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California Gay Marriage Ban Picks Up Support

Stephen H. Miller comments on a Survey USA poll [pdf]  finding that California voters now favor passage of Proposition 8 by a five-point margin, 47 percent to 42 percent:

One reason is the success of this anti-gay marriage ad showing San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom proclaiming same-sex marriage is here to stay “whether you like it or not.”

It’s not lost yet, but this is bad news, especially since the parallel Obama surge isn’t counteracting Prop 8′s growing support. It’s quite possible Obama will be the next president, but that all three anti-gay marriage state initiatives (California, Florida and Arizona) will pass. Given that LGBT activists have made the election of Obama their number 1 priority, with the lion’s share of the efforts aimed at getting out the vote, for Obama, and raising money, for Obama, a loss in California (especially, since it will roll back marriage equality) will be telling.

The swing (11 days prior found a five-point margin in favor of proposition 8 opponents) is attributed to young voters:

The only demographic group to significantly change their views during this period were younger voters — considered the hardest to poll and the most unpredictable voters — who now support the measure after previously opposing it…

“Polling on ballot measures in general is an inexact science, and polling on homosexuality in general is a tricky business. So, not too much should be made of the 5 points that separates ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ today,” concluded a summary of the results prepared by SurveyUSA.

RELATED: Last week I posted Support Sinks for California Gay Marriage Ban  and pointed to a Salon piece questioning the liberal bona-fides of David Blankenhorn who wrote as a “liberal Democrat” in an OpEd in the L.A. Times endorsing the California initiative. Salon said his funders are largely right-wing. Blankenhorn replies here.



6 Responses to “California Gay Marriage Ban Picks Up Support”

  1. [...] it appears voters are swinging more and more in support of Proposition 8.  The Moderate Voice also has a post on these latest polls here. I reprint the email below: ProtectMarriage.com – Yes on Proposition [...]

  2. [...] it appears voters are swinging more and more in support of Proposition 8. The Moderate Voice also has a post on these latest polls here. I reprint the email below: I reprint the email below: ProtectMarriage.com – Yes on Proposition [...]

  3. ChrisWWW says:

    It'll be a sad day for America and especially California if this ban passes. Discrimination of this sort has always been on the wrong side of morality, and history.

  4. roro80 says:

    The passing of this bill would be devistating. I live in the gay district in San Francisco, and I can't tell you what a resplendent summer of love and committment this has been. All of the weddings I went to (and one I witnessed legally), were between two people who had been together a helluva lot longer than I've ever been with anyone, including my fiancee. 9 years, 13 years, 18 years — why can't they have the same rights as any other couple?

    And this whole “states rights” crap is clearly a sham, as these couples — now LEGALLY married by the laws of our state — are not recognized federally or in other states, don't get the federal benefits of marriage, can't move out of the state if they want state benefits. If it's truly a state's right to regulate marriage, then this should not be the case. Californians have to recognize 14-year old shot-gun wedding cousins who are married in states where that sort of thing is legal, because of states rights and the Full Faith and Credit Clause. It's disgusting that that doesn't apply to people legally married in California.

    Anyway, no on 8!

  5. Wayne says:

    I have linked to this post from Why and How Prop 8 must pass.

    California politics has always been a rough and tumble sport – Prop 8 is no exception. The rhetoric levels have been high and getting higher. Protests and boycotts have been done by both sides. And, to some part demonetization of those on the other side …

    … webcast, which articulates the position, is not one of hate as people pray and fast for the protection of marriage, … “gay” activists and their allies use the accusation of hatred as a weapon, not because they believe it is true (they know that most of their opponents do not hate them), but because it is a very effective tool of psychological manipulation — especially when used against Christians.

    … Christians have been called bigots and haters (some other things I will not publish), and SF Mayor Gavin Newsom has not exactly received a lot of kind letters, he has been featured on a yes on 8 campaign ad.

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