Comments on: Sabato’s Crystal Ball – RED DAWN: GOP REVIVAL FOR 2010 HOUSE?

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Sun, 27 Sep 2009 17:21:24 +0000

[...] Sabato’s Crystal Ball – RED DAWN: GOP REVIVAL FOR 2010 HOUSE? (themoderatevoice.com) [...]

By: TheMagicalSkyFather

TheMagicalSkyFather — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 20:18:40 +0000

In the latest poll Wilson is now behind, he just moved from a safe district to an election challenge.

By: DLS

DLS — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 17:22:33 +0000

The easiest "purple states" map to view is this one:

http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/20...

By: DLS

DLS — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 17:20:06 +0000

“cash pool anyone”

Too painful. Smart money is on the Dems.

By: DLS

DLS — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 17:19:04 +0000

There's no need to hype Wilson any longer, nor mischaraterize the GOP and the public merely by putting Wilson and other GOP show elements during Obama's address into the correct context that I listed earlier (“town hall excesses”). These displays simply were pathetic (not outrageous, not the near-equivalent of an assassination attempt, etc.) and illustrate that the GOP is negligeable currently. (They certainly were not in 1994, nor afterward, as the beet-faced Democrats bellowing “extremists!” proved.)

The Dems are the epitome of corruption and worse, and the lib Dems are repellent to sane Americans, but the GOP is providing nothing as an alternative. This is not going to be another 1994.

Now what will be “interesting” next year is sliminess with slime like ACORN and Census Dem mischief, followed by redistricting and related mischief, chief Dem staple stuff. That also works against the GOP.

By: Jim_Satterfield

Jim_Satterfield — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 16:58:16 +0000

I realized that, Holly. Given the timing of the publication I had to believe that they were written before the speech and outburst.

By: casualobserver

casualobserver — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 16:49:39 +0000

Words are too cheap…….cash pool anyone?

By: Holly_in_Cincinnati

Holly_in_Cincinnati — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 16:35:10 +0000

The Sabato & Wood articles were published AFTER Rep. Wilson's outburst, although they may have been written earlier.

By: shannonlee

shannonlee — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 16:28:01 +0000

"but the GOP still isn't presenting a viable alternative."
"Sabato's article was, of course, written before the display at Obama's speech."

exactly!

We won't see as much movement as "usual" for a midterm election because the Rep party is still so very much out of favor with the American pubic. Yes, Dem and Obama numbers are down, but Rep numbers are below freezing.

As long as Reps like Wilson keep popping off at the worst possible time, Dems don't have much to worry about.

I mean really...Rangel should be in jail for tax evasion, but Wilson is the major topic of discussion.

By: Jim_Satterfield

Jim_Satterfield — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 15:12:22 +0000

Sabato's article was, of course, written before the display at Obama's speech.

By: DLS

DLS — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 15:10:29 +0000

I've never believed anyone who has anticipated another 1994. The lib Dems have been repellent, but the GOP still isn't presenting a viable alternative.

By: Leonidas

Leonidas — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 13:05:00 +0000

Thanks God for the purple States, and purple districts without them we'd be locked into permanent Gerrymandered stasis.

By: JeffersonDavis

JeffersonDavis — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 07:51:07 +0000

Very good synopsis, Dave.
The biggest battleground, of course, will be in the “purple” states. The blue areas, like Pelosi's, will be pretty much a shoe-in for the incumbant (no matter how low her numbers are). Likewise, the red areas will most likely do nothing but gain House seats for the GOP.
It will be very intersting to see what happens in the land of purple.

By: daveinboca

daveinboca — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 06:05:41 +0000

It's too early to tell whether the very gerrymandered House of Rep. will be susceptible to more than around forty, which would leave the GOP a dozen or so seats short. Nancy Pelosi is driving her own numbers into single digits [with even SNL doing her downside with Kristen Wiig]. But the key will be the actions of the president, and both Carter in '78 & Clinton in '94 suffered hugely because of huge mood swings caused by a disillusioned electorate. And Obama is losing the glow and some would even say hemorrhaging blood with multiple wounds, many of them self-inflicted.