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	<title>Comments on: The GDP Number Is A Good Start, But&#8230;</title>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226579</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2009 16:58:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226579</guid>
		<description>&quot;I only focused on your &#039;damned if they do, damned if they don&#039;t&#039; attitude towards the administration &quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Which is what you illogically assumed as a matter of course, though it is incorrect, as you said,&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;you would&#039;ve also complained had the Federal government dictated to the states how to spend that money...yelling &quot;State&#039;s Rights!&quot; at the top of your voice along the way. &quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;to which I responded logically.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Enough said.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;* * *&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;I do think the stimulus was necessary to keep us from going over the cliff&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I supported the decision to attempt a real stimulus, complete with ambitious spending and even large temporary debt goals.  (Not the facile recent re-discovery of Keynes we see in the media, but accepting the idea of defying prudence and sensibility as a temporary measure, which might well work, in theory.)&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;but&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Good-bye, again, logic.  This ought to be good...&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;maybe next time the states should check with you first to make sure they&#039;re spending their stimulus money in the way that you approve of. /snark&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I&#039;ve listed ways not only that make sense to me, but to others, such as Democrat ally Zandi at Moody&#039;s, of &quot;bang for the buck list&quot; fame (his well-known assessment of what&#039;s effective and what isn&#039;t as effective).  But who cares what thoughtful people are thinking, if panic prevails or reason otherwise is rejected?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I only focused on your &#39;damned if they do, damned if they don&#39;t&#39; attitude towards the administration &#8220;</p>
<p>Which is what you illogically assumed as a matter of course, though it is incorrect, as you said,</p>
<p>&#8220;you would&#39;ve also complained had the Federal government dictated to the states how to spend that money&#8230;yelling &#8220;State&#39;s Rights!&#8221; at the top of your voice along the way. &#8220;</p>
<p>to which I responded logically.</p>
<p>Enough said.</p>
<p>* * *</p>
<p>&#8220;I do think the stimulus was necessary to keep us from going over the cliff&#8221;</p>
<p>I supported the decision to attempt a real stimulus, complete with ambitious spending and even large temporary debt goals.  (Not the facile recent re-discovery of Keynes we see in the media, but accepting the idea of defying prudence and sensibility as a temporary measure, which might well work, in theory.)</p>
<p>&#8220;but&#8221;</p>
<p>Good-bye, again, logic.  This ought to be good&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8220;maybe next time the states should check with you first to make sure they&#39;re spending their stimulus money in the way that you approve of. /snark&#8221;</p>
<p>I&#39;ve listed ways not only that make sense to me, but to others, such as Democrat ally Zandi at Moody&#39;s, of &#8220;bang for the buck list&#8221; fame (his well-known assessment of what&#39;s effective and what isn&#39;t as effective).  But who cares what thoughtful people are thinking, if panic prevails or reason otherwise is rejected?</p>
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		<title>By: Anna</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226562</link>
		<dc:creator>Anna</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2009 15:58:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226562</guid>
		<description>That&#039;s quite a stretch for you to surmise that just because I only focused on your &quot;damned if they do, damned if they don&#039;t&quot; attitude towards the administration as my defense of mismanagement by the states...in fact, it&#039;s a logical fallacy.  &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I do think the stimulus was necessary to keep us from going over the cliff but maybe next time the states should check with you first to make sure they&#039;re spending their stimulus money in the way that you approve of. /snark</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#39;s quite a stretch for you to surmise that just because I only focused on your &#8220;damned if they do, damned if they don&#39;t&#8221; attitude towards the administration as my defense of mismanagement by the states&#8230;in fact, it&#39;s a logical fallacy.  </p>
<p>I do think the stimulus was necessary to keep us from going over the cliff but maybe next time the states should check with you first to make sure they&#39;re spending their stimulus money in the way that you approve of. /snark</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226468</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 23:19:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226468</guid>
		<description>&quot;As long as people keep buying our debt that&#039;s not a bad strategy.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;So far we haven&#039;t had to worry about a federal debt trap.  So far.  What about interest rates, before then?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;As long as people keep buying our debt that&#39;s not a bad strategy.&#8221;</p>
<p>So far we haven&#39;t had to worry about a federal debt trap.  So far.  What about interest rates, before then?</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226467</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 23:18:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226467</guid>
		<description>&quot;you would&#039;ve also complained had the Federal government dictated to the states how to spend that money...&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I probably would have, without shouting, as you incorrectly surmised.  There is no hypocrisy in such a case, and it&#039;s illogical to complain about it when referring to the obvious short-term, short-sighted misconduct by the state and local governments (which is independent of where they get the stimulus money -- no different than if they were to raise taxes and spend money nominally on &quot;stimulus&quot; measures within each of the states or counties).&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;You don&#039;t seem to care to note the obvious, be it to defend mismanagement by the states (any spending is OK, perhaps, to you), or for other &quot;reasons.&quot;  Correctly: I guess there&#039;s just no pleasing some people.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;you would&#39;ve also complained had the Federal government dictated to the states how to spend that money&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>I probably would have, without shouting, as you incorrectly surmised.  There is no hypocrisy in such a case, and it&#39;s illogical to complain about it when referring to the obvious short-term, short-sighted misconduct by the state and local governments (which is independent of where they get the stimulus money &#8212; no different than if they were to raise taxes and spend money nominally on &#8220;stimulus&#8221; measures within each of the states or counties).</p>
<p>You don&#39;t seem to care to note the obvious, be it to defend mismanagement by the states (any spending is OK, perhaps, to you), or for other &#8220;reasons.&#8221;  Correctly: I guess there&#39;s just no pleasing some people.</p>
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		<title>By: Anna</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226444</link>
		<dc:creator>Anna</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 22:29:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226444</guid>
		<description>Yet, you would&#039;ve also complained had the Federal government dictated to the states how to spend that money...yelling &quot;State&#039;s Rights!&quot; at the top of your voice along the way.  I guess there&#039;s just no pleasing some people...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yet, you would&#39;ve also complained had the Federal government dictated to the states how to spend that money&#8230;yelling &#8220;State&#39;s Rights!&#8221; at the top of your voice along the way.  I guess there&#39;s just no pleasing some people&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: mikkel</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226429</link>
		<dc:creator>mikkel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 21:24:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226429</guid>
		<description>As long as people keep buying our debt that&#039;s not a bad strategy...we&#039;re exporting a hell of a lot of inflation to emerging markets, and they are helping to keep the dollar artificially propped up...so you&#039;d get the upside from the inflation raising asset values there and don&#039;t get the downside of depreciation killing you.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;You just have to hope you don&#039;t get caught in another flow of funds reversal.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As long as people keep buying our debt that&#39;s not a bad strategy&#8230;we&#39;re exporting a hell of a lot of inflation to emerging markets, and they are helping to keep the dollar artificially propped up&#8230;so you&#39;d get the upside from the inflation raising asset values there and don&#39;t get the downside of depreciation killing you.</p>
<p>You just have to hope you don&#39;t get caught in another flow of funds reversal.</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226423</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 21:14:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226423</guid>
		<description>&quot;My Dean Witter key word whisper to those interested....labor productivity stats.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Instead of transmission uprating and new construction, what is being proposed?  &quot;Smart meters,&quot; as an example of a smart grid.  No, a distribution service-point labor-saving proposition is more like it.  (Fewer meter readers required, is the real issue, not how it helps the homeowner manage and conserve energy.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;My Dean Witter key word whisper to those interested&#8230;.labor productivity stats.&#8221;</p>
<p>Instead of transmission uprating and new construction, what is being proposed?  &#8220;Smart meters,&#8221; as an example of a smart grid.  No, a distribution service-point labor-saving proposition is more like it.  (Fewer meter readers required, is the real issue, not how it helps the homeowner manage and conserve energy.)</p>
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		<title>By: casualobserver</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226418</link>
		<dc:creator>casualobserver</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 20:43:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226418</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m pleased to continue to be holding the contrarian position here at TMV. I am happily redeployed into global emerging markets equities to the tune of about a third of the portfolio and am over 60% recaptured since Oct 08. I am especially proud of some picks that are now trading above their precrash values.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;If my portfolio &quot;V&quot; holds its curve, I will be back into total black by early next year.&lt;BR&gt;&lt;BR&gt;My Dean Witter key word whisper to those interested....labor productivity stats. Human capital without a substantial intellectual capital component is not worth investing in.&lt;/BR&gt;&lt;/BR&gt;&lt;/BR&gt;&lt;/BR&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;m pleased to continue to be holding the contrarian position here at TMV. I am happily redeployed into global emerging markets equities to the tune of about a third of the portfolio and am over 60% recaptured since Oct 08. I am especially proud of some picks that are now trading above their precrash values.</p>
<p>If my portfolio &#8220;V&#8221; holds its curve, I will be back into total black by early next year.</p>
<p>My Dean Witter key word whisper to those interested&#8230;.labor productivity stats. Human capital without a substantial intellectual capital component is not worth investing in.</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226414</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 20:19:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226414</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ll be sure to hit the road and tune in to NPR this afternoon.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;So far, the stimulus has fizzled, Stockster -- saving or &quot;creating&quot; many fewer jobs than originally claimed.  The real questions relate to how the money has often been used by state governments, not for job creation or growth or development, but simply to fund current expenditures, and &quot;fill deficit holes&quot; (which won&#039;t be guaranteed to be possible next year, and are projected to be worse here, in Michigan, for example).&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;The stimulus was sort of a life preserver&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I believe it has been used this way, but that it never should have been intended, or used, this way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;ll be sure to hit the road and tune in to NPR this afternoon.</p>
<p>So far, the stimulus has fizzled, Stockster &#8212; saving or &#8220;creating&#8221; many fewer jobs than originally claimed.  The real questions relate to how the money has often been used by state governments, not for job creation or growth or development, but simply to fund current expenditures, and &#8220;fill deficit holes&#8221; (which won&#39;t be guaranteed to be possible next year, and are projected to be worse here, in Michigan, for example).</p>
<p>&#8220;The stimulus was sort of a life preserver&#8221;</p>
<p>I believe it has been used this way, but that it never should have been intended, or used, this way.</p>
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		<title>By: StockBoySF</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226407</link>
		<dc:creator>StockBoySF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 19:45:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226407</guid>
		<description>&quot;NPR is reporting much the same about the GDP numbers being inflated by stimulus programs...&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;So the stimulus programs worked!  Better than the economy completely going downhill.  I think MIkkel&#039;s characterization of &quot;treading water&quot; is most accurate.  The stimulus was sort of a life preserver to keep the economy from completely going under but at some point the economy will eaither be rescued or will start sinking.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;NPR is reporting much the same about the GDP numbers being inflated by stimulus programs&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>So the stimulus programs worked!  Better than the economy completely going downhill.  I think MIkkel&#39;s characterization of &#8220;treading water&#8221; is most accurate.  The stimulus was sort of a life preserver to keep the economy from completely going under but at some point the economy will eaither be rescued or will start sinking.</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226390</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 18:51:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226390</guid>
		<description>&quot;That&#039;s twice in three days! I really need to spend less time in the sun.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Watch out -- the cool season is almost on you, in earnest.  You&#039;ll even see leaves change color around Christmastime (before the buds start opening and flowering within six weeks later).&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;As far as my swipe at NPR, you can even stomach that if you realize that it used to be true, and was made because yes, I often listen to NPR.  (&quot;Morning Edition&quot; or &quot;All Things Considered&quot; would be the perfect program for retired people to listen to in a greenhouse...)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;That&#39;s twice in three days! I really need to spend less time in the sun.&#8221;</p>
<p>Watch out &#8212; the cool season is almost on you, in earnest.  You&#39;ll even see leaves change color around Christmastime (before the buds start opening and flowering within six weeks later).</p>
<p>As far as my swipe at NPR, you can even stomach that if you realize that it used to be true, and was made because yes, I often listen to NPR.  (&#8220;Morning Edition&#8221; or &#8220;All Things Considered&#8221; would be the perfect program for retired people to listen to in a greenhouse&#8230;)</p>
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		<title>By: tidbits</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226387</link>
		<dc:creator>tidbits</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 18:43:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226387</guid>
		<description>Damn, DLS, other than the irrelevant, gratuitous and unnecessary swipe at NPR, I actually agree with your comment.  That&#039;s twice in three days!  I really need to spend less time in the sun.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Damn, DLS, other than the irrelevant, gratuitous and unnecessary swipe at NPR, I actually agree with your comment.  That&#39;s twice in three days!  I really need to spend less time in the sun.</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226382</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 18:20:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226382</guid>
		<description>&quot;NPR is reporting much the same about the GDP numbers being inflated by stimulus programs,&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;It&#039;s a welcome relief that NPR is healthily skeptical rather than robotically obedient to Team Obama.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What has been neglected is to what extent the economy has been temporarily propped, and a continued downward slide postponed (until after the 2010 elections, people should be suspecting), due to the stimulus money, which often has been [mis]spent on filling current state government deficits and otherwise [mis]spent on prompt needs or wants rather than on long-term growth projects that would be better associated with not only a sustained recovery but with greater future prosperity.  What happens when the credit card bomb finally explodes, or the unemployment benefits expire, or worse deficits in state government finances materialize next year (a concern already in Michigan, where stimulus funds are being [mis]spent to fill in this year&#039;s budget deficits), and there is no stimulus or other bailout money to foolishly expect to [mis]spend?  What happens When The Music Stops?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;NPR is reporting much the same about the GDP numbers being inflated by stimulus programs,&#8221;</p>
<p>It&#39;s a welcome relief that NPR is healthily skeptical rather than robotically obedient to Team Obama.</p>
<p>What has been neglected is to what extent the economy has been temporarily propped, and a continued downward slide postponed (until after the 2010 elections, people should be suspecting), due to the stimulus money, which often has been [mis]spent on filling current state government deficits and otherwise [mis]spent on prompt needs or wants rather than on long-term growth projects that would be better associated with not only a sustained recovery but with greater future prosperity.  What happens when the credit card bomb finally explodes, or the unemployment benefits expire, or worse deficits in state government finances materialize next year (a concern already in Michigan, where stimulus funds are being [mis]spent to fill in this year&#39;s budget deficits), and there is no stimulus or other bailout money to foolishly expect to [mis]spend?  What happens When The Music Stops?</p>
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		<title>By: facebook-1408134352</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226380</link>
		<dc:creator>facebook-1408134352</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 18:07:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226380</guid>
		<description>And we&#039;re just supposed to trust these Government &quot;reports&quot;?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;How can they say we&#039;re out of a recession when home foreclosures are surging still (see &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.foreclosure.com&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;www.foreclosure.com&lt;/a&gt;) and auto repossessions are skyrocketing (see &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.repofinder.com%29?&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;www.repofinder.com)?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I&#039;ll trust my magic 8 ball over Government &quot;reports&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And we&#39;re just supposed to trust these Government &#8220;reports&#8221;?</p>
<p>How can they say we&#39;re out of a recession when home foreclosures are surging still (see <a href="http://www.foreclosure.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.foreclosure.com</a>) and auto repossessions are skyrocketing (see <a href="http://www.repofinder.com%29?" rel="nofollow"></a><a href="http://www.repofinder.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.repofinder.com</a>)?</p>
<p>I&#39;ll trust my magic 8 ball over Government &#8220;reports&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: tidbits</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226375</link>
		<dc:creator>tidbits</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 17:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226375</guid>
		<description>NPR is reporting much the same about the GDP numbers being inflated by stimulus programs, and that consumer spending and durable goods numbers in particular are probably not short term sustainable in an economy not stimulated by C for C or the home buyer&#039;s tax credit.  NPR&#039;s take...listening briefly in traffic this a.m....is that there is some hope in the numbers, but they are exaggerated by unique events and should not be taken at face value.  You are in good company, Mikkel.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NPR is reporting much the same about the GDP numbers being inflated by stimulus programs, and that consumer spending and durable goods numbers in particular are probably not short term sustainable in an economy not stimulated by C for C or the home buyer&#39;s tax credit.  NPR&#39;s take&#8230;listening briefly in traffic this a.m&#8230;.is that there is some hope in the numbers, but they are exaggerated by unique events and should not be taken at face value.  You are in good company, Mikkel.</p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/51173/the-gdp-number-is-a-good-start-but/comment-page-1/#comment-226373</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 17:42:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=51173#comment-226373</guid>
		<description>&quot;they are counting on 4%-4.5% growth!&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Haven&#039;t we seen such rosy (optimistic, unrealistic, perhaps dishonest) assumptions or presumptions before?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;they are counting on 4%-4.5% growth!&#8221;</p>
<p>Haven&#39;t we seen such rosy (optimistic, unrealistic, perhaps dishonest) assumptions or presumptions before?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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