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	<title>Comments on: How Polling Really Works</title>
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	<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/43680/how-polling-really-works/</link>
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		<title>By: Patrick E</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/43680/how-polling-really-works/comment-page-1/#comment-206278</link>
		<dc:creator>Patrick E</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 22:57:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=43680#comment-206278</guid>
		<description>Of course it&#039;s also worth considering WHO they ask.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;For example I&#039;ve noticed that the Kos polling always seems to be 5-10 points higher on Obama approval than virtually every other pollster. Then I checked the cross tabs and found that they are weighting their samples about 10% more Democrat and 10% less Republican than most other polls.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Basically they looked for the best possible party ID survey they could find and used it, even if 2006 and 2008 turnout or more recent surveys were different.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I&#039;m sure we could find some right wing web sites who did the opposite, so take it all with a grain of salt.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Of course it&#39;s also worth considering WHO they ask.</p>
<p>For example I&#39;ve noticed that the Kos polling always seems to be 5-10 points higher on Obama approval than virtually every other pollster. Then I checked the cross tabs and found that they are weighting their samples about 10% more Democrat and 10% less Republican than most other polls.</p>
<p>Basically they looked for the best possible party ID survey they could find and used it, even if 2006 and 2008 turnout or more recent surveys were different.</p>
<p>I&#39;m sure we could find some right wing web sites who did the opposite, so take it all with a grain of salt.</p>
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		<title>By: Almoderate</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/43680/how-polling-really-works/comment-page-1/#comment-206143</link>
		<dc:creator>Almoderate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 17:30:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=43680#comment-206143</guid>
		<description>Honestly, the &quot;young lady&quot; has very little to do with it.  Word a question correctly, and you can get someone to agree to almost anything.  I have seen the &quot;questions leading up to&quot; method as well.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;But to prove my point...&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;Do you think our current health care system should be better?&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;Would you say that you&#039;re happy with your current health care?&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Both questions would likely get a majority affirmative answer.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Notice that the second question does not use the word &quot;satisfied&quot; or ask about improvements to their health care.  It also doesn&#039;t specify any portion of care, so the person could even be led to believe that they&#039;re discussing the performance of their doctor.  Depending on what answer you want, you ask either question 1 or question 2.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Honestly, the &#8220;young lady&#8221; has very little to do with it.  Word a question correctly, and you can get someone to agree to almost anything.  I have seen the &#8220;questions leading up to&#8221; method as well.</p>
<p>But to prove my point&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8220;Do you think our current health care system should be better?&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Would you say that you&#39;re happy with your current health care?&#8221;</p>
<p>Both questions would likely get a majority affirmative answer.</p>
<p>Notice that the second question does not use the word &#8220;satisfied&#8221; or ask about improvements to their health care.  It also doesn&#39;t specify any portion of care, so the person could even be led to believe that they&#39;re discussing the performance of their doctor.  Depending on what answer you want, you ask either question 1 or question 2.</p>
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		<title>By: Ryan</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/43680/how-polling-really-works/comment-page-1/#comment-206082</link>
		<dc:creator>Ryan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 15:17:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/?p=43680#comment-206082</guid>
		<description>Except when Rasmussen is doing the polls. Then it&#039;s a nice young robot talking to you.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Except when Rasmussen is doing the polls. Then it&#39;s a nice young robot talking to you.</p>
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