Comments on: Obama McCain Political Debate Context: Polls Still Show Volatile Race

By: DLS

DLS — Thu, 09 Oct 2008 16:02:39 +0000

As predicted -- California only has led a string of states looking for a bailout.

http://www.timesargus.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article...

By: DLS

DLS — Wed, 08 Oct 2008 15:52:30 +0000

It's closer than some believe (the media suppresses the size and nature of the crowds that have attended the GOP appearances, in addition to the creepy way they are described here on this site), but Obama seems strong and McCain weak at this point and if anything, Obama seems to be increasing his lead. I did not hear or see the second Presidential debate (I've been enjoying a return this week to the Bay Area, where I grew up, and all my spare time is spent enjoying the sights along, and enjoying dinner on, the S.F. Peninsula) but McCain needed to do very well and he done so, the media would likely have conceded it (due to amazement if nothing else). McCain didn't do that, did he?

Obama will likely win. Hopefully he'll do okay with the economy. The IMF is smart to worry aloud and the central banks were smart to do an emergency rate reduction after the US federal government has already expressed interest in trying to assist the ailing banks (and prop up economic activity). This is classic deflation-fighting, a more vigorous and less complacent effort than many believed would happen.

By: Leonidas

Leonidas — Wed, 08 Oct 2008 07:48:04 +0000

In order to close the race McCain needs to not mention just Ayers but also Obama's ties to Frank Marshal Davis, Rashid Khalidi, John L. McKnight, Tony Rezko, Jeremiah Wright, Michael Pfleger, and Franklin Raines, No one of these relationships is really that damning of itself (possible exception of Rezko), but when taken together they present a more convincing arguement on Obama's ability to judge character. Noone is really accusing Obama of supporting terrorism, except for pundits on the left and right, the argument is about judgement..

When Obama met Ayers his campaign says he didn't know who Ayers was, but we do know that he knew later yet still continued to associate with hiim.

http://www.youtube.com/swf/l.swf?swf=http%3A//s...

By: skippy

skippy — Tue, 07 Oct 2008 19:35:39 +0000

"within the margin of error."

guys, i don't know how many times i have to point this out, but statistics ain't algebra.

you don't subtract and/or add one candidate's percentage to the margin of error to see if the other candidate's percentage falls within the resulting sum (algebra).

you know that out of a 100 election trials, there's a 97% chance that obama will win 48% of the time, and a 97% chance that mcmuffin will win 45% of the time (statistics).

pls. review my post here.

By: Amanda

Amanda — Tue, 07 Oct 2008 19:05:19 +0000

538 and Electoral Vote give a better picture for why the conventional wisdom has Obama in the Oval Office next year. Barring some sort of major gaffe or scandal, it looks like he'll win decisively in the Electoral College, even if it's a close race by popular vote.