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Sabato’s Crystal Ball: THE LAST WORD–ALMOST

Posted by HOLLY IN CINCINNATI, Copy Editor in Politics.
Nov 1st, 2008 | Comments

Larry J. Sabato – THE LAST WORD–ALMOST: The Crystal Ball’s Next-to-Last Projections for the 2008 Election

These are our 2008 election projections as of Thursday, October 30. We will make final adjustments and tweaks on Monday afternoon, November 3, and post them to the website. At that point, we will attempt to call the few remaining toss-ups.

We wish everyone the best possible Election Day, with congratulations to the winners and condolences to the losers. Our sincere thanks to the thousands of readers who have offered tips, suggestions, and constructive criticism.

In January 2009 we’ll start our focus on the new administration and Congress–and yes, the critical “Census/redistricting” midterm election cycle of 2010 (36 governors, thousands of state legislative seats, the entire U.S. House again, and the next third of the U.S. Senate seats on the ballot). The never-ending cycle of American politics will be played out here on Sabato’s Crystal Ball.

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superdestroyer

He is being optimistic in the Senate races. The massive turnout for Obama will push other races into the Democratic column.

The only real question is whether people will still consider the Republican Party relevant to national politics after this election. If they are media hacks and partisans, they will go on pretending that the Republicans are relevant. Those who are real journalist will admit that the Republican Party is no longer relevant to national politics and start focusing on inner-party differences inside the Democratic Party.

DLS

Obama has been well into the 300s electoral votes since last week and probably earlier.

Super D, I would simply wait to see if the GOP stops being dysfunctional -- while this is likely to be a big Dem year, there isn't necessarily a huge revival of the Left and far-to-radical Left that many predict or for which the Hope [pun intended]. The Obama campaign is playing it safe and the smarter Dems know that even if they win firm control of Congress, it's not license for them to engage in lunacy. Remember 1994.

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