.8 lead over Conservative Hoffman